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In this paper we introduce a class of stochastic population models based on "patch dynamics". The size of the patch may be varied, and this allows one to quantify the departures of these stochastic models from various mean field theories,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-11 A. J. McKane , T. J. Newman

Biological entities are inherently dynamic. As such, various ecological disciplines use mathematical models to describe temporal evolution. Typically, growth curves are modelled as sigmoids, with the evolution modelled by ordinary…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-09-12 A. Samoletov , B. Vasiev

The building of mathematical and computer models of cities has a long history. The core elements are models of flows (spatial interaction) and the dynamics of structural evolution. In this article, we develop a stochastic model of urban…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-10 L. Ellam , M. Girolami , G. A. Pavliotis , A. Wilson

Stochastic dynamical systems arise naturally across nearly all areas of science and engineering. Typically, a dynamical system model is based on some prior knowledge about the underlying dynamics of interest in which probabilistic features…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-09-03 Chao Yin , Xihaier Luo , Ahsan Kareem

We study the stochastic evolution of four species in cyclic competition in a well mixed environment. In systems composed of a finite number $N$ of particles these simple interaction rules result in a rich variety of extinction scenarios,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-07-09 C. H. Durney , S. O. Case , M. Pleimling , R. K. P. Zia

In this paper, we consider a simple stochastic epidemic model on large regular random graphs and the stochastic process that corresponds to this dynamics in the standard pair approximation. Using the fact that the nodes of a pair are…

Biological Physics · Physics 2009-11-28 Ganna Rozhnova , Ana Nunes

Population dynamics in fields such as molecular biology, epidemiology, and ecology exhibit highly stochastic and non-linear behaviour. In gene regulatory systems in particular, oscillations and multi-stability are especially common. Despite…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-13 Frederick Truman-Williams , Giorgos Minas

A central problem in population ecology is understanding the consequences of stochastic fluctuations. Analytically tractable models with Gaussian driving noise have led to important, general insights, but they fail to capture rare,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-08 Brandon H. Schlomann

Existing studies on the degree correlation of evolving networks typically rely on differential equations and statistical analysis, resulting in only approximate solutions due to inherent randomness. To address this limitation, we propose an…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-13 Yue Xiao , Xiaojun Zhang

We consider an individual-based spatially structured population for Darwinian evolution in an asexual population. The individuals move randomly on a bounded continuous space according to a reflected brownian motion. The dynamics involves…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Helene Leman

This paper considers the problem of randomized influence maximization over a Markovian graph process: given a fixed set of nodes whose connectivity graph is evolving as a Markov chain, estimate the probability distribution (over this fixed…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-11-10 Buddhika Nettasinghe , Vikram Krishnamurthy

We propose a mathematical framework for natural selection in finite populations. Traditionally, many of the selection-based processes used to describe cultural and genetic evolution (such as imitation and birth-death models) have been…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-11-18 Alex McAvoy

Stochastic chemical reaction or population dynamics in finite systems often terminates in an absorbing state. Yet in large spatially extended systems, the time to reach species extinction (or fixation) becomes exceedingly long. Tuning…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-17 Kenneth A. V. Distefano , Sara Shabani , Uwe C. Täuber

The simplest, and most common, stochastic model for population processes, including those from biochemistry and cell biology, are continuous time Markov chains. Simulation of such models is often relatively straightforward as there are…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-01 David F. Anderson , Masanori Koyama

The individual-based model of simple contagion processes is considered on regular graphs. This model explicitly incorporates the adjacency matrix of the network enabling us to study the effect of network structure on the dynamic of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-10 Noémi Nagy , Sándor Horváth , Balázs Maga , Péter L. Simon

This paper studies a novel approach for approximating the behavior of compartmental spreading processes. In contrast to prior work, the methods developed describe a dynamics which bound the exact moment dynamics, without explicitly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-21 Nicholas J. Watkins , Cameron Nowzari , Victor M. Preciado , George J. Pappas

We present a general framework to describe the evolutionary dynamics of an arbitrary number of types in finite populations based on stochastic differential equations (SDE). For large, but finite populations this allows to include…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-13 Arne Traulsen , Jens Christian Claussen , Christoph Hauert

Laboratory experiments with bacterial colonies, under well-controlled conditions often lead to evolutionary diversification, where at least two ecotypes emerge from an initially monomorphic population. Empirical evidence suggests that such…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-06 Roberto Corral López , Samir Suweis , Sandro Azaele , Miguel A. Muñoz

Evolution occurs in populations of reproducing individuals. It is well known that population structure can affect evolutionary dynamics. Traditionally, natural selection is studied between mutants that differ in reproductive rate, but are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-23 Josef Tkadlec , Kamran Kaveh , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Martin A. Nowak

Several theoretical frameworks have been proposed to explain observed biodiversity patterns, ranging from the classical niche-based theories, mainly employing a continuous formalism, to neutral theories, based on statistical mechanics of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-01 Xue Feng , Sara Bonetti , Amilcare Porporato