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A common goal in comparative effectiveness research is to estimate treatment effects on pre-specified subpopulations of patients. Though widely used in medical research, causal inference methods for such subgroup analysis remain…

Estimating causal effects from observational data informs us about which factors are important in an autonomous system, and enables us to take better decisions. This is important because it has applications in selecting a treatment in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Plabon Shaha , Talha Islam Zadid , Ismat Rahman , Md. Mosaddek Khan

There is growing interest in a hybrid control design in which a randomized controlled trial is augmented with an external control arm from a previous trial or real world data. Existing methods for analyzing hybrid control studies include…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-30 Zhiwei Zhang , Jialuo Liu , Wei Liu

The sparse group lasso is a high-dimensional regression technique that is useful for problems whose predictors have a naturally grouped structure and where sparsity is encouraged at both the group and individual predictor level. In this…

Stepwise regression building procedures are commonly used applied statistical tools, despite their well-known drawbacks. While many of their limitations have been widely discussed in the literature, other aspects of the use of individual…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-07-16 Sherri Rose , Thomas G. McGuire

Disaggregation modelling, or downscaling, has become an important discipline in epidemiology. Surveillance data, aggregated over large regions, is becoming more common, leading to an increasing demand for modelling frameworks that can deal…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-15 Anita K. Nandi , Tim C. D. Lucas , Rohan Arambepola , Peter Gething , Daniel J. Weiss

This article introduces the R package csranks for estimation and inference involving ranks. First, we review methods for the construction of confidence sets for ranks, namely marginal and simultaneous confidence sets as well as confidence…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-30 Denis Chetverikov , Magne Mogstad , Pawel Morgen , Joseph Romano , Azeem Shaikh , Daniel Wilhelm

Propensity score weighting is an important tool for comparative effectiveness research.Besides the inverse probability of treatment weights (IPW), recent development has introduced a general class of balancing weights, corresponding to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-05 Tianhui Zhou , Guangyu Tong , Fan Li , Laine E. Thomas , Fan Li

Uplift modeling, vital in online marketing, seeks to accurately measure the impact of various strategies, such as coupons or discounts, on different users by predicting the Individual Treatment Effect (ITE). In an e-commerce setting, user…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-01-26 Yinqiu Huang , Shuli Wang , Min Gao , Xue Wei , Changhao Li , Chuan Luo , Yinhua Zhu , Xiong Xiao , Yi Luo

Without a control group, the most widespread methodologies for estimating causal effects cannot be applied. To fill this gap, we propose the Machine Learning Control Method, a new approach for causal panel analysis that estimates causal…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-28 Augusto Cerqua , Marco Letta , Fiammetta Menchetti

This paper proposes an approach to analyze an event log of a business process in order to generate case-level recommendations of treatments that maximize the probability of a given outcome. Users classify the attributes in the event log…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-04 Zahra Dasht Bozorgi , Irene Teinemaa , Marlon Dumas , Marcello La Rosa , Artem Polyvyanyy

Analyzing time-series cross-sectional (also known as longitudinal or panel) data is an important process across a number of fields, including the social sciences, economics, finance, and medicine. PanelMatch is an R package that implements…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Adam Rauh , In Song Kim , Kosuke Imai

The acceleration in the adoption of AI-based automated decision-making systems poses a challenge for evaluating the fairness of algorithmic decisions, especially in the absence of ground truth. When designing interventions, uplift modeling…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Serdar Kadioglu , Filip Michalsky

Comparison and contrast are the basic means to unveil causation and learn which treatments work. To build good comparison groups, randomized experimentation is key, yet often infeasible. In such non-experimental settings, we illustrate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Ambarish Chattopadhyay , Jose R. Zubizarreta

CIMTx provides efficient and unified functions to implement modern methods for causal inferences with multiple treatments using observational data with a focus on binary outcomes. The methods include regression adjustment, inverse…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-15 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji

AI models are often evaluated based on their ability to predict the outcome of interest. However, in many AI for social impact applications, the presence of an intervention that affects the outcome can bias the evaluation. Randomized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Winston Chen , Michael W. Sjoding , Jenna Wiens

Uplift modeling is a rapidly growing approach that utilizes causal inference and machine learning methods to directly estimate the heterogeneous treatment effects, which has been widely applied to various online marketplaces to assist…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-27 Shu Wan , Chen Zheng , Zhonggen Sun , Mengfan Xu , Xiaoqing Yang , Hongtu Zhu , Jiecheng Guo

As a key component in online marketing, uplift modeling aims to accurately capture the degree to which different treatments motivate different users, such as coupons or discounts, also known as the estimation of individual treatment effect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Dugang Liu , Xing Tang , Han Gao , Fuyuan Lyu , Xiuqiang He

Uplift modeling, also known as individual treatment effect (ITE) estimation, is an important approach for data-driven decision making that aims to identify the causal impact of an intervention on individuals. This paper introduces a new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Théo Verhelst , Denis Mercier , Jeevan Shrestha , Gianluca Bontempi

Covariate adjustment aims to improve the statistical efficiency of randomized trials by incorporating information from baseline covariates. Popular methods for covariate adjustment include analysis of covariance for continuous endpoints and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-09 Zhiwei Zhang , Ya Wang , Dong Xi