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We introduce a new version of forward stepwise regression. Our modification finds solutions to regression problems where the selected predictors appear in a structured pattern, with respect to a predefined distance measure over the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-02 Daniel Percival , Kathryn Roeder , Roni Rosenfeld , Larry Wasserman

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) evolves with extraordinary rapidity. However, its evolution is constrained by interactions between mutations in its fitness landscape. Here we show that an Ising model describing these interactions,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-24 Thomas C. Butler , John P. Barton , Mehran Kardar , Arup K. Chakraborty

Motivation: In predicting HIV therapy outcomes, a critical clinical question is whether using historical information can enhance predictive capabilities compared with current or latest available data analysis. This study analyses whether…

Drug resistance remains a major problem for the treatment of HIV. Resistance can occur due to mutations that were present before treatment starts or due to mutations that occur during treatment. The relative importance of these two sources…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-03 Pleuni S. Pennings

Predicting how protein mutations affect drug binding remains a major challenge, particularly when the mutations are distal from the binding site. In this study, we introduce a coupled simulation workflow that combines long-time-scale…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2026-03-30 William Dawson , Louis Beal , Marco Zaccaria , Luigi Genovese

RNA viruses provide prominent examples of measurably evolving populations. In HIV infection, the development of drug resistance is of particular interest, because precise predictions of the outcome of this evolutionary process are a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-03-04 Niko Beerenwinkel , Mathias Drton

The evolutionary dynamics of HIV during the chronic phase of infection is driven by the host immune response and by selective pressures exerted through drug treatment. To understand and model the evolution of HIV quantitatively, the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-08-01 Richard A. Neher , Thomas Leitner

Drug resistance to HIV-1 Protease involves accumulation of multiple mutations in the protein. Here we investigate the role of these mutations by using molecular dynamics simulations which exploit the influence of the native-state topology…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Fabio Cecconi , Cristian Micheletti , Paolo Carloni , Amos Maritan

We analyze 14,651 HIV1 reverse transcriptase (HIV RT) sequences from the Stanford HIV Drug Resistance Database labeled with treatment regimen in order to study the evolution this enzyme under drug selection in the clinic. Our goal is to…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-04 Shefali Qamar , Manel Camps , Jay Kim

Human decision-making differs due to variation in both incentives and available information. This constitutes a substantial challenge for the evaluation of whether and how machine learning predictions can improve decision outcomes. We…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-24 Michael Allan Ribers , Hannes Ullrich

Covariate adjustment is an approach to improve the precision of trial analyses by adjusting for baseline variables that are prognostic of the primary endpoint. Motivated by the SEARCH Universal HIV Test-and-Treat Trial (2013-2017), we tell…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Laura B. Balzer , Mark J. van der Laan , Maya L. Petersen

We introduce and analyze a waiting time model for the accumulation of genetic changes. The continuous time conjunctive Bayesian network is defined by a partially ordered set of mutations and by the rate of fixation of each mutation. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-09-18 Niko Beerenwinkel , Seth Sullivant

A central challenge in Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) public health policy lies in determining whether to universally expand treatment access, despite the risk of sub-optimal adherence and consequent drug resistance, or to adopt a more…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-16 Ashish Poonia , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

The objective is to model longitudinal and survival data jointly taking into account the dependence between the two responses in a real HIV/AIDS dataset using a shared parameter approach inside a Bayesian framework. We propose a linear…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-02 Rui Martins

Sequential monotherapy is the most widely used therapeutic approach in the treatment of HBV chronic infection. Unfortunately, under therapy, in some patients the hepatitis virus mutates and gives rise to variants which are drug resistant.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-01 Daniela Bertacchi , Fabio Zucca , Sergio Foresti , Davide Mangioni , Andrea Gori

The vertebrate adaptive immune system provides a flexible and diverse set of molecules to neutralize pathogens. Yet, viruses such as HIV can cause chronic infections by evolving as quickly as the adaptive immune system, forming an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-06-22 Armita Nourmohammad , Jakub Otwinowski , Joshua B. Plotkin

Broadly neutralizing antibodies are promising candidates for treatment and prevention of HIV-1 infections. Such antibodies can temporarily suppress viral load in infected individuals; however, the virus often rebounds by escape mutants that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-12 Matthijs Meijers , Kanika Vanshylla , Henning Gruell , Florian Klein , Michael Laessig

The positivity assumption is central in the identification of a causal effect, and especially the stochastic variant is an issue many applied researchers face, yet is rarely discussed, especially in conjunction with continuous treatments or…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-03 Katharina Ring , Michael Schomaker

The evolution of drug resistance in HIV occurs by the fixation of specific, well-known, drug-resistance mutations, but the underlying population genetic processes are not well understood. By analyzing within-patient longitudinal sequence…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-11-15 Pleuni Pennings , Sergey Kryazhimskiy , John Wakeley

Combined inference for heterogeneous high-dimensional data is critical in modern biology, where clinical and various kinds of molecular data may be available from a single study. Classical genetic association studies regress a single…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-22 Hélène Ruffieux , Anthony C. Davison , Jörg Hager , Irina Irincheeva
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