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Uncertainties are abundant in complex systems. Mathematical models for these systems thus contain random effects or noises. The models are often in the form of stochastic differential equations, with some parameters to be determined by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Jiarui Yang , Jinqiao Duan

In this paper, we consider the normalized least squares estimator of the parameter in a mildly stationary first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) model with dependent errors which are modeled as a mildly stationary AR(1) process. By martingale…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-08 Hui Jiang , Guangyu Yang , Mingming Yu

Strongly consistent and asymptotically normal estimators of the Hurst parameter of solutions of stochastic differential equations are proposed. The estimators are based on discrete observations of the underlying processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Kestutis Kubilius , Viktor Skorniakov

We present an innovating sensitivity analysis for stochastic differential equations: We study the sensitivity, when the Hurst parameter~$H$ of the driving fractional Brownian motion tends to the pure Brownian value, of probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Alexandre Richard , Denis Talay

In this paper, we construct an estimator of an errors-in-variables linear regression model. The regression model leads to a constrained total least squares problems with row and column constraints. Although this problem can be numerically…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Kensuke Aishima

We address the inference problem concerning regression coefficients in a classical linear regression model using least squares estimates. The analysis is conducted under circumstances where network dependency exists across units in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-03 Jing Lei , Kehui Chen , Haeun Moon

We consider statistical models driven by Gaussian and non-Gaussian self-similar processes with long memory and we construct maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) for the drift parameter. Our approach is based on the approximation by random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-19 Karine Bertin , Soledad Torres , Ciprian Tudor

The analysis of high-frequency financial data is often impeded by the presence of noise. This article is motivated by intraday return data in which market microstructure noise appears to be rough, that is, best captured by a continuous-time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Carsten H. Chong , Thomas Delerue , Guoying Li

Robust regression techniques rely on least-squares optimization, which works well for Gaussian noise but fails in the presence of asymmetric structured noise. We propose a hybrid neural-symbolic architecture where a transformer encoder…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Roman Gutierrez , Tony Kai Tang , Isabel Gutierrez

Based on Malliavin calculus tools and approximation results, we show how to compute a maximum likelihood type estimator for a rather general differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H>1/2. Rates of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-05 Alexandra Chronopoulou , Samy Tindel

We investigate the asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators of the drift parameter for fractional vasicek model driven by a sub-fractional Brownian motion.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-08 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

We introduce a simulation-based, amortised Bayesian inference scheme to infer the parameters of random walks. Our approach learns the posterior distribution of the walks' parameters with a likelihood-free method. In the first step a graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Hippolyte Verdier , François Laurent , Alhassan Cassé , Christian Vestergaard , Jean-Baptiste Masson

This paper presents a numerical method to implement the parameter estimation method using response statistics that was recently formulated by the authors. The proposed approach formulates the parameter estimation problem of It\^o drift…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-05 He Zhang , Xiantao Li , John Harlim

This paper presents a new estimator of the global regularity index of a multifractional Brownian motion. Our estimation method is based upon a ratio statistic, which compares the realized global quadratic variation of a multifractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-11 Joachim Lebovits , Mark Podolskij

We present a purely deep neural network-based approach for estimating long memory parameters of time series models that incorporate the phenomenon of long-range dependence. Parameters, such as the Hurst exponent, are critical in…

We discuss maximum likelihood estimation of parameters for models governed by a stochastic differential equation driven by a mixed fractional Brownian motion with random effects.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-03 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

We study asymptotic normality of the randomized periodogram estimator of quadratic variation in the mixed Brownian--fractional Brownian model. In the semimartingale case, that is, where the Hurst parameter $H$ of the fractional part…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-08 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Tommi Sottinen , Lauri Viitasaari

This paper proposes consistent and asymptotically Gaussian estimators for the drift, the diffusion coefficient and the Hurst exponent of the discretely observed fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. For the estimation of the drift, the…

Computation · Statistics 2011-12-19 Alexandre Brouste , Stefano M. Iacus

We will consider the following stochastic differential equation (SDE): \begin{equation} X_t=X_0+\int_0^tb(X_s,\theta_0)ds+\sigma B_t,~~~t\in(0,T], \end{equation} where $\{B_t\}_{t\ge 0}$ is a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-24 Yasutaka Shimizu , Shohei Nakajima

We introduce the stochastic process of incremental multifractional Brownian motion (IMFBM), which locally behaves like fractional Brownian motion with a given local Hurst exponent and diffusivity. When these parameters change as function of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-07-27 Jakub Slezak , Ralf Metzler