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We consider on-line density estimation with a parameterized density from the exponential family. The on-line algorithm receives one example at a time and maintains a parameter that is essentially an average of the past examples. After…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Katy S. Azoury , Manfred K. Warmuth

(Neal and Hinton, 1998) recast maximum likelihood estimation of any given latent variable model as the minimization of a free energy functional $F$, and the EM algorithm as coordinate descent applied to $F$. Here, we explore alternative…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-21 Juan Kuntz , Jen Ning Lim , Adam M. Johansen

Regression mixture models are widely studied in statistics, machine learning and data analysis. Fitting regression mixtures is challenging and is usually performed by maximum likelihood by using the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-25 Faicel Chamroukhi

Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) are fundamental statistical tools for modeling heterogeneous data. Due to the nonconcavity of the likelihood function, the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is widely used for parameter estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Xin Bing , Dehan Kong , Bingqing Li

We study the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm for general latent-variable models under (i) distributional misspecification and (ii) nonidentifiability induced by a group action. We formulate EM on the quotient parameter space and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Koustav Mallik

In this paper, we address the issue of model specification in probabilistic latent variable models (PLVMs) using an infinite-horizon optimal control approach. Traditional PLVMs rely on joint distributions to model complex data, but…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-29 Zhichao Chen , Hao Wang , Licheng Pan , Yiran Ma , Yunfei Teng , Jiaze Ma , Le Yao , Zhiqiang Ge , Zhihuan Song

Estimating dynamic discrete choice models with unobserved heterogeneity is computationally costly because it requires repeatedly solving fixed-point equations for all unobserved types. We develop the EM-NPL(q) framework that combines the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-30 Ertian Chen , Hiroyuki Kasahara , Katsumi Shimotsu

Mixture models have attracted significant attention due to practical effectiveness and comprehensive theoretical foundations. A persisting challenge is model misspecification, which occurs when the model to be fitted has more mixture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-09 Zhankun Luo , Abolfazl Hashemi

Uncertainty quantification is crucial to assess prediction quality of a machine learning model. In the case of Extreme Learning Machines (ELM), most methods proposed in the literature make strong assumptions on the data, ignore the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Fabian Guignard , Federico Amato , Mikhail Kanevski

The expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm is an iterative computational method to calculate the maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) from the sample data. It converts a complicated one-time calculation for the MLE of the incomplete data…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-08 Lingyao Meng

Offline reinforcement learning (RL) can fit strong value functions from fixed datasets, yet reliable deployment still hinges on the action selection interface used to query them. When the dataset induces a branched or multimodal action…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Haoyu Wang , Jingcheng Wang , Shunyu Wu , Xinwei Xiao

In this work, we present a method which determines optimal multi-step dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) models via entropic regression, which is a nonlinear information flow detection algorithm. Motivated by the higher-order DMD (HODMD)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-19 Christopher W. Curtis , Erik Bollt , Daniel Jay Alford-Lago

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of latent variable models is often recast as the minimization of a free energy functional over an extended space of parameters and probability distributions. This perspective was recently combined with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Jen Ning Lim , Juan Kuntz , Samuel Power , Adam M. Johansen

This research deals with the estimation and imputation of missing data in longitudinal models with a Poisson response variable inflated with zeros. A methodology is proposed that is based on the use of maximum likelihood, assuming that data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-18 D. S. Martinez-Lobo , O. O. Melo , N. A. Cruz

Model usage is the central challenge of model-based reinforcement learning. Although dynamics model based on deep neural networks provide good generalization for single step prediction, such ability is over exploited when it is used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Chi Zhang , Sanmukh Rao Kuppannagari , Viktor K Prasanna

This paper proposes a new family of algorithms for the online optimisation of composite objectives. The algorithms can be interpreted as the combination of the exponentiated gradient and $p$-norm algorithm. Combined with algorithmic ideas…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-09 Weijia Shao , Fikret Sivrikaya , Sahin Albayrak

Regression analysis with missing data is a long-standing and challenging problem, particularly when there are many missing variables with arbitrary missing patterns. Likelihood-based methods, although theoretically appealing, are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Ngok Sang Kwok , Kin Yau Wong

We consider the use of extreme learning machines (ELM) for computational partial differential equations (PDE). In ELM the hidden-layer coefficients in the neural network are assigned to random values generated on $[-R_m,R_m]$ and fixed,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-06-01 Suchuan Dong , Jielin Yang

Energy-based models (EBMs) are powerful probabilistic models, but suffer from intractable sampling and density evaluation due to the partition function. As a result, inference in EBMs relies on approximate sampling algorithms, leading to a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-10 Dieterich Lawson , George Tucker , Bo Dai , Rajesh Ranganath

We study an EM algorithm for estimating product-term regression models with missing data. The study of such problems in the likelihood tradition has thus far been restricted to an EM algorithm method using full numerical integration.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-16 Dale S. Kim