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We examine the switching dynamics of a stochastic population subjected to a deterministically time-varying environment. Our approach is demonstrated in the realm of ecology on a problem of population establishment. Here, by assuming a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-02-19 Tom Israeli , Michael Assaf

A calculational approach in fluid turbulence is presented. Use is made of the attracting nature of the fluid-dynamic dynamical system. An approximate approach is offerred that effectively propagates the statistics in time. Loss of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Edsel A. Ammons

Probabilistic sampling methods have become very popular to solve single-shot path planning problems. Rapidly-exploring Random Trees (RRTs) in particular have been shown to be very efficient in solving high dimensional problems. Even though…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-12-03 Nicolas A. Barriga , Mauricio Araya-López , Mauricio Solar

Populations interact non-linearly and are influenced by environmental fluctuations. In order to have realistic mathematical models, one needs to take into account that the environmental fluctuations are inherently stochastic. Often,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Alexandru Hening , Siddharth Sabharwal

In Bayesian theory, calculating a posterior probability distribution is highly important but usually difficult. Therefore, some methods have been put forward to deal with such problem, among which, the most popular one is the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-20 Zai-Ying Zhou

Having a precise knowledge of the dispersal ability of a population in a heterogeneous environment is of critical importance in agroecology and conservation biology as it can provide management tools to limit the effects of pests or to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-19 L. Roques , E. Walker , P. Franck , S. Soubeyrand , E. K. Klein

We present an algorithm for finding the probabilities of rare events in nonequilibrium processes. The algorithm consists of evolving the system with a modified dynamics for which the required event occurs more frequently. By keeping track…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-04-07 Anupam Kundu , Sanjib Sabhapandit , Abhishek Dhar

The time process of transport on randomly evolving trees is investigated. By introducing the notions of living and dead nodes a model of random tree evolution is constructed which describes the spreading in time of objects corresponding to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 L. Pal

We study a simple model of the stochastic information filtering, in a randomly organized information system. For simplest versions of the model it appears to be possible to describe the filtering dynamics in terms of the master equations.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 I. S. Manida , Yu. M. Pis'mak

We present a continuation method that entails generating a sequence of transition probability density functions from the prior to the posterior in the context of Bayesian inference for parameter estimation problems. The characterization of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-27 Ben Mansour Dia

Stochastic linear combinations of some random vectors are studied where the distribution of the random vectors and the joint distribution of their coefficients are Dirichlet. A method is provided for calculating the distribution of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-03 Hazhir Homei

We demonstrate a data-driven method to solve for the invariant probability density function of a randomly perturbed dynamical system. The key idea is to replace the boundary condition of numerical schemes by a least squares problem…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-27 Yao Li

Coalescent theory combined with statistical modeling allows us to estimate effective population size fluctuations from molecular sequences of individuals sampled from a population of interest. When sequences are sampled serially through…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-02 Michael D. Karcher , Marc A. Suchard , Gytis Dudas , Vladimir N. Minin

In this work, a strategy to estimate the information transfer between the elements of a complex system, from the time series associated to the evolution of this elements, is presented. By using the nearest neighbors of each state, the local…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-12-05 P. Garcia , R. Mujica

We present an ``equation-free'' multiscale approach to the simulation of unsteady diffusion in a random medium. The diffusivity of the medium is modeled as a random field with short correlation length, and the governing equations are cast…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Dongbin Xiu , Ioannis Kevrekidis

Random flights in $\mathbb{R}^d,d\geq 2,$ with Dirichlet-distributed displacements and uniformly distributed orientation are analyzed. The explicit characteristic functions of the position $\underline{\bf X}_d(t),\,t>0,$ when the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-01 Alessandro De Gregorio , Enzo Orsingher

This paper exposes a novel exploratory formalism, which end goal is the numerical simulation of the dynamics of a cloud of particles weakly or strongly coupled with a turbulent fluid. Giventhe large panel of expertise of the list of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Ludovic Goudenège , Adam Larat , Julie Llobell , Marc Massot , David Mercier , Olivier Thomine , Aymeric Vié

The theory of slow manifolds is an important tool in the study of deterministic dynamical systems, giving a practical method by which to reduce the number of relevant degrees of freedom in a model, thereby often resulting in a considerable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-07-01 George W A Constable , Alan J McKane , Tim Rogers

Predictive statistical mechanics is a form of inference from available data, without additional assumptions, for predicting reproducible phenomena. By applying it to systems with Hamiltonian dynamics, a problem of predicting the macroscopic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-22 Domagoj Kuic

We discuss the population dynamics with selection and random diffusion, keeping the total population constant, in a fitness landscape associated with Constraint Satisfaction, a paradigm for difficult optimization problems. We obtain a phase…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-11-23 Tommaso Brotto , Guy Bunin , Jorge Kurchan