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We consider a non-linear filtering problem, whereby the signal obeys the stochastic Navier-Stokes equations and is observed through a linear mapping with additive noise. The setup is relevant to data assimilation for numerical weather…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-10 Francesc Pons Llopis , Nikolas Kantas , Alexandros Beskos , Ajay Jasra

This paper develops a connection between the asymptotic stability of nonlinear filters and a notion of observability. We consider a general class of hidden Markov models in continuous time with compact signal state space, and call such a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-15 Ramon van Handel

We study the numerical solution of nonlinear partially observed optimal stopping problems. The system state is taken to be a multi-dimensional diffusion and drives the drift of the observation process, which is another multi-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-01-20 Mike Ludkovski

We consider the problem of filtering an unseen Markov chain from noisy observations, in the presence of uncertainty regarding the parameters of the processes involved. Using the theory of nonlinear expectations, we describe the uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-15 Samuel N. Cohen

We consider a nonlinear filtering problem for a signal-observation system driven by a Volterra-type Gaussian rough path, whose sample paths may exhibit greater roughness than those of Brownian motion. The observation process includes a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Thomas Cass , Dan Crisan , Andrea Iannucci

We study the fundamental problem of learning a marginally stable unknown nonlinear dynamical system. We describe an algorithm for this problem, based on the technique of spectral filtering, which learns a mapping from past observations to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Evan Dogariu , Anand Brahmbhatt , Elad Hazan

We consider the discrete-time filtering problem in scenarios where the observation noise is low or degenerate. We focus on the case where the observation equation is a linear function of the state and the data involve additive noise.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-01 Abylay Zhumekenov , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

We derive a maximum a posteriori estimator for the linear observation model, where the signal and noise covariance matrices are both uncertain. The uncertainties are treated probabilistically by modeling the covariance matrices with prior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-12 Dave Zachariah , Nafiseh Shariati , Mats Bengtsson , Magnus Jansson , Saikat Chatterjee

This paper discusses the problem of estimating a stochastic signal from nonlinear uncertain observations with time-correlated additive noise described by a first-order Markov process. Random deception attacks are assumed to be launched by…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-09 R. Caballero-Águila , J. Hu , J. Linares-Pérez

This paper studies a nonlinear filtering problem over an infinite time interval. The signal to be estimated is driven by a stochastic partial differential equation involves unknown parameters. Based on discrete observation, strongly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-12 Qizhu Liang , Jie Xiong , Xingqiu Zhao

We study a linear filtering problem where the signal and observation processes are described as solutions of linear stochastic differential equations driven by time-space Brownian sheets. We derive a stochastic integral equation for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Nacira Agram , Bernt Øksendal , Frank Proske , Olena Tymoshenko

Filtering problems with jumps in both the signal and the observation have been extensively studied, typically under the assumption that jump times are totally inaccessible. In many applications, however, jump times are known in advance…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Thorsten Schmidt , Félix B. Tambe-Ndonfack

We consider the problem of pointwise estimation of multi-dimensional signals $s$, from noisy observations $(y_\tau)$ on the regular grid $\bZd$. Our focus is on the adaptive estimation in the case when the signal can be well recovered using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-09-05 Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadii S. Nemirovski

We look at a stochastic time-varying optimization problem and we formulate online algorithms to find and track its optimizers in expectation. The algorithms are derived from the intuition that standard prediction and correction steps can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Andrea Simonetto , Paolo Massioni

Nonlinear filtering is the problem of online estimation of a dynamic hidden variable from incoming data and has vast applications in different fields, ranging from engineering, machine learning, economic science and natural sciences. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-19 Anna Kutschireiter , Simone Carlo Surace , Jean-Pascal Pfister

A learning-based safety filter is developed for discrete-time linear time-invariant systems with unknown models subject to Gaussian noises with unknown covariance. Safety is characterized using polytopic constraints on the states and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Farhad Farokhi , Alex S. Leong , Mohammad Zamani , Iman Shames

Three situations in which filtering theory is used in mathematical finance are illustrated at different levels of detail. The three problems originate from the following different works: 1) On estimating the stochastic volatility model from…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-23 Damiano Brigo , Bernard Hanzon

The problem of state estimation has a long history with many successful algorithms that allow analytical derivation or approximation of posterior filtering distribution given the noisy observations. This report tries to conclude previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-06 Nikita Kostin

We study short-horizon forecasting in financial time series under strict causal constraints, treating the market as a non-stationary stochastic system in which any predictive observable must be computable online from information available…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-01 Lucas A. Souza

We study filtering of multiscale dynamical systems with model error arising from unresolved smaller scale processes. The analysis assumes continuous-time noisy observations of all components of the slow variables alone. For a linear model…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-12-03 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim
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