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Following the financial crisis of 2007-2008, a deep analogy between the origins of instability in financial systems and complex ecosystems has been pointed out: in both cases, topological features of network structures influence how easily…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-28 Marco Bardoscia , Stefano Battiston , Fabio Caccioli , Guido Caldarelli

Measurement and management of credit concentration risk is critical for banks and relevant for micro-prudential requirements. While several methods exist for measuring credit concentration risk within institutions, the systemic effect of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-09 Davide Cellai , Trevor Fitzpatrick

Systemic financial risk refers to the simultaneous failure or destabilization of multiple financial institutions, often triggered by contagion mechanisms or common exposures to shocks. In this paper, we present a dynamical model of bank…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Marco Ioffredi , Stefano Marmi , Matteo Tanzi

The aim of this paper is to quantify and manage systemic risk caused by default contagion in the interbank market. We model the market as a random directed network, where the vertices represent financial institutions and the weighted edges…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-18 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou , Daniel Ritter

Threats on the stability of a financial system may severely affect the functioning of the entire economy, and thus considerable emphasis is placed on the analyzing the cause and effect of such threats. The financial crisis in the current…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-28 Piotr Berman , Bhaskar DasGupta , Lakshmi Kaligounder , Marek Karpinski

We consider a financial network represented at any time instance by a random liability graph which evolves over time. The agents connect through credit instruments borrowed from each other or through direct lending, and these create the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-23 Indrajit Saha , Veeraruna Kavitha

In recent years, it has become apparent that an isolated microprudential approach to capital adequacy requirements of individual institutions is insufficient. It can increase the homogeneity of the financial system and ultimately the cost…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-27 Jana Hlavinova , Birgit Rudloff , Alexander Smirnow

In this paper we estimate the propagation of liquidity shocks through interbank markets when the information about the underlying credit network is incomplete. We show that techniques such as Maximum Entropy currently used to reconstruct…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-08 Iacopo Mastromatteo , Elia Zarinelli , Matteo Marsili

One of the most defining features of the global financial network is its inherent complex and intertwined structure. From the perspective of systemic risk it is important to understand the influence of this network structure on default…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-11 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou , Daniel Ritter

In the new field of financial systemic risk, the network of interbank counterparty relationships can be described as a directed random graph. In "cascade models" of systemic risk, this "skeleton" acts as the medium through which financial…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-11 T. R. Hurd

Since the latest financial crisis, the idea of systemic risk has received considerable interest. In particular, contagion effects arising from cross-holdings between interconnected financial firms have been studied extensively. Drawing…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Nils Bertschinger , Julian Stobbe

We present a network-based framework for simulating systemic risk that considers shock propagation in banking systems. In particular, the framework allows the modeller to reflect a top-down framework where a shock to one bank in the system…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-13 Nadine M Walters , Conrad Beyers , Gusti van Zyl , Rolf van den Heever

In the context of understanding the nature of the risk transformation process of the financial system we propose an iterative risk-trading game between several agents who build their trading strategies based on a general utility setting.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Stefan Thurner , Rudolf Hanel , Stefan Pichler

We propose a dynamic model of dependence structure between financial institutions within a financial system and we construct measures for dependence and financial instability. Employing Markov structures of joint credit migrations, our…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-11 Yu-Sin Chang

We consider the problem of risk diversification in complex networks. Nodes represent e.g. financial actors, whereas weighted links represent e.g. financial obligations (credits/debts). Each node has a risk to fail because of losses…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-27 Rebekka Burkholz , Antonios Garas , Frank Schweitzer

The seniority of debt, which determines the order in which a bankrupt institution repays its debts, is an important and sometimes contentious feature of financial crises, yet its impact on system-wide stability is not well understood. We…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-25 Charles D. Brummitt , Teruyoshi Kobayashi

Financial markets are exposed to systemic risk (SR), the risk that a major fraction of the system ceases to function, and collapses. It has recently become possible to quantify SR in terms of underlying financial networks where nodes…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-03 Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner

We contribute to the understanding of how systemic risk arises in a network of credit-interlinked agents. Motivated by empirical studies we formulate a network model which, despite its simplicity, depicts the nature of interbank markets…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-26 Oliver Kley , Claudia Klüppelberg , Lukas Reichel

The ongoing concern about systemic risk since the outburst of the global financial crisis has highlighted the need for risk measures at the level of sets of interconnected financial components, such as portfolios, institutions or members of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-24 Yannick Armenti , Stephane Crepey , Samuel Drapeau , Antonis Papapantoleon

Modern financial networks exhibit a high degree of interconnectedness and determining the causes of instability and contagion in financial networks is necessary to inform policy and avoid future financial collapse. In the American Economic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-26 Brett Hemenway , Sanjeev Khanna