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This paper proposes a hierarchical Bayesian network model (BNM) to quantitatively evaluate the resilience of urban transportation infrastructure. Based on systemic thinkings and sustainability perspectives, we investigate the long-term…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-27 Junqing Tang , Hans Heinimann , Ke Han , Hanbin Luo , Botao Zhong

This paper focuses on the affective component of a driver behavioural model (DBM). This component specifically models some drivers' mental states such as mental load and active fatigue, which may affect driving performance. We have used…

This paper focuses on the affective component of a Driver Behavioural Model (DBM), specifically modelling some driver's mental states, such as mental load and active fatigue, which may affect driving performance. We used Bayesian networks…

The behavior of complex networks under failure or attack depends strongly on the specific scenario. Of special interest are scale-free networks, which are usually seen as robust under random failure but appear to be especially vulnerable to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-07-06 B. Berche , C. von Ferber , T. Holovatch , Yu. Holovatch

The enhanced Bayesian network (eBN) methodology described in the companion paper facilitates the assessment of reliability and risk of engineering systems when information about the system evolves in time. We present the application of the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-28 Daniel Straub , Armen Der Kiureghian

Urban transportation systems are vulnerable to congestion, accidents, weather, special events, and other costly delays. Whereas typical policy responses prioritize reduction of delays under normal conditions to improve the efficiency of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-22 Alexander A. Ganin , Maksim Kitsak , Dayton Marchese , Jeffrey M. Keisler , Thomas Seager , Igor Linkov

The objective of this study is to propose a system-level framework with quantitative measures to assess the resilience of road networks. The framework proposed in this paper can help transportation agencies incorporate resilience…

The effectiveness of rapid rail transit system is analyzed using tools of complex network for the first time. We evaluated the effectiveness of the system in Beijing quantitatively from different perspectives, including descriptive…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-21 Hui-Min Cheng , Yi-Zi Ning , Xiaoke Ma , Zhong-Yuan Zhang

Urban rail transit is the backbone of urban transportation, and thus it is significant to understand its vulnerability, i.e., whether the system can still maintain normal operations when facing operational disturbances with different…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-10-11 Shouzheng Pan , Jia He , Ning Jia , Der-Horng Lee , Zhengbing He

Disruptions to transportation networks are inevitable. Currently, most mandated development-related transportation planning is intended to prepare for frequently occurring and observable disruptions while low probability events that have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-12-11 Margaret Kurth , William Kozlowski , Alexander Ganin , Avi Mersky , Billy Leung , Maksim Kitsak , Igor Linkov

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

With the growing realization that transport systems must operate satisfactorily not only in typical situations, but also in adverse circumstances, ensuring redundancies in road systems has gained crucial importance. In this context, several…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-12-04 André Borgato Morelli , André Luiz Cunha

Street networks allow people and goods to move through cities, but they are vulnerable to disasters like floods, earthquakes, and terrorist attacks. Well-planned network design can make a city more resilient and robust to such disruptions,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-19 Geoff Boeing , Jaehyun Ha

The behavior of complex networks under attack depends strongly on the specific attack scenario. Of special interest are scale-free networks, which are usually seen as robust under random failure or attack but appear to be especially…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-04-03 C. von Ferber , T. Holovatch , Yu. Holovatch

We combine Bayesian networks (BNs) and structural reliability methods (SRMs) to create a new computational framework, termed enhanced Bayesian network (eBN), for reliability and risk analysis of engineering structures and infrastructure.…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-28 Daniel Straub , Armen Der Kiureghian

With a changing climate, the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events are likely to increase, posing a threat to infrastructure systems' resilience. The response of infrastructure systems to localised failures depends on whether…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-21 Qianqian Li , Giuliano Punzo , Craig Robson , Hadi Arbabi , Martin Mayfield

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

Major cities worldwide experience problems with the performance of their road transportation networks, and the continuous increase in traffic demand presents a substantial challenge to the optimal operation of urban road networks and the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-18 Linghang Sun , Yifan Zhang , Cristian Axenie , Margherita Grossi , Anastasios Kouvelas , Michail A. Makridis

This paper investigates the influencing factors in passengers' multimodal traffic choice behaviors and provides a decision-making basis and improvement strategies. By collecting large individual-level data through a comprehensive field…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-12-03 Xiaowei Li , Xiaojiao Hu , Junqing Tang , Wei Wang

Ensuring robustness and resilience in intermodal transportation systems is essential for the continuity and reliability of global logistics. These systems are vulnerable to various disruptions, including natural disasters and technical…

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