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In some estimation problems, especially in applications dealing with information theory, signal processing and biology, theory provides us with additional information allowing us to restrict the parameter space to a finite number of points.…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-25 Christine Choirat , Raffaello Seri

A new way to design parameter estimators with enhanced performance is proposed in the paper. The procedure consists of two stages, first, the generation of new regression forms via the application of a dynamic operator to the original…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Aranovskiy Stanislav , Bobtsov Alexey , Ortega Romeo , Pyrkin Anton

Online reinforcement learning and other adaptive sampling algorithms are increasingly used in digital intervention experiments to optimize treatment delivery for users over time. In this work, we focus on longitudinal user data collected by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-20 Kelly W. Zhang , Lucas Janson , Susan A. Murphy

As artificial intelligence and machine learning tools become more accessible, and scientists face new obstacles to data collection (e.g., rising costs, declining survey response rates), researchers increasingly use predictions from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-08 Stephen Salerno , Kentaro Hoffman , Awan Afiaz , Anna Neufeld , Tyler H. McCormick , Jeffrey T. Leek

Statistical resampling methods have become feasible for parametric estimation, hypothesis testing, and model validation now that the computer is a ubiquitous tool for statisticians. This essay focuses on the resampling technique for…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-03 Avery McIntosh

Empirical regression discontinuity (RD) studies often include covariates in their specifications to increase the precision of their estimates. In this paper, we propose a novel class of estimators that use such covariate information more…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-28 Claudia Noack , Tomasz Olma , Christoph Rothe

The statistical problem of using an initial sample to estimate the number of species in a larger sample has found important applications in fields far removed from ecology. Here we address the general problem of estimating the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-16 Chao Deng , Timothy Daley , Peter Calabrese , Jie Ren , Andrew D. Smith

A new implementation of an adiabatically-trained ensemble model is derived that shows significant improvements over classical methods. In particular, empirical results of this new algorithm show that it offers not just higher performance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Salvatore Certo , Andrew Vlasic , Daniel Beaulieu

We provide a reason for Bayesian updating, in the Bernoulli case, even when it is assumed that observations are independent and identically distributed with a fixed but unknown parameter $\theta_0$. The motivation relies on the use of loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-08 Pier Giovanni Bissiri , Stephen G. Walker

An efficient learner is one who reuses what they already know to tackle a new problem. For a machine learner, this means understanding the similarities amongst datasets. In order to do this, one must take seriously the idea of working with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-21 Harrison Edwards , Amos Storkey

Randomized controlled trials generate experimental variation that can credibly identify causal effects, but often suffer from limited scale, while observational datasets are large, but often violate desired identification assumptions. To…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-27 George Z. Gui

Suppose we observe an invertible linear process with independent mean-zero innovations and with coefficients depending on a finite-dimensional parameter, and we want to estimate the expectation of some function under the stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Anton Schick , Wolfgang Wefelmeyer

The need for accurate SQL progress estimation in the context of decision support administration has led to a number of techniques proposed for this task. Unfortunately, no single one of these progress estimators behaves robustly across the…

Databases · Computer Science 2012-01-04 Arnd Christian König , Bolin Ding , Surajit Chaudhuri , Vivek Narasayya

This paper develops a new framework for indirect statistical inference with guaranteed necessity and sufficiency, applicable to continuous random variables. We prove that when comparing exponentially transformed order statistics from an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-25 Z Zhang , X Hu , C Lu , T Liu

Bias correction can often improve the finite sample performance of estimators. We show that the choice of bias correction method has no effect on the higher-order variance of semiparametrically efficient parametric estimators, so long as…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-29 Jinyong Hahn , David W. Hughes , Guido Kuersteiner , Whitney K. Newey

The empirical distribution function assigns mass $1/n$ to each of the $n$ observations in a sample. As these are highly variable, estimation error may be reduced by replacing them with estimated observations that are asymptotically less…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Tommaso Lando , Lorenzo Tedesco

We consider statistical inference for a finite-dimensional parameter in a regular semiparametric model under a distributed setting with blockwise missingness, where entire blocks of variables are unavailable at certain sites and sharing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Jingyue Huang , Huiyuan Wang , Yuqing Lei , Yong Chen

We provide a novel characterization of semiparametric efficiency in a generic supervised learning setting where the outcome mean function -- defined as the conditional expectation of the outcome of interest given the other observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Harrison H. Li

New inequalities are proved for the variance of the Pitman estimators (minimum variance equivariant estimators) of \theta constructed from samples of fixed size from populations F(x-\theta). The inequalities are closely related to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-11 Abram M. Kagan , Tinghui Yu , Andrew Barron , Mokshay Madiman

In this paper we derive inferential results for a new index of inequality, specifically defined for capturing significant changes observed both in the left and in the right tail of the income distributions. The latter shifts are an apparent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-20 Youri Davydov , Francesca Greselin