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Latent Gaussian process (GP) models are flexible probabilistic non-parametric function models. Vecchia approximations are accurate approximations for GPs to overcome computational bottlenecks for large data, and the Laplace approximation is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-09 Pascal Kündig , Fabio Sigrist

In the paper [25], written in collaboration with Gesine Reinert, we proved a universality principle for the Gaussian Wiener chaos. In the present work, we aim at providing an original example of application of this principle in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-08 Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati

Latent Gaussian models (LGMs) are widely used in statistics and machine learning. Bayesian inference in non-conjugate LGMs is difficult due to intractable integrals involving the Gaussian prior and non-conjugate likelihoods. Algorithms…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-06-06 Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , Michael P. Friedlander , Matthias Seeger

The present manuscript is about application of It{\^o}'s calculus to the moment-generating function of the lognormal distribution. While Taylor expansion fails when applied to the moments of the lognormal due to divergence, various methods…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2021-07-13 Yuri Heymann

We derive a Dickman approximation for the small jumps of a large class of multivariate L\'evy processes. We then apply this approximation to develop a simulation method for the class of general multivariate gamma distributions (GMGD). A…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Michael Grabchak , Xingnan Zhang

The Hilbert-space Gaussian Process (HGP) approach offers a hyperparameter-independent basis function approximation for speeding up Gaussian Process (GP) inference by projecting the GP onto M basis functions. These properties result in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Frida Viset , Anton Kullberg , Frederiek Wesel , Arno Solin

Lewis and Mordecki have computed the Wiener-Hopf factorization of a L\'evy process whose restriction on $]0,+\infty[$ of their L\'evy measure has a rational Laplace transform. That allows to compute the distribution of $(X_t,\inf_{0\leq…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-26 Sonia Fourati

This note considers the applicability of Gauss-Hermite quadrature and direct numerical quadrature for computation of moment generating function (mgf) and the derivatives. A preprocessing using the asymptotic technique is employed while…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-26 N B Chakrabarti

A matrix factorization problem is considered. The matrix to be factorized is algebraic, has dimension 2 X 2 and belongs to Moiseev's class. A new method of factorization is proposed. First, the matrix factorization problem is reduced to a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-12-24 A. V. Shanin

Gaussian processes (GPs) are Bayesian nonparametric generative models that provide interpretability of hyperparameters, admit closed-form expressions for training and inference, and are able to accurately represent uncertainty. To model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-21 Gonzalo Rios , Felipe Tobar

The relativistic semi-classical approximation for a free massive particle is studied using the Wigner-Weyl formalism. A non-covariant Wigner function is proposed using the Newton-Wigner position operator. The perturbative solution for the…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 J. Mourad

A variety of infinitely wide neural architectures (e.g., dense NNs, CNNs, and transformers) induce Gaussian process (GP) priors over their outputs. These relationships provide both an accurate characterization of the prior predictive…

Forecasting future events is a fundamental challenge for temporal knowledge graphs (tKG). As in real life predicting a mean function is most of the time not sufficient, but the question remains how confident can we be about our prediction?…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-13 Soeren Nolting , Zhen Han , Volker Tresp

We establish an ordinary as well as a logarithmical convexity of the Moment Generating Function (MGF) for the centered random variable and vector (r.v.) satisfying the Kramer's condition. Our considerations are based on the theory of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-10 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We illustrate connections between differential geometry on finite simple graphs G=(V,E) and Riemannian manifolds (M,g). The link is that curvature can be defined integral geometrically as an expectation in a probability space of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-12-25 Oliver Knill

Exponential functionals of L\'evy processes appear as stationary distributions of generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (GOU) processes. In this paper we obtain the infinitesimal generator of the GOU process and show that it is a Feller process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-28 Anita Behme , Alexander Lindner

In this article, normal inverse Gaussian (NIG) autoregressive model is introduced. The parameters of the model are estimated using Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm. The efficacy of the EM algorithm is shown using simulated and real…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-16 Monika Singh Dhull , Arun Kumar

We adopt Gaussian Processes (GPs) as latent functions for probabilistic forecasting of intermittent time series. The model is trained in a Bayesian framework that accounts for the uncertainty about the latent function. We couple the latent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-28 Stefano Damato , Dario Azzimonti , Giorgio Corani

To achieve scalable and accurate inference for latent Gaussian processes, we propose a variational approximation based on a family of Gaussian distributions whose covariance matrices have sparse inverse Cholesky (SIC) factors. We combine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-30 Jian Cao , Myeongjong Kang , Felix Jimenez , Huiyan Sang , Florian Schafer , Matthias Katzfuss

A general explicit form for generating functions for approximating fractional derivatives is derived. To achieve this, an equivalent characterisation for consistency and order of approximations established on a general generating function…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-31 W. A. Gunarathna , H. M. Nasir , W. B. Daundasekera