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The discrete-time multifactor Vasi\v{c}ek model is a tractable Gaussian spot rate model. Typically, two- or three-factor versions allow one to capture the dependence structure between yields with different times to maturity in an…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-05 Philipp Harms , David Stefanovits , Josef Teichmann , Mario V. Wüthrich

We investigate a multi-factor extension of the asymptotic single risk factor (ASRF) model that underlies the capital charges of the "Basel II Accord". In this extended model, it is still possible to derive closed-form solutions for the risk…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Dirk Tasche

Modeling counterparty risk is computationally challenging because it requires the simultaneous evaluation of all the trades with each counterparty under both market and credit risk. We present a multi-Gaussian process regression approach,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-18 Stéphane Crépey , Matthew Dixon

The European insurance sector will soon be faced with the application of Solvency 2 regulation norms. It will create a real change in risk management practices. The ORSA approach of the second pillar makes the capital allocation an…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-15 Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Didier Rullière , Khalil Said

South Africa assumes a significant position in the insurance landscape of Africa. The present research based upon qualitative and quantitative analysis, shows that it shows the characteristics of a Complex Adaptive System. In addition, a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2011-10-20 Satyakama Paul , Bhekisipho Twala , Tshilidzi Marwala

Even in the simple one-factor credit portfolio model that underlies the Basel II regulatory capital rules coming into force in 2007, the exact contributions to credit value-at-risk can only be calculated with Monte-Carlo simulation or with…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-10 Susanne Emmer , Dirk Tasche

We present an approach to market-consistent multi-period valuation of insurance liability cash flows based on a two-stage valuation procedure. First, a portfolio of traded financial instrument aimed at replicating the liability cash flow is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-15 Hampus Engsner , Mathias Lindholm , Filip Lindskog

A standard quantitative method to access credit risk employs a factor model based on joint multivariate normal distribution properties. By extending a one-factor Gaussian copula model to make a more accurate default forecast, this paper…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-07 Meng-Jou Lu , Cathy Yi-Hsuan Chen , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Firms should keep capital to offer sufficient protection against the risks they are facing. In the insurance context methods have been developed to determine the minimum capital level required, but less so in the context of firms with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-27 G. A. Delsing , M. R. H. Mandjes , P. J. C. Spreij , E. M. M. Winands

Due to the growing concerns for sustainable development, supply chains seek to invest in social sustainability issues to seize more market share in today's competitive business environment. This study aims to develop a coordination scheme…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Mahdi Ebrahimzadeh-Afrouzi , Masoud Asadpour Ahmadchali

This paper presents an empirical analysis of the capital asset pricing model using trading data for the Chinese A-share market from 2000 to 2019. Firstly, the standard CAPM is tested using a Fama-MacBetch regression and although the results…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Kai Ren

A simple, yet reasonably accurate, analytical technique is proposed for multi-factor structural credit portfolio models. The accuracy of the technique is demonstrated by benchmarking against Monte Carlo simulations. The approach presented…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-07-13 Mikhail Voropaev

We propose a credit risk model for portfolios composed of green and brown loans, extending the ASRF framework via a two-factor copula structure. Systematic risk is modeled using potentially skewed distributions, allowing for asymmetric…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-17 Alessandro Ramponi , Sergio Scarlatti

This paper studies flexible multi-facility capacity expansion with risk aversion. In this setting, the decision maker can periodically expand the capacity of facilities given observations of uncertain demand. We model this situation as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-15 Sixiang Zhao , William B. Haskell , Michel-Alexandre Cardin

Gaussian Conditional Random Fields (GCRF), as a structured regression model, is designed to achieve higher regression accuracy than unstructured predictors at the expense of execution time, taking into account the objects similarities and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Milan Bašić , Branko Arsić , Zoran Obradović

This paper proposes a semiparametric stochastic volatility (SV) model that relaxes the restrictive Gaussian assumption in both the return and volatility error terms, allowing them to follow flexible, nonparametric distributions with…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-03 Yudong Feng , Ashis Gangopadhyay

In the field of quantitative finance, volatility models, such as ARCH, GARCH, FIGARCH, SV, EWMA, play the key role in risk and portfolio management. Meanwhile, factor investing is more and more famous since mid of 20 century. CAPM, Fama…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-25 Ke Zhang

Systematic and multifactor risk models are revisited via methods which were already successfully developed in signal processing and in automatic control. The results, which bypass the usual criticisms on those risk modeling, are illustrated…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-19 Michel Fliess , Cédric Join

The aim of this paper is to introduce a method for computing the allocated Solvency II Capital Requirement (SCR) of each Risk which the company is exposed to, taking in account for the diversification effect among different risks. The…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-11 Ivan Granito , Paolo De Angelis

We study market-consistent valuation of liability cash flows motivated by current regulatory frameworks for the insurance industry. Building on the theory on multiple-prior optimal stopping we propose a valuation functional with sound…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-02 Hampus Engsner , Filip Lindskog , Julie Thoegersen
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