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We analyze the Gaussian approximation as a method to obtain the first and second moments of a stochastic process described by a master equation. We justify the use of this approximation with ideas coming from van Kampen's expansion approach…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 Luis F. Lafuerza , Raul Toral

Gaussian processes (GPs) are frequently used in machine learning and statistics to construct powerful models. However, when employing GPs in practice, important considerations must be made, regarding the high computational burden,…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-08 Karla Monterrubio-Gómez , Sara Wade

Gaussian processes occupy one of the leading places in modern statistics and probability theory due to their importance and a wealth of strong results. The common use of Gaussian processes is in connection with problems related to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Zexun Chen , Jun Fan , Kuo Wang

This work introduces the concept of parametric Gaussian processes (PGPs), which is built upon the seemingly self-contradictory idea of making Gaussian processes parametric. Parametric Gaussian processes, by construction, are designed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-08 Maziar Raissi

This chapter presents specific aspects of Gaussian process modeling in the presence of complex noise. Starting from the standard homoscedastic model, various generalizations from the literature are presented: input varying noise variance,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Mickael Binois , Arindam Fadikar , Abby Stevens

A large deviation principle is derived for stochastic partial differential equations with slow-fast components. The result shows that the rate function is exactly that of the averaged equation plus the fluctuating deviation which is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-28 Wei Wang , A. J. Roberts , Jinqiao Duan

Gaussian processes (GPs) are pervasive in functional data analysis, machine learning, and spatial statistics for modeling complex dependencies. Modern scientific data sets are typically heterogeneous and often contain multiple known…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Didong Li , Andrew Jones , Sudipto Banerjee , Barbara E. Engelhardt

Spatial modelling of extreme values allows studying the risk of joint occurrence of extreme events at different locations and is of significant interest in climatic and other environmental sciences. A popular class of dependence models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Lorenzo Dell'Oro , Carlo Gaetan , Thomas Opitz

Deep Learning Gaussian Processes (DL-GP) are proposed as a methodology for analyzing (approximating) computer models that produce heteroskedastic and high-dimensional output. Computer simulation models have many areas of applications,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-07 Laura Schultz , Vadim Sokolov

Almost all scientific data have uncertainties originating from different sources. Gaussian process regression (GPR) models are a natural way to model data with Gaussian-distributed uncertainties. GPR also has the benefit of reducing I/O…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-16 Haoyu Li , Isaac J Michaud , Ayan Biswas , Han-Wei Shen

We establish a large deviation principle for the solutions of a class of stochastic partial differential equations with non-Lipschitz continuous coefficients. As an application, the large deviation principle is derived for super-Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-11 Parisa Fatheddin , Jie Xiong

A moderate deviation principle for nonlinear functions of Gaussian processes is established. The nonlinear functions need not be locally bounded. Especially, the logarithm is allowed. (Thus, small deviations of the process are relevant.)…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Boris Tsirelson

Recent research has shown the potential utility of Deep Gaussian Processes. These deep structures are probability distributions, designed through hierarchical construction, which are conditionally Gaussian. In this paper, the current…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Matthew M. Dunlop , Mark A. Girolami , Andrew M. Stuart , Aretha L. Teckentrup

Standard GPs offer a flexible modelling tool for well-behaved processes. However, deviations from Gaussianity are expected to appear in real world datasets, with structural outliers and shocks routinely observed. In these cases GPs can fail…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-08 Yaman Kındap , Simon Godsill

This work is concerned with the convergence of Gaussian process regression. A particular focus is on hierarchical Gaussian process regression, where hyper-parameters appearing in the mean and covariance structure of the Gaussian process…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Aretha L Teckentrup

Gaussian processes are ubiquitous in machine learning, statistics, and applied mathematics. They provide a flexible modelling framework for approximating functions, whilst simultaneously quantifying uncertainty. However, this is only true…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-19 George Wynne , François-Xavier Briol , Mark Girolami

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a generic modelling tool for supervised learning. While they have been successfully applied on large datasets, their use in safety-critical applications is hindered by the lack of good performance guarantees. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-27 David Reeb , Andreas Doerr , Sebastian Gerwinn , Barbara Rakitsch

We study the precise large deviation probabilities for the sizes of intermediate level sets in branching Brownian motion (BBM). Our conclusions improve a result of A\"{i}dekon, Hu and Shi in [J. Math. Sci. \textbf{238}(2019)]. Additionally,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Xinxin Chen , Heng Ma

We introduce the concept of numerical Gaussian processes, which we define as Gaussian processes with covariance functions resulting from temporal discretization of time-dependent partial differential equations. Numerical Gaussian processes,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-31 Maziar Raissi , Paris Perdikaris , George Em Karniadakis

For Markov processes evolving on multiple time-scales a combination of large component scalings and averaging of rapid fluctuations can lead to useful limits for model approximation. A general approach to proving a law of large numbers to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lea Popovic
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