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We analyze how difficult it is to synchronize to a periodic sequence whose structure is known, when an observer is initially unaware of the sequence's phase. We examine the transient information T, a recently introduced…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 David P. Feldman , James P. Crutchfield

Time series in energy systems, such as solar irradiance, wind speed, or electrical load, are characterized by strong diurnal and seasonal periodicities. Accurate forecasting requires accounting for time varying statistical properties that…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-04-28 Cyril Voyant , Candice Banes , Luis Garcia-Gutierrez , Gilles Notton , Milan Despotovic , Zaher Mundher Yaseen

The Hilbert-Huang transform (HHT) is a novel, adaptive approach to time series analysis. It does not impose a basis set on the data or otherwise make assumptions about the data form, and so the time--frequency decomposition is not limited…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2013-06-26 Hirotaka Takahashi , Ken-ichi Oohara , Masato Kaneyama , Yuta Hiranuma , Jordan B Camp

We propose a hybrid approach to temporal anomaly detection in access data of users to databases --- or more generally, any kind of subject-object co-occurrence data. We consider a high-dimensional setting that also requires fast computation…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-08-13 Eyal Gutflaish , Aryeh Kontorovich , Sivan Sabato , Ofer Biller , Oded Sofer

Quantitative helio- and asteroseismology require very precise measurements of the frequencies, amplitudes, and lifetimes of the global modes of stellar oscillation. It is common knowledge that the precision of these measurements depends on…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Thorsten Stahn , Laurent Gizon

Searches for periodicity in time series are often done with models of periodic signals, whose statistical significance is assessed via false alarm probabilities or Bayes factors. However, a statistically significant periodic model might not…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-02-22 Nathan C. Hara , Jean-Baptiste Delisle , Nicolas Unger , Xavier Dumusque

Many models of physics beyond the Standard Model include towers of particles whose masses follow an approximately periodic pattern with little spacing between them. These resonances might be too weak to detect individually, but could be…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-03-18 Hugues Beauchesne , Yevgeny Kats

We develop methodology and theory for the detection of a phase transition in a time-series of high-dimensional random matrices. In the model we study, at each time point \( t = 1,2,\ldots \), we observe a deformed Wigner matrix \(…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Nina Dörnemann , Piotr Kokoszka , Tim Kutta , Sunmin Lee

In this article, we present a new approach to averaging in non-Hamiltonian systems with periodic forcing. The results here do not depend on the existence of a small parameter. In fact, we show that our averaging method fits into an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-06-15 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Michael Ghil , Jean Roux , Ferenc Varadi

A time series represents a set of observations collected over time. Typically, these observations are captured with a uniform sampling frequency (e.g. daily). When data points are observed in uneven time intervals the time series is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Pedro Costa , Vitor Cerqueira , João Vinagre

Motivated by the upcoming Solar Orbiter and Solar Probe Plus missions, qualitative and quantitative predictions are made for the effects of the violation of the Taylor hypothesis on the magnetic energy frequency spectrum measured in the…

Space Physics · Physics 2015-06-22 Kristopher Klein , Gregory Howes , Jason TenBarge

Tensor factorizations have been widely used for the task of uncovering patterns in various domains. Often, the input is time-evolving, shifting the goal to tracking the evolution of the underlying patterns instead. To adapt to this more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Christos Chatzis , Carla Schenker , Max Pfeffer , Evrim Acar

Periodic and semi periodic patterns are very common in nature. In this paper we introduce a topological toolbox aiming in detecting and quantifying periodicity. The presented technique is of a general nature and may be employed wherever…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2019-05-30 Paweł Dłotko , Wanling Qiu , Simon Rudkin

Time-series stationarity is a property that statistical characteristics such as trend, variance, seasonality remain constant over time. It is considered fundamental to many forecasting and analysis methods. Different tests detect different…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Bhanu Suraj Malla , Yuqing Hu

Gravitational wave astronomy relies on the use of multiple detectors, so that coincident detections may distinguish real signals from instrumental artifacts, and also so that relative timing of signals can provide the sky position of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-05-28 Alexander Stroeer , Lindy Blackburn , Jordan Camp

In time-distance helioseismology, the time signals (Doppler shifts) at two points on the solar surface, separated by a fixed angular distance are cross-correlated, and this leads to a wave packet signal. Accurately measuring the travel…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-02-11 R. Nigam , A. G. Kosovichev , P. H. Scherrer

Detecting surface changes from satellite imagery is critical for rapid disaster response and environmental monitoring, yet remains challenging due to the complex interplay between atmospheric noise, seasonal variations, and sensor…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Bertrand Rouet-Leduc , Claudia Hulbert

We demonstrate that extremely rapid and weak periodic and non-periodic signals can easily be detected by using the autocorrelation of intensity as a function of time. We use standard radio-astronomical observations that have artificial…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-16 Ermanno F. Borra , Jonathan D. Romney , Eric Trottier

Spatio-temporal forecasting is crucial in many domains, such as transportation, meteorology, and energy. However, real-world scenarios frequently present challenges such as signal anomalies, noise, and distributional shifts. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Wei Chen , Yuxuan Liang

The properties of inertial and kinetic range solar wind turbulence have been investigated with the arbitrary-order Hilbert spectral analysis method, applied to high-resolution density measurements. Due to the small sample size, and to the…