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We analyze the effect of additive fractional noise with Hurst parameter $H > \frac{1}{2}$ on fast-slow systems. Our strategy is based on sample paths estimates, similar to the approach by Berglund and Gentz in the Brownian motion case. Yet,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Katharina Eichinger , Christian Kuehn , Alexandra Neamtu

We consider Langevin equation involving fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in(0,\frac12)$. Its solution is the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and with unknown drift parameter $\theta$. We construct the estimator that is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Kestutis Kubilius , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Oleg Seleznjev

We study a least squares estimator $\hat {\theta}_T$ for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, $dX_t=\theta X_t dt+\sigma dB^H_t$, driven by fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ with Hurst parameter $H\ge \frac12$. We prove the strong consistence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-02 Yaozhong Hu , David Nualart

This paper deals with the drift estimation in linear stochastic evolution equations (with emphasis on linear SPDEs) with additive fractional noise (with Hurst index ranging from 0 to 1) via least-squares procedure. Since the least-squares…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-11 Pavel Kříž , Jana Šnupárková

We address the problem of estimating the drift parameter in a system of $N$ interacting particles driven by additive fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index \( H \geq 1/2 \). Considering continuous observation of the interacting particles…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-12 Chiara Amorino , Ivan Nourdin , Radomyra Shevchenko

Strongly consistent and asymptotically normal estimators of the Hurst index and volatility parameters of solutions of stochastic differential equations with polynomial drift are proposed. The estimators are based on discrete observations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Kestutis Kubilius , Viktor Skorniakov , Dmitrij Melichov

We study the least squares estimator for the drift parameter of the Langevin stochastic equation driven by the Rosenblatt process. Using the techniques of the Malliavin calculus and the stochastic integration with respect to the Rosenblatt…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Radomyra Shevchenko , Ciprian A. Tudor

We study the nonparametric Nadaraya-Watson estimator of the drift function for ergodic stochastic processes driven by fractional Brownian motion of Hurst parameter H > 1/2. The estimator is based on the discretely observed stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Han Yuecai , Zhang Dingwen

We consider a reflected Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $X$ driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in (0, \frac12) \cup (\frac12, 1)$. Our goal is to estimate an unknown drift parameter $\alpha\in (-\infty,\infty)$ on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-24 Chihoon Lee , Jian Song

In recent years, there has been a substantive interest in rough volatility models. In this class of models, the local behavior of stochastic volatility is much more irregular than semimartingales and resembles that of a fractional Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Carsten Chong , Marc Hoffmann , Yanghui Liu , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Grégoire Szymanski

The fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is parameterized by the Hurst exponent $H\in(0,1)$, which determines the dependence structure and regularity of sample paths. Empirical findings suggest that the Hurst exponent may be non-constant in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Fabian Mies , Benedikt Wilkens

We investigate the parameter estimation and prediction of two forms of the stochastic SIR model driven by small L\'{e}vy noise with time-dependent periodic transmission. We present consistency and rate of convergence results for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-24 Terry Easlick , Wei Sun

We study a least squares estimator for an unknown parameter in the drift coefficient of a path- distribution dependent stochastic differential equation involving a small dispersion parameter epsilon greater than zero. The estimator, based…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-06 Panpan Ren , Jiang-Lun Wu

We construct the least-square estimator for the unknown drift parameter in the multifractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model and establish its strong consistency in the non-ergodic case. The proofs are based on the asymptotic bounds with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-19 Marco Dozzi , Yuriy Kozachenko , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

Sensitivity analysis w.r.t. the long-range/memory noise parameter for probability distributions of functionals of solutions to stochastic differential equations is an important stochastic modeling issue in many applications. In this paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-30 Alexandre Richard , Denis Talay

We study the first-passage time, the distribution of the maximum, and the absorption probability of fractional Brownian motion of Hurst parameter $H$ with both a linear and a non-linear drift. The latter appears naturally when applying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-12 Maxence Arutkin , Benjamin Walter , Kay Joerg Wiese

The statistical analysis for equations driven by fractional Gaussian process (fGp) is relatively recent. The development of stochastic calculus with respect to the fGp allowed to study such models. In the present paper we consider the drift…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Mohamed El Machkouri , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Youssef Ouknine

The purpose of the article is twofold. Firstly, we review some recent results on the maximum likelihood estimation in the regression model of the form $X_t = \theta G(t) + B_t$, where $B$ is a Gaussian process, $G(t)$ is a known function,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

In this paper, we consider a statistical problem of learning a linear model from noisy samples. Existing work has focused on approximating the least squares solution by using leverage-based scores as an importance sampling distribution.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-11 Siheng Chen , Rohan Varma , Aarti Singh , Jelena Kovačević

Fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of the second kind $(\text{fOU}_{2})$ is solution of the Langevin equation $\mathrm{d}X_t = -\theta X_t\,\mathrm{d}t+\mathrm{d}Y_t^{(1)}, \ \theta >0$ with driving noise $ Y_t^{(1)} := \int^t_0 e^{-s}…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-26 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Jose Igor Morlanes