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Neural networks have revolutionized many empirical fields, yet their application to financial time series forecasting remains controversial. In this study, we demonstrate that the conventional practice of estimating models locally in…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-21 Chen Liu , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Robert Kohn

We address the fundamental question of why deep neural networks generalize by establishing a pointwise generalization theory for fully connected networks. This framework resolves long-standing barriers to characterizing the rich nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Shaojie Li , Yunbei Xu

Generalization is a central aspect of learning theory. Here, we propose a framework that explores an auxiliary task-dependent notion of generalization, and attempts to quantitatively answer the following question: given two sets of patterns…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2020-01-08 Francesco Borra , Marco Cosentino Lagomarsino , Pietro Rotondo , Marco Gherardi

Neural networks can be powerful function approximators, which are able to model high-dimensional feature distributions from a subset of examples drawn from the target distribution. Naturally, they perform well at generalizing within the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-06 Aaron Eisermann , Jae Hee Lee , Cornelius Weber , Stefan Wermter

We study quantum neural networks made by parametric one-qubit gates and fixed two-qubit gates in the limit of infinite width, where the generated function is the expectation value of the sum of single-qubit observables over all the qubits.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-26 Filippo Girardi , Giacomo De Palma

Graph neural networks are widely used tools for graph prediction tasks. Motivated by their empirical performance, prior works have developed generalization bounds for graph neural networks, which scale with graph structures in terms of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Haotian Ju , Dongyue Li , Aneesh Sharma , Hongyang R. Zhang

Modern neural network architectures often generalize well despite containing many more parameters than the size of the training dataset. This paper explores the generalization capabilities of neural networks trained via gradient descent. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-05 Samet Oymak , Zalan Fabian , Mingchen Li , Mahdi Soltanolkotabi

This work contributes to the development of neural forecasting models with novel randomization-based learning methods. These methods improve the fitting abilities of the neural model, in comparison to the standard method, by generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Grzegorz Dudek

Conventional neural networks are universal function approximators, but because they are unaware of underlying symmetries or physical laws, they may need impractically many training data to approximate nonlinear dynamics. Recently introduced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-30 Anshul Choudhary , John F. Lindner , Elliott G. Holliday , Scott T. Miller , Sudeshna Sinha , William L. Ditto

Accurate forecasting of multivariate time series data remains a formidable challenge, particularly due to the growing complexity of temporal dependencies in real-world scenarios. While neural network-based models have achieved notable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Andrey Savchenko , Oleg Kachan

In this short note, we propose a new method for quantizing the weights of a fully trained neural network. A simple deterministic pre-processing step allows us to quantize network layers via memoryless scalar quantization while preserving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-06 Johannes Maly , Rayan Saab

Bayesian inference and kernel methods are well established in machine learning. The neural network Gaussian process in particular provides a concept to investigate neural networks in the limit of infinitely wide hidden layers by using…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-11-10 Javed Lindner , David Dahmen , Michael Krämer , Moritz Helias

Quantization lowers memory usage, computational requirements, and latency by utilizing fewer bits to represent model weights and activations. In this work, we investigate the generalization properties of quantized neural networks, a…

Modern neural networks are highly overparameterized, with capacity to substantially overfit to training data. Nevertheless, these networks often generalize well in practice. It has also been observed that trained networks can often be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-26 Wenda Zhou , Victor Veitch , Morgane Austern , Ryan P. Adams , Peter Orbanz

In practice it is often found that large over-parameterized neural networks generalize better than their smaller counterparts, an observation that appears to conflict with classical notions of function complexity, which typically favor…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-20 Roman Novak , Yasaman Bahri , Daniel A. Abolafia , Jeffrey Pennington , Jascha Sohl-Dickstein

In the context of neural network models, overparametrization refers to the phenomena whereby these models appear to generalize well on the unseen data, even though the number of parameters significantly exceeds the sample sizes, and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-25 Matt Emschwiller , David Gamarnik , Eren C. Kızıldağ , Ilias Zadik

Several applications of Internet of Things (IoT) technology involve capturing data from multiple sensors resulting in multi-sensor time series. Existing neural networks based approaches for such multi-sensor or multivariate time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Vibhor Gupta , Jyoti Narwariya , Pankaj Malhotra , Lovekesh Vig , Gautam Shroff

Deep learning has been extensively used in various fields, such as phase imaging, 3D imaging reconstruction, phase unwrapping, and laser speckle reduction, particularly for complex problems that lack analytic models. Its data-driven nature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Xuyu Zhang , Haofan Huang , Dawei Zhang , Songlin Zhuang , Shensheng Han , Puxiang Lai , Honglin Liu

Systematic generalization aims to evaluate reasoning about novel combinations from known components, an intrinsic property of human cognition. In this work, we study systematic generalization of NNs in forecasting future time series of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Hritik Bansal , Gantavya Bhatt , Pankaj Malhotra , Prathosh A. P

Deep Neural Networks can generalize despite being significantly overparametrized. Recent research has tried to examine this phenomenon from various view points and to provide bounds on the generalization error or measures predictive of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-07 Parth Natekar , Manik Sharma