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We develop a new analysis for portfolio optimisation with options, tackling the three fundamental issues with this problem: asymmetric options' distributions, high dimensionality and dependence structure. To do so, we propose a new…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-10 Jonathan Raimana Chan , Thomas Huckle , Antoine Jacquier , Aitor Muguruza

Risk aversion plays a significant and central role in investors' decisions in the process of developing a portfolio. In this framework of portfolio optimization we determine the portfolio that possesses the minimal risk by using a new…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-21 Frédéric Butin

We investigate the relation between the fair price for European-style vanilla options and the distribution of short-term returns on the underlying asset ignoring transaction and other costs. We compute the risk-neutral probability density…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Martin Schaden

In this work, we introduce Modern Portfolio Theory using basic concepts from linear algebra, differential calculus, statistics, and optimization. This theory allows us to measure the return and risk of an investment portfolio, serving as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-30 Orizon P. Ferreira , Guilherme. A. Franca , Max V. Lemes

Proof that under simple assumptions, such as constraints of Put-Call Parity, the probability measure for the valuation of a European option has the mean derived from the forward price which can, but does not have to be the risk-neutral one,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-05 Nassim N. Taleb

We consider the infinite-horizon discounted optimal control problem formalized by Markov Decision Processes. We focus on several approximate variations of the Policy Iteration algorithm: Approximate Policy Iteration, Conservative Policy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-05-13 Bruno Scherrer

Risk diversification is one of the dominant concerns for portfolio managers. Various portfolio constructions have been proposed to minimize the risk of the portfolio under some constrains including expected returns. We propose a portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-20 Yusuke Uchiyama , Takanori Kadoya , Kei Nakagawa

This study examines portfolio selection using predictive models for portfolio returns. Portfolio selection is a fundamental task in finance, and a variety of methods have been developed to achieve this goal. For instance, the mean-variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-14 Masahiro Kato

This paper explores the effectiveness of high-frequency options trading strategies enhanced by advanced portfolio optimization techniques, investigating their ability to consistently generate positive returns compared to traditional long or…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-19 Sid Bhatia

The option is a financial derivative, which is regularly employed in reducing the risk of its underlying securities. However, investing in option is still risky. Such risk becomes much severer for speculators who utilize option as a means…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-08 Qi-Wen Wang , Jian-Jun Shu

The chance constrained optimal power flow (CC-OPF) essentially finds the low-cost generation dispatch scheme ensuring operational constraints are met with a specified probability, termed the security level. While the security level is a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Shenglu Wang , Kairui Feng , Mengqi Xue , Yue Song

This paper proposes a hybrid credit risk model, in closed form, to price vulnerable options with stochastic volatility. The distinctive features of the model are threefold. First, both the underlying and the option issuer's assets follow…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-22 Gechun Liang , Xingchun Wang

We consider the pricing of derivatives written on the discretely sampled realized variance of an underlying security. In the literature, the realized variance is usually approximated by its continuous-time limit, the quadratic variation of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-24 Martin Keller-Ressel , Johannes Muhle-Karbe

Employing probabilistic techniques we compute best possible upper and lower bounds on the price of an option on one or two assets with continuous piecewise linear payoff function based on prices of simple call options of possibly distinct…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Dimitris Bertsimas , Natasha Bushueva

Conformal prediction provides rigorous distribution-free finite-sample guarantees for marginal coverage under the assumption of exchangeability, but may exhibit systematic undercoverage or overcoverage for specific subpopulations. Assessing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Zheng Zhou , Xiangfei Zhang , Chongguang Tao , Yuhong Yang

We propose a new `hedged' Monte-Carlo (HMC) method to price financial derivatives, which allows to determine simultaneously the optimal hedge. The inclusion of the optimal hedging strategy allows one to reduce the financial risk associated…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Dragan Sestovic

We reconsider the problem of option pricing using historical probability distributions. We first discuss how the risk-minimisation scheme proposed recently is an adequate starting point under the realistic assumption that price increments…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters

This paper studies the equity holders' mean-variance optimal portfolio choice problem for (non-)protected participating life insurance contracts. We derive explicit formulas for the optimal terminal wealth and the optimal strategy in the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-26 Felix Fießinger , Mitja Stadje

Financial options are fundamental to traditional markets, enabling strategies ranging from hedging to speculating. Yet, while the Automated Market Maker paradigm has revolutionized decentralized spot markets, no equivalent standard has…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-20 Maxim Bichuch , Zachary Feinstein

We introduce a new method to calculate the credit exposure of Bermudan, discretely monitored barrier and European options. Core of the approach is the application of the dynamic Chebyshev method of Glau et al. (2019). The dynamic Chebyshev…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-02 Kathrin Glau , Ricardo Pachon , Christian Pötz