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Recent work has suggested that in highly correlated systems, such as sandpiles, turbulent fluids, ignited trees in forest fires and magnetization in a ferromagnet close to a critical point, the probability distribution of a global quantity…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-29 Sandra Chapman , George Rowlands , Nicholas Watkins

Many randomized approximation algorithms operate by giving a procedure for simulating a random variable $X$ which has mean $\mu$ equal to the target answer, and a relative standard deviation bounded above by a known constant $c$. Examples…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-16 Mark Huber

Policy Gradient methods that explore directly in parameter space are among the most effective and robust direct policy search methods and have drawn a lot of attention lately. The basic method from this field, Policy Gradients with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-12-16 Frank Sehnke

Statistical inference for extreme values of random events is difficult in practice due to low sample sizes and inaccurate models for the studied rare events. If prior knowledge for extreme values is available, Bayesian statistics can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Tobias Kallehauge

We consider statistical inference for a finite-dimensional parameter in a regular semiparametric model under a distributed setting with blockwise missingness, where entire blocks of variables are unavailable at certain sites and sharing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Jingyue Huang , Huiyuan Wang , Yuqing Lei , Yong Chen

Statistical pragmatism embraces all efficient methods in statistical inference. Augmentation of the collected data is used herein to obtain representative population information from a large class of non-representative population's units.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-04 Yannis G. Yatracos

Method of parameterizing and smoothing the unknown underling distributions using Bernstein polynomials is proposed, verified and investigated. Any distribution with bounded and smooth enough density can be approximated by the proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-23 Zhong Guan

We study the problem of recovering a block-sparse signal from under-sampled observations. The non-zero values of such signals appear in few blocks, and their recovery is often accomplished using a $\ell_{1,2}$ optimization problem. In…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-30 Sajad Daei , Farzan Haddadi , Arash Amini

Modern statistical analyses often encounter datasets with massive sizes and heavy-tailed distributions. For datasets with massive sizes, traditional estimation methods can hardly be used to estimate the extreme value index directly. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-26 Yongxin Li , Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Hansheng Wang

Despite the frequent use of agent-based models (ABMs) for studying social phenomena, parameter estimation remains a challenge, often relying on costly simulation-based heuristics. This work uses variational inference to estimate the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Jacopo Lenti , Fabrizio Silvestri , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales

In this article, a generalized version of Negative binomial-beta exponential distribution with five parameters have been introduced. Some interesting submodels have been derived from it. A comprehensive mathematical treatment of proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-31 Anwar Hassan , Ishfaq Shah Ahmad , Peer Bilal Ahmad

It is not unusual for a data analyst to encounter data sets distributed across several computers. This can happen for reasons such as privacy concerns, efficiency of likelihood evaluations, or just the sheer size of the whole data set. This…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-22 Randy C. S. Lai , J. Hannig , Thomas C. M. Lee

We consider the effective sample size, based on Godambe information, for block likelihood inference which is an attractive and computationally feasible alternative to full likelihood inference for large correlated datasets. With reference…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-21 Rahul Mukerjee

We derive distributional limits for empirical transport distances between probability measures supported on countable sets. Our approach is based on sensitivity analysis of optimal values of infinite dimensional mathematical programs and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-18 Carla Tameling , Max Sommerfeld , Axel Munk

Scientific modeling applications often require estimating a distribution of parameters consistent with a dataset of observations - an inference task also known as source distribution estimation. This problem can be ill-posed, however, since…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Julius Vetter , Guy Moss , Cornelius Schröder , Richard Gao , Jakob H. Macke

Scientific experiments are usually expensive due to complex experimental preparation and processing. Experimental design is therefore involved with the task of finding the optimal experimental input that results in the desirable output by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-27 Cheng Li , Sunil Gupta , Santu Rana , Vu Nguyen , Antonio Robles-Kelly , Svetha Venkatesh

Extreme quantile regression provides estimates of conditional quantiles outside the range of the data. Classical quantile regression performs poorly in such cases since data in the tail region are too scarce. Extreme value theory is used…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-22 Jasper Velthoen , Clément Dombry , Juan-Juan Cai , Sebastian Engelke

Sampling-based algorithms are classical approaches to perform Bayesian inference in inverse problems. They provide estimators with the associated credibility intervals to quantify the uncertainty on the estimators. Although these methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-28 Pierre-Antoine Thouvenin , Audrey Repetti , Pierre Chainais

Gibbs sampling is a workhorse for Bayesian inference but has several limitations when used for parameter estimation, and is often much slower than non-sampling inference methods. SAME (State Augmentation for Marginal Estimation)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-09-19 Huasha Zhao , Biye Jiang , John Canny

Categorical variables are a natural choice for representing discrete structure in the world. However, stochastic neural networks rarely use categorical latent variables due to the inability to backpropagate through samples. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-08 Eric Jang , Shixiang Gu , Ben Poole