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We present a Bayesian hierarchical framework for a principled data analysis pipeline of peculiar velocity surveys, which makes explicit the inference problem of constraining cosmological parameters from redshift-independent distance…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-07-24 Lawrence Dam

A novel data-driven methodology is presented for the joint selection of prior parameters for both fixed and random effects in Linear Mixed Models (LMMs). This approach facilitates the estimation of complex random-effects structures, as well…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Matteo Amestoy , R. Vermeulen , Mark A. van de Wiel , Wessel N. van Wieringen

A conventional Bayesian approach to prediction uses the posterior distribution to integrate out parameters in a density for unobserved data conditional on the observed data and parameters. When the true posterior is intractable, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Lucas Kock , Scott A. Sisson , G. S. Rodrigues , David J. Nott

Bayesian parameter inference depends on a choice of prior probability distribution for the parameters in question. The prior which makes the posterior distribution maximally sensitive to data is called the Jeffreys prior, and it is…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-02-25 Steen Hannestad , Thomas Tram

Dealing with uncertainty is essential for efficient reinforcement learning. There is a growing literature on uncertainty estimation for deep learning from fixed datasets, but many of the most popular approaches are poorly-suited to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-16 Ian Osband , John Aslanides , Albin Cassirer

Testing and characterizing the difference between two data samples is of fundamental interest in statistics. Existing methods such as Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Cramer-von-Mises tests do not scale well as the dimensionality increases and…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-03-23 Li Ma , Wing H. Wong

The inferential model (IM) framework provides valid prior-free probabilistic inference by focusing on predicting unobserved auxiliary variables. But, efficient IM-based inference can be challenging when the auxiliary variable is of higher…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Ryan Martin , Chuanhai Liu

Although discrete mixture modeling has formed the backbone of the literature on Bayesian density estimation, there are some well known disadvantages. We propose an alternative class of priors based on random nonlinear functions of a uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Suprateek Kundu , David B. Dunson

Three different inferential problems related to a two dimensional categorical data from a Bayesian perspective have been discussed in this article. Conjugate prior distribution with symmetric and asymmetric hyper parameters are considered.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Samyajoy Pal , Christian Heumann , M. Subbiah

Choosing a shrinkage method can be done by selecting a penalty from a list of pre-specified penalties or by constructing a penalty based on the data. If a list of penalties for a class of linear models is given, we provide comparisons based…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-10 Dean Dustin , Bertrand Clarke , Jennifer Clarke

Meta-learners and ensembles aim to combine a set of relevant yet diverse base models to improve predictive performance. However, determining an appropriate set of base models is challenging, especially in online environments where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Helen McKay , Nathan Griffiths , Phillip Taylor

Engineering design problems are often modeled as multi-objective optimization tasks in which a scalarized utility function selects an optimal design from the Pareto set. In practice, preferences are imperfectly known, so uncertainty in the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-01 Chia-Ruei Liu , Yongjia Song , Qiong Zhang , Cameron Turner

In recent years, we have seen a handful of work on inference algorithms over non-stationary data streams. Given their flexibility, Bayesian non-parametric models are a good candidate for these scenarios. However, reliable streaming…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-14 Ioar Casado , Aritz Pérez

In an era where artificial intelligence and machine learning algorithms increasingly impact human life, it is crucial to develop models that account for potential discrimination in their predictions. This paper tackles this problem by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-10 Anna Gottard , Vanessa Verrina , Sabrina Giordano

Bayesian inference in generalized linear models requires a prior on the coefficient vector $\beta$. Practitioners naturally reason about response probabilities at specific covariate values, not about abstract log-odds parameters. We develop…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Recently, a number of mostly $\ell_1$-norm regularized least squares type deterministic algorithms have been proposed to address the problem of \emph{sparse} adaptive signal estimation and system identification. From a Bayesian perspective,…

In this paper, we explore adaptive inference based on variational Bayes. Although several studies have been conducted to analyze the contraction properties of variational posteriors, there is still a lack of a general and computationally…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Ilsang Ohn , Lizhen Lin

We introduce Dirichlet pruning, a novel post-processing technique to transform a large neural network model into a compressed one. Dirichlet pruning is a form of structured pruning that assigns the Dirichlet distribution over each layer's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-10 Kamil Adamczewski , Mijung Park

While the importance of prior selection is well understood, establishing guidelines for selecting priors in hierarchical models has remained an active, and sometimes contentious, area of Bayesian methodology research. Choices of…

Crystal property prediction, governed by quantum mechanical principles, is computationally prohibitive to solve exactly for large many-body systems using traditional density functional theory. While machine learning models have emerged as…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-01-28 Bin Cao , Yang Liu , Longhan Zhang , Yifan Wu , Zhixun Li , Yuyu Luo , Hong Cheng , Yang Ren , Tong-Yi Zhang
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