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Data assimilation is an iterative approach to the problem of estimating the state of a dynamical system using both current and past observations of the system together with a model for the system's time evolution. Rather than solving the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Brian R. Hunt , Eric J. Kostelich , Istvan Szunyogh

Statistical approaches for Functional Data Analysis concern the paradigm for which the individuals are functions or curves rather than finite dimensional vectors. In this paper, we particularly focus on the modeling and the classification…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Hervé Glotin

Variational methods have proven to be excellent tools to approximate ground states of complex many body Hamiltonians. Generic tools like neural networks are extremely powerful, but their parameters are not necessarily physically motivated.…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2022-03-04 Agnes Valenti , Eliska Greplova , Netanel H. Lindner , Sebastian D. Huber

This paper presents a significant advancement in the estimation of the Composite Link Model within a penalized likelihood framework, specifically designed to address indirect observations of grouped count data. While the model is effective…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Carlo G. Camarda , María Durbán

Modern deep neural networks can produce badly calibrated predictions, especially when train and test distributions are mismatched. Training an ensemble of models and averaging their predictions can help alleviate these issues. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Asa Cooper Stickland , Iain Murray

Motivated by applications to 3D printing, this paper presents two algorithms for calculating an ensemble of solutions to heat conduction problems. The ensemble average is the most likely temperature distribution and its variance gives an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-08-04 Joseph A. Fiordilino

Quantifying forecast uncertainty is a key aspect of state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction and data assimilation systems. Ensemble-based data assimilation systems incorporate state-dependent uncertainty quantification based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-17 Maximiliano A. Sacco , Manuel Pulido , Juan J. Ruiz , Pierre Tandeo

To increase statistical efficiency in a randomized experiment, researchers often use stratification (i.e., blocking) in the design stage. However, conventional practices of stratification fail to exploit valuable information about the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Zikai Li

This report presents three Moving Horizon Estimation (MHE) methods for discrete-time partitioned linear systems, i.e. systems decomposed into coupled subsystems with non-overlapping states. The MHE approach is used due to its capability of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-01 Marcello Farina , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate , Riccardo Scattolini

Classical discriminant analysis assumes identically distributed training data, yet in many applications observations are collected over time and the class-conditional distributions drift. This population drift renders stationary classifiers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Shuilian Xie , Mahdi Imani , Edward R. Dougherty , Ulisses M. Braga-Neto

We introduce a method for elucidating and modifying the functionality of systems dominated by rare events that relies on the automated tuning of their underlying free energy surface. The proposed approach seeks to construct collective…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-08-31 Dan Mendels , Juan J. de Pablo

We apply the recently developed adaptive ensemble optimization technique to simulate dense Lennard-Jones fluids and a particle-solvent model by broad-histogram Monte Carlo techniques. Equilibration of the simulated fluid is improved by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Simon Trebst , Emanuel Gull , Matthias Troyer

Stochastic simulation methods can be applied successfully to model exact spatio-temporally resolved reaction-diffusion systems. However, in many cases, these methods can quickly become extremely computationally intensive with increasing…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-29 Jonathan U. Harrison , Christian A. Yates

If error distribution has heteroscedasticity, it voliates the assumption of linear regression. Expectile regression is a powerful tool for estimating the conditional expectiles of a response variable in this setting. Since multiple levels…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Jinghang Lin , Yuan Huang , Shuangge Ma

The efficiency of statistical sampling in broad-histogram Monte Carlo simulations can be considerably improved by optimizing the simulated extended ensemble for fastest equilibration. Here we describe how a recently developed feedback…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-12-13 Stefan Wessel , Norbert Stoop , Emanuel Gull , Simon Trebst , Matthias Troyer

Objective: This paper investigates the potential of ensemble learning for variants of adjustment methods used in analogy-based effort estimation. The number k of analogies to be used is also investigated. Method We perform a large scale…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2017-03-20 Mohammad Azzeh , Ali Bou Nassif , Leandro L Minku

We present a new mixture model-based discriminant analysis approach for functional data using a specific hidden process regression model. The approach allows for fitting flexible curve-models to each class of complex-shaped curves…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Heré Glotin , Céline Rabouy

Critical decisions frequently rely on high-dimensional output from complex computer simulation models that show intricate cross-variable, spatial and temporal dependence structures, with weather and climate predictions being key examples.…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Roman Schefzik , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir , Tilmann Gneiting

There is a rich literature for modeling binary and polychotomous responses. However, existing methods are inadequate for handling combinatorial responses, where each response is an integer array under additional constraints. Such data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Yu Zheng , Malay Ghosh , Leo Duan

This research explores a hybrid approach to fine-tuning large language models (LLMs) by integrating real-world and synthetic data to boost model performance, particularly in generating accurate and contextually relevant responses. By…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Alexey Zhezherau , Alexei Yanockin
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