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Uncertainty in probabilistic classifiers predictions is a key concern when models are used to support human decision making, in broader probabilistic pipelines or when sensitive automatic decisions have to be taken. Studies have shown that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-09 Nicolas Posocco , Antoine Bonnefoy

Inference of physical parameters from reference data is a well studied problem with many intricacies (inconsistent sets of data due to experimental systematic errors, approximate physical models...). The complexity is further increased when…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-09-06 Pascal Pernot , Fabien Cailliez

This research investigates liquidity dynamics in fractional ownership markets, focusing on illiquid alternative investments traded on a FinTech platform. By leveraging empirical data and employing agent-based modeling (ABM), the study…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-05 Lars Fluri , A. Ege Yilmaz , Denis Bieri , Thomas Ankenbrand , Aurelio Perucca

In the present paper a model of a market consisting of real and financial interacting sectors is studied. Agents populating the stock market are assumed to be not able to observe the true underlying fundamental, and their beliefs are biased…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-13 Fausto Cavalli , Ahmad Naimzada , Nicolò Pecora , Marina Pireddu

We present our approach to the problem of how an agent, within an economic Multi-Agent System, can determine when it should behave strategically (i.e. learn and use models of other agents), and when it should act as a simple price-taker. We…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Jose M. Vidal , Edmund H. Durfee

We replicate the contested calibration of the Farmer and Joshi agent based model of financial markets using a genetic algorithm and a Nelder-Mead with threshold accepting algorithm following Fabretti. The novelty of the Farmer-Joshi model…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-21 Ivan Jericevich , Murray McKechnie , Tim Gebbie

This study investigates the spatial integration of agent-based models (ABMs) and compartmental models for infectious disease modeling, presenting a novel hybrid approach and examining its implications. ABMs offer detailed insights by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-06 Inan Bostanci , Tim Conrad

Agent-based models (ABMs) are proliferating as decision-making tools across policy areas in transportation, economics, and epidemiology. In these models, a central object of interest is the discrete origin-destination matrix which captures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Ioannis Zachos , Mark Girolami , Theodoros Damoulas

The emergence of agentic recommender systems powered by Large Language Models (LLMs) represents a paradigm shift in personalized recommendations, leveraging LLMs' advanced reasoning and role-playing capabilities to enable autonomous,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Yu Shang , Peijie Liu , Yuwei Yan , Zijing Wu , Leheng Sheng , Yuanqing Yu , Chumeng Jiang , An Zhang , Fengli Xu , Yu Wang , Min Zhang , Yong Li

Intelligent agents offer a new and exciting way of understanding the world of work. Agent-Based Simulation (ABS), one way of using intelligent agents, carries great potential for progressing our understanding of management practices and how…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-07-05 Peer-Olaf Siebers , Uwe Aickelin , Helen Celia , Chris Clegg

Agent-based modeling approaches represent the state-of-art in modeling travel demand and transportation system dynamics and are valuable tools for transportation planning. However, established agent-based approaches in transportation rely…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Tianming Liu , Jirong Yang , Yafeng Yin

As foundation models are increasingly deployed as interacting agents in multi-agent systems, their collective behavior raises new challenges for trustworthiness, transparency, and accountability. Traditional coordination mechanisms, such as…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Brendan Gho , Suman Muppavarapu , Afnan Shaik , Tyson Tsay , Atharva Mohan , James Begin , Kevin Zhu , Archana Vaidheeswaran , Vasu Sharma

As models of cognition grow in complexity and number of parameters, Bayesian inference with standard methods can become intractable, especially when the data-generating model is of unknown analytic form. Recent advances in simulation-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-14 Stefan T. Radev , Andreas Voss , Eva Marie Wieschen , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Multi-agent debate (MAD) has gained significant attention as a promising line of research to improve the factual accuracy and reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs). Despite its conceptual appeal, current MAD research…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Hangfan Zhang , Zhiyao Cui , Jianhao Chen , Xinrun Wang , Qiaosheng Zhang , Zhen Wang , Dinghao Wu , Shuyue Hu

The non-identifiability issue has been frequently reported in social simulation works, where different parameters of an agent-based simulation model yield indistinguishable simulated time series data under certain discrepancy metrics. This…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-24 Chenkai Wang , Junji Ren , Peng Yang

In this paper, we consider the uncertainty quantification problem for regression models. Specifically, we consider an individual calibration objective for characterizing the quantiles of the prediction model. While such an objective is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Shang Liu , Zhongze Cai , Xiaocheng Li

Today's most troublesome population health challenges are often driven by social and environmental determinants, which are difficult to model using traditional epidemiological methods. We agree with those who have argued for the wider…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-02-07 Eric Silverman , Umberto Gostoli , Stefano Picascia , Jonatan Almagor , Mark McCann , Richard Shaw , Claudio Angione

Whether citations can be objectively and reliably used to measure productivity and scientific quality of articles and researchers can, and should, be vigorously questioned. However, citations are widely used to estimate the productivity of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-01-26 George Chacko , Minhyuk Park , Vikram Ramavarapu , Ananth Grama , Pablo Robles-Granda , Tandy Warnow

In the framework of solid mechanics, the task of deriving material parameters from experimental data has recently re-emerged with the progress in full-field measurement capabilities and the renewed advances of machine learning. In this…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Ulrich Römer , Stefan Hartmann , Jendrik-Alexander Tröger , David Anton , Henning Wessels , Moritz Flaschel , Laura De Lorenzis

Evaluating large language model (LLM)-based multi-agent systems remains a critical challenge, as these systems must exhibit reliable coordination, transparent decision-making, and verifiable performance across evolving tasks. Existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-21 YenTing Lee , Keerthi Koneru , Zahra Moslemi , Sheethal Kumar , Ramesh Radhakrishnan