Related papers: On the monotonicity of copula-based conditional di…
We define a product of algebraic probability spaces equipped with two states. This product is called a conditionally monotone product. This product is a new example of independence in non-commutative probability theory and unifies the…
A methodology for high dimensional causal inference in a time series context is introduced. It is assumed that there is a monotonic transformation of the data such that the dynamics of the transformed variables are described by a Gaussian…
Many types of bounded data defined on the unit interval arise naturally as ratios of the form $X/(X + Y)$. In the existing literature, the main statistical models proposed for this type of bounded data typically based on the assumption that…
This paper revisits Menzerath's Law, also known as the Menzerath-Altmann Law, which models a relationship between the length of a linguistic construct and the average length of its constituents. Recent findings indicate that simple…
We compare two approaches to embedding joint distributions of random variables recorded under different conditions (such as spins of entangled particles for different settings) into the framework of classical, Kolmogorovian probability…
There has been much interest in the nonparametric testing of conditional independence in the econometric and statistical literature, but the simplest and potentially most useful method, based on the sample partial correlation, seems to have…
Recently established, directed dependence measures for pairs $(X,Y)$ of random variables build upon the natural idea of comparing the conditional distributions of $Y$ given $X=x$ with the marginal distribution of $Y$. They assign pairs…
Suppose we are given the conditional probability of one variable given some other variables.Normally the full joint distribution over the conditioning variablesis required to determine the probability of the conditioned variable.Under what…
In this paper we continue the study of conditional Markov chains (CMCs) with finite state spaces, that we initiated in Bielecki, Jakubowski and Niew\k{e}g\l owski (2015). Here, we turn our attention to the study of Markov consistency and…
We consider empirical processes generated by strictly stationary sequences of associated random variables. S. Louhichi established an invariance principle for such processes, assuming that the covariance function decays rapidly enough. We…
Factor models are a parsimonious way to explain the dependence of variables using several latent variables. In Gaussian 1-factor and structural factor models (such as bi-factor, oblique factor) and their factor copula counterparts, factor…
Studying the multivariate extension of copula correlation yields a dimension reduction principle, which turns out to be strongly related with the `simple measure of conditional dependence' $T$ recently introduced by Azadkia & Chatterjee…
Sarmanov copulas offer a simple and tractable way to build multivariate distributions by perturbing the independence copula. They admit closed-form expressions for densities and many functionals of interest, making them attractive for…
By well known results of probability theory, any sequence of random variables with bounded second moments has a subsequence satisfying the central limit theorem and the law of the iterated logarithm in a randomized form. In this paper we…
We introduce a new family of copula densities constructed from univariate distributions on $[0,1]$. Although our construction is structurally simple, the resulting family is versatile: it includes both smooth and irregular examples, and…
The study of survival data often requires taking proper care of the censoring mechanism that prohibits complete observation of the data. Under right censoring, only the first occurring event is observed: either the event of interest, or a…
We propose a generalisation of the logistic regression model, that aims to account for non-linear main effects and complex interactions, while keeping the model inherently explainable. This is obtained by starting with log-odds that are…
Stochastic ordering of distributions of random variables may be defined by the relative convexity of the tail functions. This has been extended to higher order stochastic orderings, by iteratively reassigning tail-weights. The actual…
Real-world complex systems are often modelled by sets of equations with endogenous and exogenous variables. What can we say about the causal and probabilistic aspects of variables that appear in these equations without explicitly solving…
We introduce the notion of a bivariate random discrete copula on an equidistant mesh and explore its stochastic properties. A random discrete copula is a discrete random field, hence, its value at a given point on the mesh is a random…