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We show that publishing results using the statistical significance filter---publishing only when the p-value is less than 0.05---leads to a vicious cycle of overoptimistic expectation of the replicability of results. First, we show…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-16 Shravan Vasishth , Andrew Gelman

In big data analysis for detecting rare and weak signals among $n$ features, some grouping-test methods such as Higher Criticism test (HC), Berk-Jones test (B-J), and $\phi$-divergence test share the similar asymptotical optimality when $n…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-24 Hong Zhang , Jiashun Jin , Zheyang Wu

This paper offers a commentary on the use of notions of statistical significance in choice modelling. We review the reasons for uncertainty in parameter estimates, provide a precise discussion on the computation of measures of uncertainty…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-18 Stephane Hess , Andrew Daly , Michiel Bliemer , Angelo Guevara , Ricardo Daziano , Thijs Dekker

I have three goals in this article: (1) To show the enormous potential of bootstrapping and permutation tests to help students understand statistical concepts including sampling distributions, standard errors, bias, confidence intervals,…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2014-11-20 Tim Hesterberg

Determining the relevant spatial covariates is one of the most important problems in the analysis of point patterns. Parametric methods may lead to incorrect conclusions, especially when the model of interactions between points is wrong.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-12 Jiří Dvořák , Tomáš Mrkvička

Null Hypothesis Significance Testing (NHST) has long been of central importance to psychology as a science, guiding theory development and underlying the application of evidence-based intervention and decision-making. Recent years, however,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-20 Fintan Costello , Paul Watts

This study aims to evaluate the performance of power in the likelihood ratio test for changepoint detection by bootstrap sampling, and proposes a hypothesis test based on bootstrapped confidence interval lengths. Assuming i.i.d normally…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 Ryan Chen , Javier Cabrera

Measurements are generally collected as unilateral or bilateral data in clinical trials or observational studies. For example, in ophthalmologic studies, statistical tests are often based on one or two eyes of an individual. For bilateral…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-08 Chang-Xing Ma , Kejia Wang

This paper investigates a statistical procedure for testing the equality of two independent estimated covariance matrices when the number of potentially dependent data vectors is large and proportional to the size of the vectors, that is,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-09 Rémy Mariétan , Stephan Morgenthaler

Accurately assessing software vulnerabilities is essential for effective prioritization and remediation. While various scoring systems exist to support this task, their differing goals, methodologies and outputs often lead to inconsistent…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Viktoria Koscinski , Mark Nelson , Ahmet Okutan , Robert Falso , Mehdi Mirakhorli

Watermarking is a principled approach for tracing the provenance of large language model (LLM) outputs, but its deployment in practice is hindered by inference inefficiency. Speculative sampling accelerates inference, with efficiency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Weiqing He , Xiang Li , Li Shen , Weijie Su , Qi Long

Although numerous algorithms have been proposed to solve the categorical data clustering problem, how to access the statistical significance of a set of categorical clusters remains unaddressed. To fulfill this void, we employ the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-09 Lianyu Hu , Mudi Jiang , Yan Liu , Zengyou He

Comparisons of different treatments or production processes are the goals of a significant fraction of applied research. Unsurprisingly, two-sample problems play a main role in Statistics through natural questions such as `Is the the new…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-05 P. C. Álvarez-Esteban , E. del Barrio , J. A. Cuesta-Albertos , C. Matrán

We study distributional similarity measures for the purpose of improving probability estimation for unseen cooccurrences. Our contributions are three-fold: an empirical comparison of a broad range of measures; a classification of similarity…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Lillian Lee

Over-parameterized deep models usually over-fit to a given training distribution, which makes them sensitive to small changes and out-of-distribution samples at inference time, leading to low generalization performance. To this end, several…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-12-12 Saeid Asgari Taghanaki , Kumar Abhishek , Ghassan Hamarneh

We develop a pivotal test to assess the statistical significance of the feature variables in a single-layer feedforward neural network regression model. We propose a gradient-based test statistic and study its asymptotics using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Enguerrand Horel , Kay Giesecke

The quality of a summarization evaluation metric is quantified by calculating the correlation between its scores and human annotations across a large number of summaries. Currently, it is unclear how precise these correlation estimates are,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Daniel Deutsch , Rotem Dror , Dan Roth

The surge in digitized text data requires reliable inferential methods on observed textual patterns. This article proposes a novel two-sample text test for comparing similarity between two groups of documents. The hypothesis is whether the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-09 Jingbin Xu , Chen Qian , Meimei Liu , Feng Guo

This paper proposes a class of origin-smooth approximators of indicators underlying the sum-of-negative-part statistic for testing multiple inequalities. The need for simulation or bootstrap to obtain test critical values is thereby…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-27 Le-Yu Chen , Jerzy Szroeter

Score-based statistical models play an important role in modern machine learning, statistics, and signal processing. For hypothesis testing, a score-based hypothesis test is proposed in \cite{wu2022score}. We analyze the performance of this…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-06 Enmao Diao , Taposh Banerjee , Vahid Tarokh