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This paper deals with inference and prediction for multiple correlated time series, where one has also the choice of using a candidate pool of contemporaneous predictors for each target series. Starting with a structural model for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-20 S. Rao Jammalamadaka , Jinwen Qiu , Ning Ning

Data-driven surrogate models offer quick approximations to complex numerical and experimental systems but typically lack uncertainty quantification, limiting their reliability in safety-critical applications. While Bayesian methods provide…

Molecular dynamics simulations are powerful tools to extract the microscopic mechanisms characterizing the properties of soft materials. We recently introduced machine learning surrogates for molecular dynamics simulations of soft materials…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-10-29 J. C. S. Kadupitiya , Nasim Anousheh , Vikram Jadhao

Surrogate models are used to alleviate the computational burden in engineering tasks, which require the repeated evaluation of computationally demanding models of physical systems, such as the efficient propagation of uncertainties. For…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-28 Felix Schneider , Iason Papaioannou , Gerhard Müller

This paper develops an improved surrogate data test to show experimental evidence, for all the simple vowels of US English, for both male and female speakers, that Gaussian linear prediction analysis, a ubiquitous technique in current…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-10-23 Max Little , Patrick E. McSharry , Irene M. Moroz , Stephen J. Roberts

Fatigue-induced damage is still one of the most uncertain failures in structural systems. Prognostic health monitoring together with surrogate models can help to predict the fatigue life of a structure. This paper demonstrates how to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-27 Simon Pfingstl , Jose Ignacio Rios , Horst Baier , Markus Zimmermann

Satellites and their instruments are subject to the motion stability throughout their lifetimes. The reliability of the large flexible space structures (LFSS) is particularly important for the motion stability of satellites and their…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-20 Dongyu Zhao

Simulation-based problems involving mixed-variable inputs frequently feature domains that are hierarchical, conditional, heterogeneous, or tree-structured. These characteristics pose challenges for data representation, modeling, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Paul Saves , Edward Hallé-Hannan , Jasper Bussemaker , Youssef Diouane , Nathalie Bartoli

Microstructure evolution, which plays a critical role in determining materials properties, is commonly simulated by the high-fidelity but computationally expensive phase-field method. To address this, we approximate microstructure evolution…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-11-22 Saurabh Tiwari , Prathamesh Satpute , Supriyo Ghosh

In this paper we derive an efficient algorithm to learn the parameters of structured predictors in general graphical models. This algorithm blends the learning and inference tasks, which results in a significant speedup over traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-02 Tamir Hazan , Alexander Schwing , David McAllester , Raquel Urtasun

We propose a neural parameterization of convex sets by learning sublinear (positively homogeneous and convex) functions. Our networks implicitly represent both the support and gauge functions of a convex body. We prove a universal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Eloi Martinet

This paper presents a physics and data co-driven surrogate modeling method for efficient rare event simulation of civil and mechanical systems with high-dimensional input uncertainties. The method fuses interpretable low-fidelity physical…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-10 Jianhua Xian , Ziqi Wang

Estimation of Markov Random Field and covariance models from high-dimensional data represents a canonical problem that has received a lot of attention in the literature. A key assumption, widely employed, is that of {\em sparsity} of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-16 Davoud Ataee Tarzanagh , George Michailidis

We study an extension of contextual stochastic linear optimization (CSLO) that, in contrast to most of the existing literature, involves inequality constraints that depend on uncertain parameters predicted by a machine learning model. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Hyungki Im , Wyame Benslimane , Paul Grigas

To construct flexible nonlinear predictive distributions, the paper introduces a family of softplus function based regression models that convolve, stack, or combine both operations by convolving countably infinite stacked gamma…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-24 Mingyuan Zhou

We formalize constraint-based structure learning of the "true" causal graph from observed data when unobserved variables are also existent. We provide conditions for a "natural" family of constraint-based structure-learning algorithms that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Kayvan Sadeghi , Terry Soo

Structured learning is appropriate when predicting structured outputs such as trees, graphs, or sequences. Most prior work requires the training set to consist of complete trees, graphs or sequences. Specifying such detailed ground truth…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Xinghua Lou , Fred Hamprecht

Performative prediction is a framework for learning models that influence the data they intend to predict. We focus on finding classifiers that are performatively stable, i.e. optimal for the data distribution they induce. Standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Mehrnaz Mofakhami , Ioannis Mitliagkas , Gauthier Gidel

Model reduction techniques have emerged as a powerful paradigm across different fronts of scientific computing. Despite their success, the provided tools and methodologies remain limited if high-dimensional dynamical systems subject to…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-05 Noé Stauffer , Hossein Gorji , Ivan Lunati

Conjoint experiments randomize multidimensional profiles, offering a powerful design for recovering structural preference parameters -- including marginal rates of substitution, willingness to pay, and the distribution of preferences across…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Avidit Acharya , Jens Hainmueller , Yiqing Xu