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Standard risk metrics used in model validation, such as the Kolmogorov-Smirnov distance, fail to converge at practical rates when applied to high-frequency financial data characterized by heavy tails (infinite skewness). This creates a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Armen Petrosyan

We construct efficient robust truncated sequential estimators for the pointwise estimation problem in nonparametric autoregression models with smooth coefficients. For Gaussian models we propose an adaptive procedure based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Ouerdia Arkoun , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

Consider the communication-constrained problem of nonparametric function estimation, in which each distributed terminal holds multiple i.i.d. samples. Under certain regularity assumptions, we characterize the minimax optimal rates for all…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Deheng Yuan , Tao Guo , Zhongyi Huang

Nonparametric estimation of a mixing density based on observations from the corresponding mixture is a challenging statistical problem. This paper surveys the literature on a fast, recursive estimator based on the predictive recursion…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-15 Ryan Martin

Estimating a covariance matrix is an important task in applications where the number of variables is larger than the number of observations. Shrinkage approaches for estimating a high-dimensional covariance matrix are often employed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-18 Anestis Touloumis

We consider the nonparametric robust estimation problem for regression models in continuous time with semi-Markov noises. An adaptive model selection procedure is proposed. Under general moment conditions on the noise distribution a sharp…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-28 Vlad Barbu , Slim Beltaif , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

In this paper, a practical estimation method for a regression model is proposed using semiparametric efficient score functions applicable to data with various shapes of errors. First, I derive semiparametric efficient score vectors for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-23 Mijeong Kim

Let $X\in \mathbb{R}^p$ and $Y\in \mathbb{R}$ be two random variables. We estimate the conditional covariance matrix $\mathrm{Cov}\left(\mathrm{E}\left[\boldsymbol{X}\vert Y\right]\right)$ applying a plug-in kernel-based algorithm to its…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Jean-Michel Loubes , Clement Marteau , Maikol Solís

We study nonparametric density estimation in non-stationary drift settings. Given a sequence of independent samples taken from a distribution that gradually changes in time, the goal is to compute the best estimate for the current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Alessio Mazzetto , Eli Upfal

This paper considers the specification of covariance structures with tail estimates. We focus on two aspects: (i) the estimation of the VaR-CoVaR risk matrix in the case of larger number of time series observations than assets in a…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-25 Christis Katsouris

For various applications, the relations between the dependent and independent variables are highly nonlinear. Consequently, for large scale complex problems, neural networks and regression trees are commonly preferred over linear models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-23 Samet Oymak , Mehrdad Mahdavi , Jiasi Chen

We consider nonparametric estimation of a regression function for a situation where precisely measured predictors are used to estimate the regression curve for coarsened, that is, less precise or contaminated predictors. Specifically, while…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall , Hans-Georg Müller

We estimate on a compact interval densities with isolated irregularities, such as discontinuities or discontinuities in some derivatives. From independent and identically distributed observations we construct a kernel estimator with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Céline Duval , Émeline Schmisser

We study nonparametric estimation of the diffusion coefficient from discrete data, when the observations are blurred by additional noise. Such issues have been developed over the last 10 years in several application fields and in particular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-30 Marc Hoffmann , Axel Munk , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

We study the parameter estimation method for linear regression models with possibly skewed stable distributed errors. Our estimation procedure consists of two stages: first, for the regression coefficients, the Cauchy quasi-maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Eitaro Kawamo , Hiroki Masuda

Learning from implicit feedback is challenging because of the difficult nature of the one-class problem: we can observe only positive examples. Most conventional methods use a pairwise ranking approach and negative samplers to cope with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Riku Togashi , Masahiro Kato , Mayu Otani , Tetsuya Sakai , Shin'ichi Satoh

This thesis deals with the nonparametric estimation of density f of the regression error term E of the model Y=m(X)+E, assuming its independence with the covariate X. The difficulty linked to this study is the fact that the regression error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-10 Rawane Samb

In this paper we will consider the estimation of a monotone regression (or density) function in a fixed point by the least squares (Grenander) estimator. We will show that this estimator is fully adaptive, in the sense that the attained…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-11 Eric Cator

We consider a general nonparametric regression model called the compound model. It includes, as special cases, sparse additive regression and nonparametric (or linear) regression with many covariates but possibly a small number of relevant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-04 Arnak Dalalyan , Yuri Ingster , Alexandre Tsybakov

It is common, in deconvolution problems, to assume that the measurement errors are identically distributed. In many real-life applications, however, this condition is not satisfied and the deconvolution estimators developed for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Aurore Delaigle , Alexander Meister