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Incorporating domain knowledge into the modeling process is an effective way to improve learning accuracy. However, as it is provided by humans, domain knowledge can only be specified with some degree of uncertainty. We propose to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Yi Mao , Guy Lebanon

We give polynomial-time algorithms for the exact computation of lowest-energy (ground) states, worst margin violators, log partition functions, and marginal edge probabilities in certain binary undirected graphical models. Our approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-09-29 Nicol N. Schraudolph , Dmitry Kamenetsky

Literatures in state space models focus on parametric inference and prediction, which fail if the state space model is not fully specified and the maximum likelihood estimation does not work. In this paper, we assume the state transition…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Yunyi Zhang , Tingting Wang , Dimitris N. Politis

Methods for reasoning under uncertainty are a key building block of accurate and reliable machine learning systems. Bayesian methods provide a general framework to quantify uncertainty. However, because of model misspecification and the use…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-03 Volodymyr Kuleshov , Nathan Fenner , Stefano Ermon

A matrix optimization problem over an uncertain linear system on finite horizon (abbreviated as MOPUL) is studied, in which the uncertain transition matrix is regarded as a decision variable. This problem is in general NP-hard. By using the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Jintao Xu , Shu-Cherng Fang , Wenxun Xing

We propose a method for learning dynamical systems from high-dimensional empirical data that combines variational autoencoders and (spatio-)temporal attention within a framework designed to enforce certain scientifically-motivated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Kai Lagemann , Christian Lagemann , Sach Mukherjee

We develop a practical approach to semidefinite programming (SDP) that includes the von Neumann entropy, or an appropriate variant, as a regularization term. In particular we solve the dual of the regularized program, demonstrating how a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Michael Lindsey

Supervised models of NLP rely on large collections of text which closely resemble the intended testing setting. Unfortunately matching text is often not available in sufficient quantity, and moreover, within any domain of text, data is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-06-10 Yitong Li , Timothy Baldwin , Trevor Cohn

There has been growing interest in the AI community for precise uncertainty quantification. Conditional density models f(y|x), where x represents potentially high-dimensional features, are an integral part of uncertainty quantification in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-26 David Zhao , Niccolò Dalmasso , Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee

Model-based approaches bear great promise for decision making of agents interacting with the physical world. In the context of spatial environments, different types of problems such as localisation, mapping, navigation or autonomous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-21 Atanas Mirchev , Baris Kayalibay , Maximilian Soelch , Patrick van der Smagt , Justin Bayer

This paper develops the inferential theory for latent factor models estimated from large dimensional panel data with missing observations. We propose an easy-to-use all-purpose estimator for a latent factor model by applying principal…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-11 Ruoxuan Xiong , Markus Pelger

This paper deals with the algorithmic aspects of solving feasibility problems of semidefinite programming (SDP), aka linear matrix inequalities (LMI). Since in some SDP instances all feasible solutions have irrational entries, numerical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-28 Vladimir Kolmogorov , Simone Naldi , Jeferson Zapata

In this paper we propose a unified framework for structured prediction with latent variables which includes hidden conditional random fields and latent structured support vector machines as special cases. We describe a local entropy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Alexander Schwing , Tamir Hazan , Marc Pollefeys , Raquel Urtasun

Unsupervised learning aims at the discovery of hidden structure that drives the observations in the real world. It is essential for success in modern machine learning. Latent variable models are versatile in unsupervised learning and have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-13 Furong Huang

Coherent lower previsions are general probabilistic models allowing incompletely specified probability distributions. However, for complete description of a coherent lower prevision -- even on finite underlying sample spaces -- an infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Damjan Škulj

This work targets the development of an efficient abstraction method for formal analysis and control synthesis of discrete-time stochastic hybrid systems (SHS) with linear dynamics. The focus is on temporal logic specifications, both over…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-20 Nathalie Cauchi , Luca Laurenti , Morteza Lahijanian , Alessandro Abate , Marta Kwiatkowska , Luca Cardelli

Contextual bandit algorithms have transformed modern experimentation by enabling real-time adaptation for personalized treatment and efficient use of data. Yet these advantages create challenges for statistical inference due to adaptivity.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Yongyi Guo , Ziping Xu

We consider the problem of constructing distribution-free prediction sets with finite-sample conditional guarantees. Prior work has shown that it is impossible to provide exact conditional coverage universally in finite samples. Thus, most…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-18 Isaac Gibbs , John J. Cherian , Emmanuel J. Candès

To facilitate a wide-spread acceptance of AI systems guiding decision making in real-world applications, trustworthiness of deployed models is key. That is, it is crucial for predictive models to be uncertainty-aware and yield…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-04 Christian Tomani , Florian Buettner

We propose a new method, semi-penalized inference with direct false discovery rate control (SPIDR), for variable selection and confidence interval construction in high-dimensional linear regression. SPIDR first uses a semi-penalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-02 Jian Huang , Shuangge Ma , Cun-Hui Zhang , Yong Zhou
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