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Day-to-day traffic dynamics are widely used to model flow evolution due to travelers' learning and adjustment behavior, yet empirical analysis of these models often relies on descriptive calibration with limited inferential content. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Minghui Wu , Yafeng Yin , Jerome P. Lynch , Zhichen Liu

Spatial-temporal prediction is a fundamental problem for constructing smart city, which is useful for tasks such as traffic control, taxi dispatching, and environmental policy making. Due to data collection mechanism, it is common to see…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Huaxiu Yao , Yiding Liu , Ying Wei , Xianfeng Tang , Zhenhui Li

This paper addresses the problem of traffic prediction in distributed backend systems and proposes a graph neural network based modeling approach to overcome the limitations of traditional models in capturing complex dependencies and…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Zhimin Qiu , Feng Liu , Yuxiao Wang , Chenrui Hu , Ziyu Cheng , Di Wu

In this paper, we combine the most complete record of daily mobility, based on large-scale mobile phone data, with detailed Geographic Information System (GIS) data, uncovering previously hidden patterns in urban road usage. We find that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-24 Pu Wang , Timothy Hunter , Alexandre M. Bayen , Katja Schechtner , Marta C. González

Urban traffic flow is governed by the complex, nonlinear interaction between land use configuration and spatiotemporally heterogeneous mobility demand. Conventional global regression and time-series models cannot simultaneously capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-09 Olaf Yunus Laitinen Imanov

Motivated by the EVA 2025 Data Challenge, we address the problem of predicting extreme rainfall in the eastern United States using data from a large ensemble of climate model runs. The challenge focuses on three quantities of interest…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-20 Ryan Campbell , Kristina Grolmusova , Lydia Kakampakou , Jeongjin Lee

Human settlements on Earth are scattered in a multitude of shapes, sizes and spatial arrangements. These patterns are often not random but a result of complex geographical, cultural, economic and historical processes that have profound…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-03 Emanuele Strano , Filippo Simini , Marco De Nadai , Thomas Esch , Mattia Marconcini

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

Analyses of urban scaling laws assume that observations in different cities are independent of the existence of nearby cities. Here we introduce generative models and data-analysis methods that overcome this limitation by modelling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-21 Eduardo G. Altmann

Integrating structural information and metadata, such as gender, social status, or interests, enriches networks and enables a better understanding of the large-scale structure of complex systems. However, existing approaches to metadata…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-16 Aleix Bassolas , Anton Eriksson , Antoine Marot , Martin Rosvall , Vincenzo Nicosia

The discovery of spatio-temporal dependencies within urban road networks that cause Recurrent Congestion (RC) patterns is crucial for numerous real-world applications, including urban planning and scheduling of public transportation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Nicolas Tempelmeier , Udo Feuerhake , Oskar Wage , Elena Demidova

Our ability to grasp and understand complex phenomena is essentially based on recognizing structures and relating these to each other. For example, any meteorological description of a weather condition and explanation of its evolution…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-12-17 Natalia Mikula , Tom Dörffel , Daniel Baum , Hans-Christian Hege

The geography of innovation offers a framework to understand how territorial characteristics shape innovation, often via spatial and cognitive proximity. Empirical research has focused largely on national and regional scales, while urban…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-05 Eleni Oikonomaki , Belivanis Dimitris , Kakderi Christina

Spatiotemporal (ST) data collected by sensors can be represented as multi-variate time series, which is a sequence of data points listed in an order of time. Despite the vast amount of useful information, the ST data usually suffer from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-20 Li Jiang , Ting Zhang , Qiruyi Zuo , Chenyu Tian , George P. Chan , Wai Kin , Chan

Trajectory prediction plays a vital role in automotive radar systems, facilitating precise tracking and decision-making in autonomous driving. Generative adversarial networks with the ability to learn a distribution over future trajectories…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Peiyuan Zhu , Fengxia Han , Hao Deng

Mitigating traffic congestion on urban roads, with paramount importance in urban development and reduction of energy consumption and air pollution, depends on our ability to foresee road usage and traffic conditions pertaining to the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-27 Jingyuan Wang , Yu Mao , Jing Li , Chao Li , Zhang Xiong , Wen-Xu Wang

Intersections are one of the main sources of congestion and hence, it is important to understand traffic behavior at intersections. Particularly, in developing countries with high vehicle density, mixed traffic type, and lane-less driving…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Debaditya Roy , K. Naveen Kumar , C. Krishna Mohan

As urban populations continue to grow, cities face numerous challenges in managing parking and determining occupancy. This issue is particularly pronounced in university campuses, where students need to find vacant parking spots quickly and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Madyan Bagosher , Tala Mustafa , Mohammad Alsmirat , Amal Al-Ali , Isam Mashhour Al Jawarneh

We introduce a dynamical spatio-temporal model formalized as a recurrent neural network for forecasting time series of spatial processes, i.e. series of observations sharing temporal and spatial dependencies. The model learns these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Ali Ziat , Edouard Delasalles , Ludovic Denoyer , Patrick Gallinari

Governing equations are fundamental for describing and predicting dynamic urban geographic systems. Unlike physical systems guided by first principles, urban spatiotemporal phenomena emerge from coupled geographic processes that lack…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-23 Zhongfu Ma , Di Zhu