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We study deviation of U-statistics when samples have heavy-tailed distribution so the kernel of the U-statistic does not have bounded exponential moments at any positive point. We obtain an exponential upper bound for the tail of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-30 Milad Bakhshizadeh

Let $r,k,\ell$ be integers such that $0\le\ell\le\binom{k}{r}$. Given a large $r$-uniform hypergraph $G$, we consider the fraction of $k$-vertex subsets which span exactly $\ell$ edges. If $\ell$ is 0 or $\binom{k}{r}$, this fraction can be…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-08-22 Vishesh Jain , Matthew Kwan , Dhruv Mubayi , Tuan Tran

We derive upper bounds on the tail conditional expectation of binomial and Poisson random variables. Those upper bounds are subsequently employed to the problem of obtaining non-asymptotic lower bounds on the probability that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-07 Christos Pelekis

Building on the techniques from the breakthrough paper of Harel, Mousset and Samotij, which solved the upper tail problem for cliques, we compute the asymptotics of the upper tail for the number of induced copies of the 4-cycle in the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-01-11 Asaf Cohen Antonir

We study the lower tail large deviation problem for subgraph counts in a random graph. Let $X_H$ denote the number of copies of $H$ in an Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph $\mathcal{G}(n,p)$. We are interested in estimating the lower tail…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-04-12 Yufei Zhao

We study generalisations of a simple, combinatorial proof of a Chernoff bound similar to the one by Impagliazzo and Kabanets (RANDOM, 2010). In particular, we prove a randomized version of the hitting property of expander random walks and…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2015-01-16 Jan Hązła , Thomas Holenstein

For a fixed positive integer $\;k,\;$ limit laws of linearly normalized $\;k$-th upper order statistics are well known. In this article, a comprehensive study of tail behaviours of limit laws of normalized $k$-th upper order statistics…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-11 Sreenivasan Ravi , Mandagere Chandrashekhar Manohar

With $\xi$ the number of triangles in the usual (Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi) random graph $G(m,p)$, $p>1/m$ and $\eta>0$, we show (for some $C_{\eta}>0$) $$\Pr(\xi> (1+\eta)\E \xi) < \exp[-C_{\eta}\min{m^2p^2\log(1/p),m^3p^3}].$$ This is tight up to…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-30 Bobby DeMarco , Jeff Kahn

Let m and r be two integers. Let G be a connected r-regular graph of order n and k an integer depending on m and r. For even kn, we find a best upper bound (in terms of r and m) on the third largest eigenvalue that is sufficient to…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-03-10 Hongliang Lu

We obtain some new upper bounds on the Ramsey numbers of the form $R(\underbrace{C_4,\ldots,C_4}_m,G_1,\ldots,G_n)$, where $m\ge 1$ and $G_1,\ldots,G_n$ are arbitrary graphs. We focus on the cases of $G_i$'s being complete, star $K_{1,k}$…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-11-23 Luis Boza , Stanisław Radziszowski

Let $X_k$ denote the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions in a random subset of $\mathbb{Z}/N\mathbb{Z}$ or $\{1, \dots, N\}$ where every element is included independently with probability $p$. We determine the asymptotics of $\log…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Shirshendu Ganguly , Xuancheng Shao , Yufei Zhao

General upper tail estimates are given for counting edges in a random induced subhypergraph of a fixed hypergraph H, with an easy proof by estimating the moments. As an application we consider the numbers of arithmetic progressions and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Svante Janson , Andrzej Rucinski

We consider the problem of finding the optimal upper bound for the tail probability of a sum of $k$ nonnegative, independent and identically distributed random variables with given mean $x$. For $k=1$ the answer is given by Markov's…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-12 Tomasz Łuczak , Katarzyna Mieczkowska , Matas Šileikis

The approach used by Kalashnikov and Tsitsiashvili for constructing upper bounds for the tail distribution of a geometric sum with subexponential summands is reconsidered. By expressing the problem in a more probabilistic light, several…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-18 Andrew Richards

For any fixed simple graph $H=(V,E)$ and any fixed $u>0$, we establish the leading order of the exponential rate function for the probability that the number of copies of $H$ in the Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi graph $G(n,p)$ exceeds its expectation…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Nicholas A. Cook , Amir Dembo

We give upper bounds for the number $\Phi_\ell(G)$ of matchings of size $\ell$ in (i) bipartite graphs $G=(X\cup Y, E)$ with specified degrees $d_x$ ($x\in X$), and (ii) general graphs $G=(V,E)$ with all degrees specified. In particular,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-05-22 Liviu Ilinca , Jeff Kahn

Let $X$ be an $n\times n$ symmetric random matrix with independent but non-identically distributed entries. The deviation inequalities of the spectral norm of $X$ with Gaussian entries have been obtained by using the standard concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-22 Guozheng Dai , Zhonggen Su , Hanchao Wang

What is the probability that the number of triangles in $\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$, the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph with edge density $p$, is at least twice its mean? Writing it as $\exp[- r(n,p)]$, already the order of the rate function…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-04-12 Eyal Lubetzky , Yufei Zhao

We present a proof of an upper tail bound of the correct order (up to a constant factor in the exponent) in two classes of stationary models in the KPZ universality class. The proof is based on an exponential identity due to Rains in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-01 Benjamin Landon , Philippe Sosoe

Let $F_n$ be the graph on $2n+1$ vertices consisting of $n$ triangles meeting at a single vertex. After a number of improvements over the years, it is currently known that the Ramsey number of $F_n$ is between $4.5n-5$ (Chen, Yu, Zhao) and…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Louis DeBiasio , Tucker Wimbish