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Ensemble models are powerful model building tools that are developed with a focus to improve the accuracy of model predictions. They find applications in time series forecasting in varied scenarios including but not limited to process…

Time series analysis is widely used in extensive areas. Recently, to reduce labeling expenses and benefit various tasks, self-supervised pre-training has attracted immense interest. One mainstream paradigm is masked modeling, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Jiaxiang Dong , Haixu Wu , Haoran Zhang , Li Zhang , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Ensembling deep learning models is a shortcut to promote its implementation in new scenarios, which can avoid tuning neural networks, losses and training algorithms from scratch. However, it is difficult to collect sufficient accurate and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-04 Jun Yang , Fei Wang

We suggest an algorithm for determining the proper delay time and the minimum embedding dimension for Takens' delay-time embedding procedure. This method resorts to the rate of change of the spatial distribution of points on a reconstructed…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Jeong-No Lee , Kwang-Sup Soh

Financial time series forecasting is, without a doubt, the top choice of computational intelligence for finance researchers from both academia and financial industry due to its broad implementation areas and substantial impact. Machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Omer Berat Sezer , Mehmet Ugur Gudelek , Ahmet Murat Ozbayoglu

Benefiting from high capacity for capturing complex temporal patterns, deep learning (DL) has significantly advanced time series forecasting (TSF). However, deep models tend to suffer from severe overfitting due to the inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Yisong Fu , Zezhi Shao , Chengqing Yu , Yujie Li , Zhulin An , Qi Wang , Yongjun Xu , Fei Wang

Using a time series model to mimic an observed time series has a long history. However, with regard to this objective, conventional estimation methods for discrete-time dynamical models are frequently found to be wanting. In fact, they are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Yingcun Xia , Howell Tong

Linear autoregressive models serve as basic representations of discrete time stochastic processes. Different attempts have been made to provide non-linear versions of the basic autoregressive process, including different versions based on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-17 Edgar A. Valencia , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Traditionally, the automatic recognition of human activities is performed with supervised learning algorithms on limited sets of specific activities. This work proposes to recognize recurrent activity patterns, called routines, instead of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-11 Paul Compagnon , Grégoire Lefebvre , Stefan Duffner , Christophe Garcia

Prediction models that capture and use the structure of state-space dynamics can be very effective. In practice, however, one rarely has access to full information about that structure, and accurate reconstruction of the dynamics from…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-03-01 Joshua Garland , Elizabeth Bradley

We introduce Merlion, an open-source machine learning library for time series. It features a unified interface for many commonly used models and datasets for anomaly detection and forecasting on both univariate and multivariate time series,…

Dimensionality reduction methods, also known as projections, are frequently used for exploring multidimensional data in machine learning, data science, and information visualization. Among these, t-SNE and its variants have become very…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-22 Mateus Espadoto , Nina S. T. Hirata , Alexandru C. Telea

Probabilistic forecasting of high dimensional multivariate time series is a notoriously challenging task, both in terms of computational burden and distribution modeling. Most previous work either makes simple distribution assumptions or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Nam Nguyen , Brian Quanz

Time series data is a prevalent form of data found in various fields. It consists of a series of measurements taken over time. Forecasting is a crucial application of time series models, where future values are predicted based on historical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Sahar Koohfar , Wubeshet Woldemariam

Time series modeling for predictive purpose has been an active research area of machine learning for many years. However, no sufficiently comprehensive and meanwhile substantive survey was offered so far. This survey strives to meet this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Fatoumata Dama , Christine Sinoquet

Machine learning methods adapt the parameters of a model, constrained to lie in a given model class, by using a fixed learning procedure based on data or active observations. Adaptation is done on a per-task basis, and retraining is needed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Osvaldo Simeone , Sangwoo Park , Joonhyuk Kang

We identify a strong equivalence between neural network based machine learning (ML) methods and the formulation of statistical data assimilation (DA), known to be a problem in statistical physics. DA, as used widely in physical and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-23 H. D. I. Abarbanel , P. J. Rozdeba , S. Shirman

This paper presents a time series forecasting framework which combines standard forecasting methods and a machine learning model. The inputs to the machine learning model are not lagged values or regular time series features, but instead…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-15 Shi Zhao , Ying Feng

Time series classification is of significant importance in monitoring structural systems. In this work, we investigate the use of supervised machine learning classification algorithms on simulated data based on a physical system with two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Ergys Çokaj , Halvor Snersrud Gustad , Andrea Leone , Per Thomas Moe , Lasse Moldestad

Motion compensation is one of the most essential methods for any video compression algorithm. Video frame prediction is a task analogous to motion compensation. In recent years, the task of frame prediction is undertaken by deep neural…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-25 Serkan Sulun