Related papers: On the Bias of Directed Information Estimators
The problem of estimating the directed information rate between two discrete processes $\{X_n\}$ and $\{Y_n\}$ via the plug-in (or maximum-likelihood) estimator is considered. When the joint process $\{(X_n,Y_n)\}$ is a Markov chain of a…
Directed information and its causally conditioned variations are often used to measure causal influences between random processes. In practice, these quantities must be measured from data. Non-asymptotic error bounds for these estimates are…
Estimators for mutual information are typically biased. However, in the case of the Kozachenko-Leonenko estimator for metric spaces, a type of nearest neighbour estimator, it is possible to calculate the bias explicitly.
When data contains measurement errors, it is necessary to make assumptions relating the observed, erroneous data to the unobserved true phenomena of interest. These assumptions should be justifiable on substantive grounds, but are often…
We derive lower bounds on the Bayes risk in decentralized estimation, where the estimator does not have direct access to the random samples generated conditionally on the random parameter of interest, but only to the data received from…
A notion of directed information between two continuous-time processes is proposed. A key component in the definition is taking an infimum over all possible partitions of the time interval, which plays a role no less significant than the…
Four estimators of the directed information rate between a pair of jointly stationary ergodic finite-alphabet processes are proposed, based on universal probability assignments. The first one is a Shannon--McMillan--Breiman type estimator,…
How does one test empirically the hypothesis that a decision maker (DM) is being influenced by information via Bayesian persuasion? In this paper, I consider a DM whose state-dependent preferences are known to an analyst, who sees the…
We propose two new measures for extracting the unique information in $X$ and not $Y$ about a message $M$, when $X, Y$ and $M$ are joint random variables with a given joint distribution. We take a Markov based approach, motivated by…
Randomising networks using a naive `accept-all' edge-swap algorithm is generally biased. Building on recent results for nondirected graphs, we construct an ergodic detailed balance Markov chain with non-trivial acceptance probabilities for…
In this article we consider the estimation of static parameters for partially observed diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, we assume that one must time-discretize the partially…
This work investigates a dynamic variant of Bayesian persuasion, in which a strategic sender seeks to influence a receiver's belief over time through controlling the timing of the information disclosure, under resource constraints. We…
Estimation of mutual information between (multidimensional) real-valued variables is used in analysis of complex systems, biological systems, and recently also quantum systems. This estimation is a hard problem, and universally good…
Directed information or its variants are utilized extensively in the characterization of the capacity of channels with memory and feedback, nonanticipative lossy data compression, and their generalizations to networks. In this paper, we…
In distributed processing, agents generally collect data generated by the same underlying unknown model (represented by a vector of parameters) and then solve an estimation or inference task cooperatively. In this paper, we consider the…
Several recent works in communication systems have proposed to leverage the power of neural networks in the design of encoders and decoders. In this approach, these blocks can be tailored to maximize the transmission rate based on…
Information estimates such as the ``direct method'' of Strong et al. (1998) sidestep the difficult problem of estimating the joint distribution of response and stimulus by instead estimating the difference between the marginal and…
Diffusion models are typically trained using score matching, a learning objective agnostic to the underlying noising process that guides the model. This paper argues that Markov noising processes enjoy an advantage over alternatives, as the…
Partial information decomposition (PID) of the multivariate mutual information describes the distinct ways in which a set of source variables contains information about a target variable. The groundbreaking work of Williams and Beer has…
This paper addresses the problem of inferring circulation of information between multiple stochastic processes. We discuss two possible frameworks in which the problem can be studied: directed information theory and Granger causality. The…