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Ordinary Differential Equations are widespread tools to model chemical, physical, biological process but they usually rely on parameters which are of critical importance in terms of dynamic and need to be estimated directly from the data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Nicolas Brunel , Quentin Clairon

This paper considers the simultaneous state and unknown input estimation for continuous-discrete stochastic systems. Two types of approaches (with and without modeling of unknown inputs) which can address this issue are investigated. A…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-12 Peng Lu

We consider the sparse estimation for stochastic processes with possibly infinite-dimensional nuisance parameters, by using the Dantzig selector which is a sparse estimation method similar to $Z$-estimation. When a consistent estimator for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Kou Fujimori , Koji Tsukuda

This article investigates stochastic epidemic models with partial information and addresses the estimation of current values of not directly observable states. The latter is also called nowcasting and related to the so-called "dark figure"…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-03 Florent Ouabo Kamkumo , Ibrahim Mbouandi Njiasse , Ralf Wunderlich

The paper considers the problem of estimating the parameters in a continuous time regression model with a non-Gaussian noise of pulse type. The noise is specified by the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by the mixture of a Brownian motion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Evgeny Pchelintsev

Given the observation of a high-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process in continuous time, we proceed to the inference of the drift parameter under a row-sparsity assumption. Towards that aim, we consider the negative log-likelihood of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-12 Stéphane Gaïffas , Gustaw Matulewicz

We introduce and analyze a method of learning-informed parameter identification for partial differential equations (PDEs) in an all-at-once framework. The underlying PDE model is formulated in a rather general setting with three unknowns:…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-25 Christian Aarset , Martin Holler , Tram Thi Ngoc Nguyen

This paper addresses the problem of estimating drift parameter of the Ornstein - Uhlenbeck type process, driven by the sum of independent standard and fractional Brownian motions. The maximum likelihood estimator is shown to be consistent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-03 Pavel Chigansky , Marina Kleptsyna

Ordinary differential equation (ODE) models are widely used to describe systems in many areas of science. To ensure these models provide accurate and interpretable representations of real-world dynamics, it is often necessary to infer…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Selva Salimi , David J. Warne , Christopher Drovandi

We consider the problem of delay estimation by the observations of the solutions of several SDEs. It is known that the MLE for these models are consistent and asymptotically normal, but the likelihood ratio functions are not differentiable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Yury A. Kutoyants

We consider the problem of estimation of the drift parameter of an ergodic Ornstein--Uhlenbeck type process driven by a L\'evy process with heavy tails. The process is observed continuously on a long time interval $[0,T]$, $T\to\infty$. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-27 Alexander Gushchin , Ilya Pavlyukevich , Marian Ritsch

In this paper, we investigate the consistency and asymptotic efficiency of an estimator of the drift matrix, $F$, of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes that are not necessarily stable. We consider all the cases. (1) The eigenvalues of $F$ are in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-27 Gopal K. Basak , Philip Lee

Implicit sampling is a weighted sampling method that is used in data assimilation, where one sequentially updates estimates of the state of a stochastic model based on a stream of noisy or incomplete data. Here we describe how to use…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Jon Wilkening , Alexandre J. Chorin

In this paper, we consider sampling an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process through a channel for remote estimation. The goal is to minimize the mean square error (MSE) at the estimator under a sampling frequency constraint when the channel…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-30 Yuchao Chen , Haoyue Tang , Jintao Wang , Pengkun Yang , Leandros Tassiulas

Diesel engine particulate matter (PM) is one of the most challenging emission constituents to predict. As engines become cleaner and emissions levels drop, manufacturers need reliable methods to quantify the PM generated by production…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-16 Maxwell Bolt , Alex Alberts , Akash S. Desai , Peter Meckl , Ilias Bilionis

Fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of the second kind $(\text{fOU}_{2})$ is solution of the Langevin equation $\mathrm{d}X_t = -\theta X_t\,\mathrm{d}t+\mathrm{d}Y_t^{(1)}, \ \theta >0$ with Gaussian driving noise $ Y_t^{(1)} := \int^t_0…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-12 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Lauri Viitasaari

Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by general L\'{e}vy process are considered in this paper. We derive strongly consistent estimators for the moments of the underlying L\'{e}vy process and for the mean reverting parameter of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-30 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Boltzmann machines (BMs) are a class of binary neural networks for which there have been numerous proposed methods of estimation. Recently, it has been shown that in the fully visible case of the BM, the method of maximum pseudolikelihood…

Computation · Statistics 2014-09-30 Hien D. Nguyen , Ian A. Wood

Designing estimation algorithms for systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) such as fluid flows is challenging due to the high-dimensional and oftentimes nonlinear nature of the dynamics, as well as their dependence on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-20 Saviz Mowlavi , Mouhacine Benosman

Motivated by the modeling of the temporal structure of the velocity field in a highly turbulent flow, we propose and study a linear stochastic differential equation that involves the ingredients of a Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, supplemented…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-09-26 Laurent Chevillard