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Growth mixture models (GMMs) incorporate both conventional random effects growth modeling and latent trajectory classes as in finite mixture modeling; therefore, they offer a way to handle the unobserved heterogeneity between subjects in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Yuhong Wei , Yang Tang , Emilie Shireman , Paul D. McNicholas , Douglas L. Steinley

Heavy rainfall distributional modeling is essential in any impact studies linked to the water cycle, e.g.\ flood risks. Still, statistical analyses that both take into account the temporal and multivariate nature of extreme rainfall are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-13 Gloria Buriticá , Philippe Naveau

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtaining robust parameter estimates. We modify the standard likelihood equations by incorporating a weight that reflects the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Claudio Agostinelli , Ayanendranath Basu , Giulia Bertagnolli , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Daily precipitation time series are composed of null entries corresponding to dry days and nonzero entries that describe the rainfall amounts on wet days. Assuming that wet days follow a Bernoulli process with success probability $p$, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-04-24 Satya N. Majumdar , Philipp von Bomhard , Joachim Krug

Extreme precipitation causes severe societal and economic damage, and weather control has long been discussed as a potential mitigation strategy. However, to the best of our knowledge, perturbation-based interventions for weather control…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Ayumu Ueyama , Kazuhiko Kawamoto , Hiroshi Kera

Statistical downscaling of global climate models (GCMs) allows researchers to study local climate change effects decades into the future. A wide range of statistical models have been applied to downscaling GCMs but recent advances in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-15 Thomas Vandal , Evan Kodra , Auroop R Ganguly

The purpose of this paper is to illustrate new techniques for computing multiday extreme precipitation taken from recent theoretical advancements in extreme value theory in the framework of dynamical systems, using historical precipitation…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-18 Ruethaichanok Kardkasem , Meagan Carney

We present a new subspace-based method to construct probabilistic models for high-dimensional data and highlight its use in anomaly detection. The approach is based on a statistical estimation of probability density using densities of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-16 Cetin Savkli , Catherine Schwartz

This paper presents a unified and novel estimation framework for the Weibull, Gamma, and Log-normal distributions based on arbitrary-order moment pairs. Traditional estimation techniques, such as Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Kang Liu

Modeling precipitation and its accumulation over time and space is essential for flood risk assessment. In this paper, we analyze rainfall data collected over several years through a micro-scale precipitation sensor network in Montpellier,…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-23 Chloé Serre-Combe , Nicolas Meyer , Thomas Opitz , Gwladys Toulemonde

We construct the generalized entropy optimized by a given arbitrary statistical distribution with a finite linear expectation value of a random quantity of interest. This offers, via the maximum entropy principle, a unified basis for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Sumiyoshi Abe

This paper obtains asymptotic results for parametric inference using prediction-based estimating functions when the data are high frequency observations of a diffusion process with an infinite time horizon. Specifically, the data are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Emil S. Jørgensen , Michael Sørensen

The main challenges of measuring precipitation are related to the spatio-temporal variability of the drop-size distribution, to the uncertainties that condition the modeling of that distribution, and to the instrumental errors present in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-06-25 Ramiro Checa-Garcia

Normality is the most often mathematical supposition used in data modeling. Nonetheless, even based on the law of large numbers (LLN), normality is a strong presumption given that the presence of asymmetry and multi-modality in real-world…

Forecasting extreme precipitation is essential yet challenging due to its rarity and complexity. We develop a large deviation framework to estimate the return times of extreme precipitation events. We first find that the Landau…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-14 Haotian Xie , Haoxian Liu , Jingfang Fan , Ying Tang

Weibull distribution has received a wide range of applications in engineering and science. The utility and usefulness of an estimator is highly subject to the field of practitioner's study. In practice users looking for their desired…

Computation · Statistics 2019-02-18 Sahar Sadani , Kamel Abdollahnezhad , Mahdi Teimouri , Vahid Ranjbar

The goal of this paper is to develop methodology for the systematic analysis of asymptotic statistical properties of data driven DRO formulations based on their corresponding non-DRO counterparts. We illustrate our approach in various…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-28 Jose Blanchet , Alexander Shapiro

This paper concerns the asymptotic behavior of a random variable $W_\lambda$ resulting from the summation of the functionals of a Gibbsian spatial point process over windows $Q_\lambda \uparrow R^d$. We establish conditions ensuring that…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-24 Aihua Xia , J. E. Yukich

The Weibull--like distributions form a large class of probability distributions that belong to the domain of attraction for the maxima of the Gumbel law. Besides the Weibull distribution, it includes important distributions as the Gamma…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-27 Armengol Gasull , José A. López-Salcedo , Frederic Utzet

Anomaly detection when observing a large number of data streams is essential in a variety of applications, ranging from epidemiological studies to monitoring of complex systems. High-dimensional scenarios are usually tackled with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Ivo V. Stoepker , Rui M. Castro , Ery Arias-Castro , Edwin van den Heuvel
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