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This paper provides an introductory overview of how one may employ importance sampling effectively as a tool for solving stochastic optimization formulations incorporating tail risk measures such as Conditional Value-at-Risk. Approximating…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-11 Anand Deo , Karthyek Murthy

We investigate a way of comparing and classifying tails of random variables. Our approach extends the notion of classical indices, such as exponential and moment indices, which are widely used measuring heaviness of tail functions. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-07 Jaakko Lehtomaa

Estimating the tail index parameter is one of the primal objectives in extreme value theory. For heavy-tailed distributions the Hill estimator is the most popular way to estimate the tail index parameter. Improving the Hill estimator was…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-05 László Németh , András Zempléni

This article introduces a non-parametric information-theoretic approach to inference about the tail of a continuous or a discrete distribution. Leveraging a new concept named tail profile -- a set of information-theoretic quantities…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-19 Jialin Zhang , Zhiyi Zhang

One potential solution to combat the scarcity of tail observations in extreme value analysis is to integrate information from multiple datasets sharing similar tail properties, for instance, a common extreme value index. In other words, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-25 Liujun Chen , Marco Oesting , Chen Zhou

We study the upper tail of the number of arithmetic progressions of a given length in a random subset of {1,...,n}, establishing exponential bounds which are best possible up to constant factors in the exponent. The proof also extends to…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Lutz Warnke

Stochastic-approximation gradient methods are attractive for large-scale convex optimization because they offer inexpensive iterations. They are especially popular in data-fitting and machine-learning applications where the data arrives in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-09 Michael P. Friedlander , Gabriel Goh

Many tasks are accomplished via random processes. The completion time of such a task can be profoundly affected by restart: the occasional resetting of the task's underlying random process. Consequently, determining when restart will impede…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-26 Iddo Eliazar , Shlomi Reuveni

We investigate the application of the Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm for the estimation of tail probabilities of solutions of Stochastic Differential Equations evaluated at a given time, and of associated temporal averages. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-27 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Tony Lelièvre

General upper tail estimates are given for counting edges in a random induced subhypergraph of a fixed hypergraph H, with an easy proof by estimating the moments. As an application we consider the numbers of arithmetic progressions and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Svante Janson , Andrzej Rucinski

Many studies combine text and audio to capture multi-modal information but they overlook the model's generalization ability on new datasets. Introducing new datasets may affect the feature space of the original dataset, leading to…

Sound · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Yingfei Sun , Xu Gu , Wei Ji , Hanbin Zhao , Yifang Yin , Roger Zimmermann

The study of loss function distributions is critical to characterize a model's behaviour on a given machine learning problem. For example, while the quality of a model is commonly determined by the average loss assessed on a testing set,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Etrit Haxholli , Marco Lorenzi

We consider removing lower order statistics from the classical Hill estimator in extreme value statistics, and compensating for it by rescaling the remaining terms. Trajectories of these trimmed statistics as a function of the extent of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-30 Martin Bladt , Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jan Beirlant

Recently, the concept of tail dependence has been discussed in financial applications related to market or credit risk. The multivariate extreme value theory is a proper tool to measure and model dependence, for example, of large loss…

Applications · Statistics 2011-09-27 Marta Ferreira

The goal of this paper is to investigate the tools of extreme value theory originally introduced for discrete time stationary stochastic processes (time series), namely the tail process and the tail measure, in the framework of continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-31 Philippe Soulier

In this paper, we present TrimTail, a simple but effective emission regularization method to improve the latency of streaming ASR models. The core idea of TrimTail is to apply length penalty (i.e., by trimming trailing frames, see Fig.…

In recent years, significant progress has been made on algorithms for learning optimal decision trees, primarily in the context of binary features. Extending these methods to continuous features remains substantially more challenging due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Harold Kiossou , Pierre Schaus , Siegfried Nijssen

We prove tail estimates for variables $\sum_i f(X_i)$, where $(X_i)_i$ is the trajectory of a random walk on an undirected graph (or, equivalently, a reversible Markov chain). The estimates are in terms of the maximum of the function $f$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-25 Roy Wagner

Session-based recommendation focuses on the prediction of user actions based on anonymous sessions and is a necessary method in the lack of user historical data. However, none of the existing session-based recommendation methods explicitly…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-08-05 Siyi Liu , Yujia Zheng

Continual Learning is an unresolved challenge, whose relevance increases when considering modern applications. Unlike the human brain, trained deep neural networks suffer from a phenomenon called catastrophic forgetting, wherein they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Shahar Shaul-Ariel , Daphna Weinshall