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We discuss large deviation properties of continuous-time random walks (CTRW) and present a general expression for the large deviation rate in CTRW in terms of the corresponding rates for the distributions of steps' lengths and waiting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-14 Adrian Pacheco-Pozo , Igor M. Sokolov

Gaussian processes are one of the dominant approaches in Bayesian learning. Although the approach has been applied to numerous problems with great success, it has a few fundamental limitations. Multiple methods in literature have addressed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-24 Kalvik Jakkala

This paper is devoted to the problem of sample path large deviations for the Markov processes on R_+^N having a constant but different transition mechanism on each boundary set {x:x_i=0 for i\notin\Lambda, x_i>0 for i\in\Lambda}. The global…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Irina Ignatiouk-Robert

We define Gaussian assignment process, determine the asymptotic behavior of its maximum's expectation and suggest an explicit strategy that attains the corresponding asymptotics.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-13 Mikhail Lifshits , Arman Tadevosian

In this paper we prove scalar and sample path large deviation principles for a large class of Poisson cluster processes. As a consequence, we provide a large deviation principle for ergodic Hawkes point processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Charles Bordenave , Giovanni Luca Torrisi

We study deviation probabilities for the number of high positioned particles in branching Brownian motion, and confirm a conjecture of Derrida and Shi (2016). We also solve the corresponding problem for the two-dimensional discrete Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-22 Elie Aïdékon , Yueyun Hu , Zhan Shi

A method is introduced for studying large deviations in the context of statistical physics of disordered systems. The approach, based on an extension of the cavity method to atypical realizations of the quenched disorder, allows us to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Olivier Rivoire

This work leverages recent advances in probabilistic machine learning to discover conservation laws expressed by parametric linear equations. Such equations involve, but are not limited to, ordinary and partial differential,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-13 Maziar Raissi , George Em. Karniadakis

This paper introduces a method to approximate Gaussian process regression by representing the problem as a stochastic differential equation and using variational inference to approximate solutions. The approximations are compared with full…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-08 Wil O C Ward , Mauricio A Álvarez

We present a systematic analysis of stochastic processes conditioned on an empirical measure $Q_T$ defined in a time interval $[0,T]$ for large $T$. We build our analysis starting from a discrete time Markov chain. Results for a continuous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-26 Bernard Derrida , Tridib Sadhu

We present a review of recent work on the statistical mechanics of non equilibrium processes based on the analysis of large deviations properties of microscopic systems. Stochastic lattice gases are non trivial models of such phenomena and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-18 L. Bertini , A. De Sole , D. Gabrielli , G. Jona-Lasinio , C. Landim

We prove large deviation principles for two versions of fractional Poisson processes. Firstly we consider the main version which is a renewal process; we also present large deviation estimates for the ruin probabilities of an insurance…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-26 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci

We construct flexible likelihoods for multi-output Gaussian process models that leverage neural networks as components. We make use of sparse variational inference methods to enable scalable approximate inference for the resulting class of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-03 Martin Jankowiak , Jacob Gardner

Large deviation principles and related results are given for a class of Markov chains associated to the "leaves" in random recursive trees and preferential attachment random graphs, as well as the "cherries" in Yule trees. In particular,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-22 W. Bryc , D. Minda , S. Sethuraman

Gaussian process regression is a popular Bayesian framework for surrogate modeling of expensive data sources. As part of a broader effort in scientific machine learning, many recent works have incorporated physical constraints or other a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Laura Swiler , Mamikon Gulian , Ari Frankel , Cosmin Safta , John Jakeman

Gaussian processes are a natural way of defining prior distributions over functions of one or more input variables. In a simple nonparametric regression problem, where such a function gives the mean of a Gaussian distribution for an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-02-03 Radford M. Neal

One-dimensional run-and-tumble processes may converge towards some localized non-equilibrium steady state when the two velocities and/or the two switching rates are space-dependent. A long dynamical trajectory can be then analyzed via the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-23 Cecile Monthus

An analogue of Talagrand's convex distance for binomial and Poisson point processes is defined. A corresponding large deviation inequality is proved.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-05 Matthias Reitzner

A method for large scale Gaussian process classification has been recently proposed based on expectation propagation (EP). Such a method allows Gaussian process classifiers to be trained on very large datasets that were out of the reach of…

In this work, we study large deviation properties of the covariance process in fully connected Gaussian deep neural networks. More precisely, we establish a large deviation principle (LDP) for the covariance process in a functional…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Luisa Andreis , Federico Bassetti , Christian Hirsch