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Importance sampling algorithms are discussed in detail, with an emphasis on implicit sampling, and applied to data assimilation via particle filters. Implicit sampling makes it possible to use the data to find high-probability samples at…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-02 Alexandre J. Chorin , Fei Lu , Robert N. Miller , Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu

Stochastic methods offer an effective way to suppress coherent errors in quantum simulation. In particular, the randomized compilation protocol may reduce circuit depth by randomly sampling Hamiltonian terms rather than following the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-15 Yu-Xia Wu , Yun-Zhuo Fan , Dan-Bo Zhang

A reliable deep learning system should be able to accurately express its confidence with respect to its predictions, a quality known as calibration. One of the most effective ways to produce reliable confidence estimates with a pre-trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Thomas P. Zollo , Zhun Deng , Jake C. Snell , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

Variational data assimilation optimizes for an initial state of a dynamical system such that its evolution fits observational data. The physical model can subsequently be evolved into the future to make predictions. This principle is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-21 Thomas Frerix , Dmitrii Kochkov , Jamie A. Smith , Daniel Cremers , Michael P. Brenner , Stephan Hoyer

Mathematical modelling is a widely used approach to understand and interpret clinical trial data. This modelling typically involves fitting mechanistic mathematical models to data from individual trial participants. Despite the widespread…

Conformal unlearning aims to ensure that a trained conformal predictor miscovers data points with specific shared characteristics, such as those from a particular label class, associated with a specific user, or belonging to a defined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Yahya Alkhatib , Muhammad Ahmar Jamal , Wee Peng Tay

Fitting a simplifying model with several parameters to real data of complex objects is a highly nontrivial task, but enables the possibility to get insights into the objects physics. Here, we present a method to infer the parameters of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-21 Johannes Oberpriller , T. A. Enßlin

When the heat released by a flame is sufficiently in phase with the acoustic pressure, a self-excited thermoacoustic oscillation can arise. These nonlinear oscillations are one of the biggest challenges faced in the design of safe and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-06-28 Tullio Traverso , Luca Magri

State estimation in multi-layer turbulent flow fields with only a single layer of partial observation remains a challenging yet practically important task. Applications include inferring the state of the deep ocean by exploiting surface…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-30 Zhongrui Wang , Nan Chen , Di Qi

Data assimilation is a core component of numerical weather prediction systems. The large quantity of data processed during assimilation requires the computation to be distributed across increasingly many compute nodes, yet existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Oscar Key , So Takao , Daniel Giles , Marc Peter Deisenroth

We present a data-driven approach to characterizing nonidentifiability of a model's parameters and illustrate it through dynamic as well as steady kinetic models. By employing Diffusion Maps and their extensions, we discover the minimal…

Data assimilation is a vital component in modern global medium-range weather forecasting systems to obtain the best estimation of the atmospheric state by combining the short-term forecast and observations. Recently, AI-based data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Kun Chen , Tao Chen , Peng Ye , Hao Chen , Kang Chen , Tao Han , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Bai

In system identification, estimating parameters of a model using limited observations results in poor identifiability. To cope with this issue, we propose a new method to simultaneously select and estimate sensitive parameters as key model…

This paper presents a general framework for estimating high-dimensional conditional latent factor models via constrained nuclear norm regularization. We establish large sample properties of the estimators and provide efficient algorithms…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-09 Qihui Chen

We introduce a data assimilation method to estimate model parameters with observations of passive tracers by directly assimilating Lagrangian Coherent Structures. Our approach differs from the usual Lagrangian Data Assimilation approach,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-11-22 John Maclean , Naratip Santitissadeekorn , Christopher KRT Jones

Using piezoelectric impedance/admittance sensing for structural health monitoring is promising, owing to the simplicity in circuitry design as well as the high-frequency interrogation capability. The actual identification of fault location…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Pei Cao , Qi Shuai , Jiong Tang

In this study, we develop a continuous data assimilation algorithm to recover the parameter $\alpha$ in the simplified Bardina model. Our method utilizes the observations of finitely many Fourier modes by using a nudging framework that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Débora A. F. Albanez , Maicon José Benvenutti , Jing Tian

This paper presents a data-driven algorithm for simultaneous system identification and parameter estimation in control-affine nonlinear systems. Parameter estimation is achieved by training a data-driven predictive model using state-action…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Moad Abudia , Opeyemi Owolabi , Joel A. Rosenfeld , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

Semi-supervised learning has attracted significant attention due to the proliferation of applications featuring limited labeled data but abundant unlabeled data. In this paper, we examine the statistical inference problem in an…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Chao Ying , Siyi Deng , Yang Ning , Jiwei Zhao , Heping Zhang

The four-dimensional variational data assimilation methodology for assimilating noisy observations into a deterministic model has been the workhorse of forecasting centers for over three decades. While this method provides a computationally…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Shady E Ahmed , Omer San , Sivaramakrishnan Lakshmivarahan , John M Lewis