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Bayesian inference is used to estimate continuous parameter values given measured data in many fields of science. The method relies on conditional probability densities to describe information about both data and parameters, yet the notion…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Klaus Mosegaard , Andrew Curtis

An important step in building a quantum computer is calibrating experimentally implemented quantum gates to produce operations that are close to ideal unitaries. The calibration step involves estimating the systematic errors in gates and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-10-22 Shelby Kimmel , Guang Hao Low , Theodore J. Yoder

We present a training-free, certified error bound for quantum regression derived directly from Pauli expectation values. Generalizing the heuristic of minimum accuracy from classification to regression, we evaluate axis-aligned predictors…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-05 Demerson N. Gonçalves , Tharso D. Fernandes , Pedro H. G. Lugao , João T. Dias

We propose a Bayesian framework for uncertainty quantification and comparison in brain connectivity graph analysis. Standard graph-based approaches typically rely on point estimates of correlation matrices, overlooking the uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Alice Chevaux , Julyan Arbel , Guillaume Kon Kam King , Sophie Achard

Comparing composite models for multi-component observational data is a prevalent scientific challenge. When fitting composite models, there exists the potential for systematics from a poor fit of one model component to be absorbed by…

For a general class of priors based on random series basis expansion, we develop the Bayes Lepski's method to estimate unknown regression function. In this approach, the series truncation point is determined based on a stopping rule that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-21 William Weimin Yoo , Aad W. van der Vaart

A Bayesian approach to the classification problem is proposed in which random partitions play a central role. It is argued that the partitioning approach has the capacity to take advantage of a variety of large-scale spatial structures, if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marc A. Coram

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a popular computational method for likelihood-free Bayesian inference. The term "likelihood-free" refers to problems where the likelihood is intractable to compute or estimate directly, but where it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-21 Stuart Barber , Jochen Voss , Mark Webster

We show that quantification of the performance of quantum-enhanced measurement schemes based on the concept of quantum Fisher information yields asymptotically equivalent results as the rigorous Bayesian approach, provided generic…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-01-13 Marcin Jarzyna , Rafal Demkowicz-Dobrzanski

Discrete state spaces represent a major computational challenge to statistical inference, since the computation of normalisation constants requires summation over large or possibly infinite sets, which can be impractical. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-04 Takuo Matsubara , Jeremias Knoblauch , François-Xavier Briol , Chris. J. Oates

Approximately unbiased tests based on bootstrap probabilities are considered for the exponential family of distributions with unknown expectation parameter vector, where the null hypothesis is represented as an arbitrary-shaped region with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-24 Hidetoshi Shimodaira

We consider the problem of Bayesian regression with trustworthy uncertainty quantification. We define that the uncertainty quantification is trustworthy if the ground truth can be captured by intervals dependent on the predictive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-30 Zhenyuan Yuan , Thinh T. Doan

We consider a spatial analogue of the quantum error correction threshold. Given individual time-independent subsystems in which quantum information is coherent over sufficiently long lengths, we show how the information can be kept coherent…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-12-29 Ari Mizel

General predictive models do not provide a measure of confidence in predictions without Bayesian assumptions. A way to circumvent potential restrictions is to use conformal methods for constructing non-parametric confidence regions, that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-21 Evgeny Burnaev , Ivan Nazarov

Quality by design in pharmaceutical manufacturing hinges on computational methods and tools that are capable of accurate quantitative prediction of the design space. This paper investigates Bayesian approaches to design space…

This paper considers a two-terminal problem in which Alice and Bob aim to perform a joint measurement on a bipartite quantum system $\rho^{AB}$. Alice transmits the results of her measurements to Bob over a classical channel, and the two…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Anders Høst-Madsen

Quantum metrology derives its capabilities from the careful employ of quantum resources for carrying out measurements. This advantage, however, relies on refined data postprocessing, assessed based on the variance of the estimated…

Modern imaging techniques heavily rely on Bayesian statistical models to address difficult image reconstruction and restoration tasks. This paper addresses the objective evaluation of such models in settings where ground truth is…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-29 Tom Sprunck , Marcelo Pereyra , Tobias Liaudat

We propose a quantum tomography scheme for pure qudit systems which adopts random base measurements and generative learning methods, along with a built-in fidelity estimation approach to assess the reliability of the tomographic states. We…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-03-25 Jun Wang , Zhao-Yu Han , Song-Bo Wang , Zeyang Li , Liang-Zhu Mu , Heng Fan , Lei Wang

We propose a Bayesian uncertainty quantification method for large-scale imaging inverse problems. Our method applies to all Bayesian models that are log-concave, where maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) estimation is a convex optimization problem.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-07 Audrey Repetti , Marcelo Pereyra , Yves Wiaux