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According to a general probabilistic principle, the natural divisors of friable integers (i.e.~free of large prime factors) should normally present a Gaussian distribution. We show that this indeed is the case with conditional density…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-29 Sary Drappeau , Gérald Tenenbaum

This paper studies estimation of and inference on a distribution function $F$ that is concave on the nonnegative half line and admits a density function $f$ with potentially unbounded support. When $F$ is strictly concave, we show that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Zheng Fang

The empirical distribution function assigns mass $1/n$ to each of the $n$ observations in a sample. As these are highly variable, estimation error may be reduced by replacing them with estimated observations that are asymptotically less…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Tommaso Lando , Lorenzo Tedesco

Suppose that a compound Poisson process is observed discretely in time and assume that its jump distribution is supported on the set of natural numbers. In this paper we propose a non-parametric Bayesian approach to estimate the intensity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-21 Shota Gugushvili , Ester Mariucci , Frank van der Meulen

A compound Poisson process whose jump measure and intensity are unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. We construct a purely data-driven estimator of the L\'evy density $\nu$ through the spectral approach using general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-12 Alberto J. Coca

We use a functional analogue of the quantile function for probability measures on $\mathbb{R}^d$ to characterize a novel limit Poisson point process for radially recentred and rescaled random vectors under a radial-directional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-31 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Lambert de Monte , Ryan Campbell , Haavard Rue

Conditional simulation is a fundamental task in statistical modeling: Generate samples from the conditionals given finitely many data points from a joint distribution. One promising approach is to construct conditional Brenier maps, where…

Motivated by applications in functional data analysis, we study the partial sum process of sparsely observed, random functions. A key novelty of our analysis are bounds for the distributional distance between the limit Brownian motion and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-27 Tim Kutta , Piotr Kokoszka

The present work investigates the Lesche stability (experimental robustness), the thermodynamic stability, the Legendre structure of thermodynamics, and derives the Maximum Entropy distribution of the one--parametric ``nonextensive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Thomas Oikonomou

We revisit the problem of estimating the mean of a real-valued distribution, presenting a novel estimator with sub-Gaussian convergence: intuitively, "our estimator, on any distribution, is as accurate as the sample mean is for the Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Jasper C. H. Lee , Paul Valiant

Mobility entropy is proposed to measure predictability of human movements, based on which, the upper and lower bound of prediction accuracy is deduced, but corresponding mathematical expressions of prediction accuracy keeps yet open. In…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-01-29 Lu Liu , Wuyang Zhou , Sihai Zhang , Wei Cai

We deal with a planar random flight $\{(X(t),Y(t)),0<t\leq T\}$ observed at $n+1$ equidistant times $t_i=i\Delta_n,i=0,1,...,n$. The aim of this paper is to estimate the unknown value of the parameter $\lambda$, the underlying rate of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Alessandro De Gregorio

We consider the persistence probability, the occupation-time distribution and the distribution of the number of zero crossings for discrete or (equivalently) discretely sampled Gaussian Stationary Processes (GSPs) of zero mean. We first…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 George M. C. A. Ehrhardt , Satya N. Majumdar , Alan J. Bray

We show absence of energy levels repulsion for the eigenvalues of random Schr\"odinger operators in the continuum. We prove that, in the localization region at the bottom of the spectrum, the properly rescaled eigenvalues of a continuum…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-07-09 Jean-Michel Combes , François Germinet , Abel Klein

We introduce a nonasymptotic framework for sub-Poisson distributions with moment generating function dominated by that of a Poisson distribution. At its core is a new notion of optimal sub-Poisson variance proxy, analogous to the variance…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Lasse Leskelä , Ian Välimaa

We investigate the problem of semi-parametric maximum likelihood under constraints on summary statistics. Such a procedure results in a discrete probability distribution that maximises the likelihood among all such distributions under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Subhro Ghosh , Sanjay Chaudhuri

This paper considers the posterior contraction of non-parametric Bayesian inference on non-homogeneous Poisson processes. We consider the quality of inference on a rate function $\lambda$, given non-identically distributed realisations,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-26 James A. Grant , David S. Leslie

We establish some limit theorems for quasi-arithmetic means of random variables. This class of means contains the arithmetic, geometric and harmonic means. Our feature is that the generators of quasi-arithmetic means are allowed to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-09 Yuichi Akaoka , Kazuki Okamura , Yoshiki Otobe

Under the classical long-span asymptotic framework we develop a class of Generalized Laplace (GL) inference methods for the change-point dates in a linear time series regression model with multiple structural changes analyzed in, e.g., Bai…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

In this paper, we provide the proof of $L^2$ consistency for the $k$th nearest neighbour distance estimator of the Shannon entropy for an arbitrary fixed $k\geq 1.$ We construct the non-parametric test of goodness-of-fit for a class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-14 Mehmet Siddik Cadirci , Dafydd Evans , Nikolai Leonenko , Vitalii Makogin
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