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For the problem of prediction with expert advice in the adversarial setting with finite stopping time, we give strong computer evidence that the comb strategy for $k=5$ experts is not asymptotically optimal, thereby giving strong evidence…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-12-04 Zachary Chase

We study the classical problem of prediction with expert advice in the adversarial setting with a geometric stopping time. In 1965, Cover gave the optimal algorithm for the case of 2 experts. In this paper, we design the optimal algorithm,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-12 Nick Gravin , Yuval Peres , Balasubramanian Sivan

This work investigates the online machine learning problem of prediction with expert advice in an adversarial setting through numerical analysis of, and experiments with, a related partial differential equation. The problem is a repeated…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-09 Jeff Calder , Nadejda Drenska , Drisana Mosaphir

We study the problem of nonstochastic bandits with expert advice, extending the setting from finitely many experts to any countably infinite set: A learner aims to maximize the total reward by taking actions sequentially based on bandit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-29 X. Flora Meng , Tuhin Sarkar , Munther A. Dahleh

This paper shows how universal learning can be achieved with expert advice. To this aim, we specify an experts algorithm with the following characteristics: (a) it uses only feedback from the actions actually chosen (bandit setup), (b) it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Jan Poland , Marcus Hutter

The games of prediction with expert advice are considered in this paper. We present some modification of Kalai and Vempala algorithm of following the perturbed leader for the case of unrestrictedly large one-step gains. We show that in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2008-06-30 Vladimir V. V'yugin

For the stochastic multi-armed bandit (MAB) problem from a constrained model that generalizes the classical one, we show that an asymptotic optimality is achievable by a simple strategy extended from the $\epsilon_t$-greedy strategy. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-04 Hyeong Soo Chang

We introduce a new protocol for prediction with expert advice in which each expert evaluates the learner's and his own performance using a loss function that may change over time and may be different from the loss functions used by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-03-23 Alexey Chernov , Vladimir Vovk

The method of defensive forecasting is applied to the problem of prediction with expert advice for binary outcomes. It turns out that defensive forecasting is not only competitive with the Aggregating Algorithm but also handles the case of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-08-13 Vladimir Vovk

This work addresses a classic problem of online prediction with expert advice. We assume an adversarial opponent, and we consider both the finite-horizon and random-stopping versions of this zero-sum, two-person game. Focusing on an…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Nadejda Drenska , Robert V. Kohn

We specify an experts algorithm with the following characteristics: (a) it uses only feedback from the actions actually chosen (bandit setup), (b) it can be applied with countably infinite expert classes, and (c) it copes with losses that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Jan Poland , Marcus Hutter

We address the problem of sequential prediction with expert advice in a non-stationary environment with long-term memory guarantees in the sense of Bousquet and Warmuth [4]. We give a linear-time algorithm that improves on the best known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 James Robinson , Mark Herbster

We establish sharp asymptotically optimal strategies for the problem of online prediction with history dependent experts. The prediction problem is played (in part) over a discrete graph called the $d$ dimensional de Bruijn graph, where $d$…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Jeff Calder , Nadejda Drenska

We study the classic problem of prediction with expert advice under bandit feedback. Our model assumes that one action, corresponding to the learner's abstention from play, has no reward or loss on every trial. We propose the CBA algorithm,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-13 Stephen Pasteris , Alberto Rumi , Maximilian Thiessen , Shota Saito , Atsushi Miyauchi , Fabio Vitale , Mark Herbster

We study how we can adapt a predictor to a non-stationary environment with advises from multiple experts. We study the problem under complete feedback when the best expert changes over time from a decision theoretic point of view. Proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-08 Vishnu Raj , Sheetal Kalyani

We study a variant of decision-theoretic online learning in which the set of experts that are available to Learner can shrink over time. This is a restricted version of the well-studied sleeping experts problem, itself a generalization of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Hamid Shayestehmanesh , Sajjad Azami , Nishant A. Mehta

We investigate the behavior of experts who seek to make predictions with maximum impact on an audience. At a known future time, a certain continuous random variable will be realized. A public prediction gradually converges to the outcome,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-10-03 Amir Ban , Yossi Azar , Yishay Mansour

We study the problem of prediction with expert advice with adversarial corruption where the adversary can at most corrupt one expert. Using tools from viscosity theory, we characterize the long-time behavior of the value function of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Ibrahim Ekren , Xin Zhang

We consider regression under the "extremely small $n$ large $p$" condition, where the number of samples $n$ is so small compared to the dimensionality $p$ that predictors cannot be estimated without prior knowledge. This setup occurs in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-08 Marta Soare , Muhammad Ammad-ud-din , Samuel Kaski

This work addresses the classic machine learning problem of online prediction with expert advice. A new potential-based framework for the fixed horizon version of this problem has been recently developed using verification arguments from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Vladimir A. Kobzar , Robert V. Kohn , Zhilei Wang
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