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We tackle the natural question of whether it is possible to estimate conditional distributions via Sklar's theorem by separately estimating the conditional distributions of the underlying copula and the marginals. Working with so-called…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Kai Schärer , Wolfgang Trutschnig

This paper is dedicated to the consistency of systemic risk measures with respect to stochastic dependence. It compares two alternative notions of Conditional Value-at-Risk (CoVaR) available in the current literature. These notions are both…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-30 Georg Mainik , Eric Schaanning

Multivariate datasets are common in various real-world applications. Recently, copulas have received significant attention for modeling dependencies among random variables. A copula-based information measure is required to quantify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-06 Mohd. Arshad , Swaroop Georgy Zachariah , Ashok Kumar Pathak

Copulas, generalized estimating equations, and generalized linear mixed models promote the analysis of grouped data where non-normal responses are correlated. Unfortunately, parameter estimation remains challenging in these three…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Sarah S. Ji , Benjamin B. Chu , Hua Zhou , Kenneth Lange

In conditional copula models, the copula parameter is deterministically linked to a covariate via the calibration function. The latter is of central interest for inference and is usually estimated nonparametrically. However, when a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-19 Elif F. Acar , Radu V. Craiu , Fang Yao

One of the main goals in non-life insurance is to estimate the claims reserve distribution. A generalized time series model, that allows for modeling the conditional mean and variance of the claim amounts, is proposed for the claims…

Applications · Statistics 2013-06-20 Michal Pešta , Ostap Okhrin

In the present paper, we study extreme negative dependence focussing on the concordance order for copulas. With the absence of a least element for dimensions $d\ge$ 3, the set of all minimal elements in the collection of all copulas turns…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-22 Jae Youn Ahn , Sebastian Fuchs

Understanding the way in which random entities interact is of key interest in numerous scientific fields. This can range from a full characterization of the joint distribution to single scalar summary statistics. In this work we identify a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-22 Yaniv Tenzer , Gal Elidan

We study stochastic choice across decision problems, each represented as a menu of action labels paired with observable outcome vectors. We propose a consistency condition for behavior in decision problems composed of two separable…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-18 Fedor Sandomirskiy , Po Hyun Sung , Omer Tamuz , Ben Wincelberg

We develop factor copula models for analysing the dependence among mixed continuous and discrete responses. Factor copula models are canonical vine copulas that involve both observed and latent variables, hence they allow tail, asymmetric…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-18 Sayed H. Kadhem , Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

A novel copula-based multivariate panel ordinal model is developed to estimate structural relations among components of well-being. Each ordinal time-series is modelled using a copula-based Markov model to relate the marginal distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-02 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos , Emmanouil Mentzakis

Probability density estimation from observed data constitutes a central task in statistics. In this brief, we focus on the problem of estimating the copula density associated to any observed data, as it fully describes the dependence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Nunzio A. Letizia , Nicola Novello , Andrea M. Tonello

We propose a framework for determining whether the causal dependence of an outcome $Y$ on a covariate $X$ changes at a given time point, given confounders $\boldsymbol{Z}$. For instance, in financial markets, the effect of a market…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Shakeel Gavioli-Akilagun , Kieran Wood , Francesco Quinzan

Thanks to their ability to capture complex dependence structures, copulas are frequently used to glue random variables into a joint model with arbitrary marginal distributions. More recently, they have been applied to solve statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-22 Thomas Nagler , Thibault Vatter

We introduce a family of quantum semigroups and their natural coactions on noncommutative polynomials. We present three invariance conditions, associated with these coactions, for the joint distribution of sequences of selfadjoint…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Weihua Liu

In this paper, we focus on stochastic comparisons of extreme order statistics stemming from multiple-outlier scale models with dependence. Archimedean copula is used to model dependence structure among nonnegative random variables.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Sangita Das , Suchandan Kayal

Measuring the concentration of random variables is a fundamental concept in probability and statistics. Here, we explore a type of concentration measure for continuous random variables with bounded support and use it to provide a notion of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-06 S. Portnoy , N. Torrado , J. J. P. Veerman

Copulas provide an attractive approach for constructing multivariate distributions with flexible marginal distributions and different forms of dependences. Of particular importance in many areas is the possibility of explicitly forecasting…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-22 Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

A new notion of stochastic ordering is introduced to compare multivariate stochastic risk models with respect to extreme portfolio losses. In the framework of multivariate regular variation comparison criteria are derived in terms of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-26 Georg Mainik , Ludger Rüschendorf

We discuss the so-called "simplifying assumption" of conditional copulas in a general framework. We introduce several tests of the latter assumption for non- and semiparametric copula models. Some related test procedures based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Alexis Derumigny , Jean-David Fermanian