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We consider the problem of estimating parameters of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with discrete-time observations that are either completely or partially observed. The transition density between two observations is generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-09 Libo Sun , Chihoon Lee , Jennifer A. Hoeting

This paper introduces an adaptive time splitting technique for the solution of stiff evolutionary PDEs that guarantees an effective error control of the simulation, independent of the fastest physical time scale for highly unsteady…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-04-10 Stéphane Descombes , Max Duarte , Thierry Dumont , Violaine Louvet , Marc Massot

This paper deals with the problem of efficient sampling from a stochastic differential equation, given the drift function and the diffusion matrix. The proposed approach leverages a recent model for probabilities \cite{rudi2021psd} (the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-25 Anant Raj , Umut Şimşekli , Alessandro Rudi

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) offer powerful and accessible mathematical models for capturing both deterministic and probabilistic aspects of dynamic behavior across a wide range of physical, financial, and social systems.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Paromita Banerjee , Anirban Mondal

We propose an algorithm for approximating the solution of a strongly oscillating SDE, that is, a system in which some ergodic state variables evolve quickly with respect to the other variables. The algorithm profits from homogenization…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Camilo Andrés García Trillos

We present a novel deep learning method for estimating time-dependent parameters in Markov processes through discrete sampling. Departing from conventional machine learning, our approach reframes parameter approximation as an optimization…

We study stochastic delay differential equations (SDDE) where the coefficients depend on the moving averages of the state process. As a first contribution, we provide sufficient conditions under which a linear path functional of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-17 Salvatore Federico , Peter Tankov

We consider the problem of inferring latent stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with a time and memory cost that scales independently with the amount of data, the total length of the time series, and the stiffness of the approximate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Kevin Course , Prasanth B. Nair

The parareal algorithm is known to allow for a significant reduction in wall clock time for accurate numerical solutions by parallelising across the time dimension. We present and test a micro-macro version of parareal, in which the fine…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-20 Tony Lelièvre , Frédéric Legoll , Keith Myerscough , Giovanni Samaey

This paper applies several well-known tricks from the numerical treatment of deterministic differential equations to improve the efficiency of the Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method for stochastic differential equations (SDEs) and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-12-23 Eike H. Mueller , Rob Scheichl , Tony Shardlow

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are established tools to model physical phenomena whose dynamics are affected by random noise. By estimating parameters of an SDE intrinsic randomness of a system around its drift can be identified…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-03 Umberto Picchini , Susanne Ditlevsen

We present an algorithm for the efficient sampling of conditional paths of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). While unconditional path sampling of SDEs is straightforward, albeit expensive for high dimensional systems of SDEs,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Panagiotis Stinis

Multiscale stochastic dynamical systems have been widely adopted to a variety of scientific and engineering problems due to their capability of depicting complex phenomena in many real world applications. This work is devoted to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-02 Lingyu Feng , Ting Gao , Min Dai , Jinqiao Duan

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a natural framework for modelling intrinsic stochasticity inherent in many continuous-time physical processes. When such processes are observed in multiple individuals or experimental units,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-19 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock

Stochastic differential equations (SDE) often exhibit large random transitions. This property, which we denote as pathwise stiffness, causes transient bursts of stiffness which limit the allowed step size for common fixed time step explicit…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-13 Christopher Rackauckas , Qing Nie

We present a stochastic method for efficiently computing the solution of time-fractional partial differential equations (fPDEs) that model anomalous diffusion problems of the subdiffusive type. After discretizing the fPDE in space, the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-27 Nicolas L. Guidotti , Juan Acebrón , José Monteiro

In various practical situations, we encounter data from stochastic processes which can be efficiently modelled by an appropriate parametric model for subsequent statistical analyses. Unfortunately, the most common estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Rohan Hore , Abhik Ghosh

Fluid dynamical simulations are often performed using cheap macroscopic models like the Euler equations. For rarefied gases under near-equilibrium conditions, however, macroscopic models are not sufficiently accurate and a simulation using…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-31 Julian Koellermeier , Hannes Vandecasteele

We report new statistical time-series analysis tools providing significant improvements in the rapid, precision extraction of discrete state dynamics from large databases of experimental observations of molecular machines. By building…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-10-23 Max A. Little , Bradley C. Steel , Fan Bai , Yoshiyuki Sowa , Thomas Bilyard , David M. Mueller , Richard M. Berry , Nick S. Jones

We study the dynamics of a continuous-time model of the Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) for the least-square problem. Indeed, pursuing the work of Li et al. (2019), we analyze Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) that model SGD either…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Adrien Schertzer , Loucas Pillaud-Vivien