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Information spreading in a population can be modeled as an epidemic. Campaigners (e.g. election campaign managers, companies marketing products or movies) are interested in spreading a message by a given deadline, using limited resources.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-01-28 Kundan Kandhway , Joy Kuri

In this paper, we develop a mean-field game model for SEIR epidemics on heterogeneous contact networks, where individuals choose state-dependent contact effort to balance infection losses against the social and economic costs of isolation.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-06 Weinan Wang

We study the complexity of sampling from the stationary distribution of a mean-field SDE, or equivalently, the complexity of minimizing a functional over the space of probability measures which includes an interaction term. Our main insight…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Yunbum Kook , Matthew S. Zhang , Sinho Chewi , Murat A. Erdogdu , Mufan Bill Li

Some recent works reveal that there are models of differential equations for the mean and variance of infected individuals that reproduce the SIS epidemic model at some point. This stochastic SIS epidemic model can be interpreted as a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-07 Oğul Esen , Eduardo Fernández-Saiz , Cristina Sardón , Marcin Zając

Contact networks can significantly change the course of epidemics, affecting the rate of new infections and the mean size of an outbreak. Despite this dependence, some characteristics of epidemics are not contingent on the contact network…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Alexander Gutfraind

Infectious diseases that spread silently through asymptomatic or pre-symptomatic infections represent a challenge for policy makers. A traditional way of achieving isolation of silent infectors from the community is through forward contact…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-09 Giulia de Meijere , Claudio Castellano

The contact process is an emblematic model of a non-equilibrium system, containing a phase transition between inactive and active dynamical regimes. In the epidemiological context, the model is known as the susceptible-infected-susceptible…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-12 Wout Merbis , Clélia de Mulatier , Philippe Corboz

The metapopulation network model is effectively used to study the spatial spread of epidemics with individuals mobility. Considering the time-varying nature of individual activity and the preferences for attractive destinations in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-27 Lang Zeng , Ming Tang , Ying Liu , Seung Yeop Yang , Younghae Do

In this paper we study a discrete-time SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) model, where the infection and healing parameters and the underlying network may change over time. We provide conditions for the model to be well-defined and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-23 Philip E Pare , Sebin Gracy , Henrik Sandberg , Karl Henrik Johansson

When an unprecedented infectious disease with high mortality and transmissibility emerges, immediate usage of vaccines or medicines is hardly available. Thus, many health authorities rely on non-pharmaceutical interventions through…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-21 Minsuk Kim , Soon-Hyung Yook

In this article, we study an interacting particle system in the context of epidemiology where the individuals (particles) are characterized by their position and infection state. We begin with a description at the microscopic level where…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-06 Maxime Hauray , Etienne Pardoux , Yen V. Vuong

Changs in individual behavior often entangles with the dynamic interaction of individuals, which complicates the epidemic process and brings great challenges for the understanding and control of the epidemic. In this work, we consider three…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-27 Bing Wang , Zeyang Xie , Yuexing Han

In this paper, we study the optimal control system driven by stochastic differential equations (SDEs) of mean-field type, in which the control variable has two components, the first being absolutely continuous and the second singular. On…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-11-02 Liangquan Zhang

Global strategies to contain a pandemic, such as social distancing and protective measures, are designed to reduce the overall transmission rate between individuals. Despite such measures, essential institutions, including hospitals,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-07 Roberto Morán-Tovar , Henning Gruell , Florian Klein , Michael Lässig

We investigate team optimal control of stochastic subsystems that are weakly coupled in dynamics (through the mean-field of the system) and are arbitrary coupled in the cost. The controller of each subsystem observes its local state and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-04 Jalal Arabneydi , Aditya Mahajan

An actively controlled Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (actSIS) contagion model is presented for studying epidemic dynamics with continuous-time feedback control of infection rates. Our work is inspired by the observation that epidemics…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-06 Yunxiu Zhou , Simon A. Levin , Naomi E. Leonard

The spread of an infectious disease depends on intrinsic properties of the disease as well as the connectivity and actions of the population. This study investigates the dynamics of an SIR type model which accounts for human tendency to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-07-26 Hannah Scanlon , John Gemmer

A generalization of the standard susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) stochastic model for epidemics in sparse random networks is introduced which incorporates contact tracing in addition to random screening. We propose a deterministic…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-07 Ramon Huerta , Lev S. Tsimring

In this paper we consider a mean field optimal control problem with an aggregation-diffusion constraint, where agents interact through a potential, in the presence of a Gaussian noise term. Our analysis focuses on a PDE system coupling a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Jose A. Carrillo , Edgard A. Pimentel , Vardan K. Voskanyan

Given maximal social distancing duration and intensity, how can one minimize the epidemic final size, or equivalently the total number of individuals infected during the outbreak? A complete answer to this question is provided and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-01 Pierre-Alexandre Bliman , Michel Duprez