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Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a natural framework for modelling intrinsic stochasticity inherent in many continuous-time physical processes. When such processes are observed in multiple individuals or experimental units,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-19 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock

This paper introduces a new approach to generating sample paths of unknown Markovian stochastic differential equations (SDEs) using diffusion models, a class of generative AI methods commonly employed in image and video applications. Unlike…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Xuefeng Gao , Jiale Zha , Xun Yu Zhou

A general framework for recovering drift and diffusion dynamics from sampled trajectories is presented for the first time for stochastic delay differential equations. The core relies on the well-established SINDy algorithm for the sparse…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Dimitri Breda , Dajana Conte , Raffaele D'Ambrosio , Ida Santaniello , Muhammad Tanveer

Autoregressive Markov switching (ARMS) time series models are used to represent real-world signals whose dynamics may change over time. They have found application in many areas of the natural and social sciences, as well as in engineering.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 José A. Martínez-Ordóñez , Javier López-Santiago , Joaquín Miguez

The complex dynamics of physical systems can often be modeled with stochastic differential equations. However, computational constraints inhibit the estimation of dynamics from large time-series datasets. I present a method for estimating…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-11-02 William Davis

We study parametric inference for ergodic diffusion processes with a degenerate diffusion matrix. Existing research focuses on a particular class of hypo-elliptic SDEs, with components split into `rough'/`smooth' and noise from rough…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-29 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos , Matthew Graham

Denoising diffusion models (DDMs) offer a flexible framework for sampling from high dimensional data distributions. DDMs generate a path of probability distributions interpolating between a reference Gaussian distribution and a data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-12 Christopher Williams , Andrew Campbell , Arnaud Doucet , Saifuddin Syed

We deal with the problem of parameter estimation in stochastic differential equations (SDEs) in a partially observed framework. We aim to design a method working for both elliptic and hypoelliptic SDEs, the latters being characterized by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-13 Quentin Clairon , Adeline Samson

Stochastic differential equations have proved to be a valuable governing framework for many real-world systems which exhibit ``noise'' or randomness in their evolution. One quality of interest in such systems is the shape of their…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-02-04 David Sabin-Miller , Daniel M. Abrams

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are one of the most important representations of dynamical systems. They are notable for the ability to include a deterministic component of the system and a stochastic one to represent random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-19 Noura Dridi , Lucas Drumetz , Ronan Fablet

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) offer powerful and accessible mathematical models for capturing both deterministic and probabilistic aspects of dynamic behavior across a wide range of physical, financial, and social systems.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Paromita Banerjee , Anirban Mondal

This paper gives direct derivations of the differential equations and likelihood formulas of diffusion models assuming only knowledge of Gaussian distributions. A VAE analysis derives both forward and backward stochastic differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 David McAllester

We propose an explicit drift-randomised Milstein scheme for both McKean--Vlasov stochastic differential equations and associated high-dimensional interacting particle systems with common noise. By using a drift-randomisation step in space…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-19 Sani Biswas , Chaman Kumar , Neelima , Gonçalo dos Reis , Christoph Reisinger

A challenge in multivariate problems with discrete structures is the inclusion of prior information that may differ in each separate structure. A particular example of this is seismic amplitude versus angle (AVA) inversion to elastic…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-09 Erlend Aune , Daniel Simpson

Mathematical models for complex systems are often accompanied with uncertainties. The goal of this paper is to extract a stochastic differential equation governing model with observation on stationary probability distributions. We develop a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Xiaoli Chen , Hui Wang , Jinqiao Duan

Simulating stochastic differential equations (SDEs) in bounded domains, presents significant computational challenges due to particle exit phenomena, which requires accurate modeling of interior stochastic dynamics and boundary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-23 Minglei Yang , Yanfang Liu , Diego del-Castillo-Negrete , Yanzhao Cao , Guannan Zhang

Estimating parameters of drift and diffusion coefficients for multidimensional stochastic delay equations with small noise are considered. The delay structure is written as an integral form with respect to a delay measure. Our contrast…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Hiroki Nemoto , Yasutaka Shimizu

Identification of nonlinear dynamical systems is crucial across various fields, facilitating tasks such as control, prediction, optimization, and fault detection. Many applications require methods capable of handling complex systems while…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Luc Brogat-Motte , Riccardo Bonalli , Alessandro Rudi

In this paper, a signal detection method based on the denoise diffusion model (DM) is proposed, which outperforms the maximum likelihood (ML) estimation method that has long been regarded as the optimal signal detection technique.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-14 Xiucheng Wang , Peilin Zheng , Nan Cheng

In this paper, an online multiscale model reduction method is presented for stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with multiplicative noise, where the diffusion coefficient is spatially multiscale and the noise perturbation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-26 Lijian Jiang , Mengnan Li , Meng Zhao