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In this work we present Cutting Plane Inference (CPI), a Maximum A Posteriori (MAP) inference method for Statistical Relational Learning. Framed in terms of Markov Logic and inspired by the Cutting Plane Method, it can be seen as a meta…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Sebastian Riedel

Unlike traditional statistical methods, Conformal Prediction (CP) allows for the determination of valid and accurate confidence levels associated with individual predictions based only on exchangeability of the data. We here introduce a new…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Marcos López-De-Castro , Alberto García-Galindo , Rubén Armañanzas

Simulation-based inference (SBI) is constantly in search of more expressive and efficient algorithms to accurately infer the parameters of complex simulation models. In line with this goal, we present consistency models for posterior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Marvin Schmitt , Valentin Pratz , Ullrich Köthe , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T Radev

In this paper, we leverage existing statistical methods to better understand feature learning from data. We tackle this by modifying the model-free variable selection method, Feature Ordering by Conditional Independence (FOCI), which is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-14 Krunoslav Lehman Pavasovic , David Lopez-Paz , Giulio Biroli , Levent Sagun

We introduce Conformal Interquantile Regression (CIR), a conformal regression method that efficiently constructs near-minimal prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage. CIR leverages black-box machine learning models to estimate outcome…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-07 Naixin Guo , Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

This paper presents an iterative algorithm to compute a Robust Control Invariant (RCI) set, along with an invariance-inducing control law, for Linear Parameter-Varying (LPV) systems. As the real-time measurements of the scheduling…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-01 Ankit Gupta , Manas Mejari , Paolo Falcone , Dario Piga

This paper presents a novel feature selection method based on the conditional mutual information (CMI). The proposed High Order Conditional Mutual Information Maximization (HOCMIM) incorporates high order dependencies into the feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-25 Francisco Souza , Cristiano Premebida , Rui Araújo

Traditional methods for determining critical parameters are often influenced by human factors. This research introduces a physics-inspired adaptive reinforcement learning framework that enables agents to autonomously interact with physical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-12 Hai Man , Chaobo Wang , Jia-Rui Li , Yuping Tian , Shu-Gang Chen

We present Causal Posterior Estimation (CPE), a novel method for Bayesian inference in simulator models, i.e., models where the evaluation of the likelihood function is intractable or too computationally expensive, but where one can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Simon Dirmeier , Antonietta Mira

The complex nature of artificial neural networks raises concerns on their reliability, trustworthiness, and fairness in real-world scenarios. The Shapley value -- a solution concept from game theory -- is one of the most popular explanation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Jacopo Teneggi , Beepul Bharti , Yaniv Romano , Jeremias Sulam

Computational protein-protein interaction (PPI) prediction techniques can contribute greatly in reducing time, cost and false-positive interactions compared to experimental approaches. Sequence is one of the key and primary information of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Soumyadeep Debnath , Ayatullah Faruk Mollah

We investigate generically applicable and intuitively appealing prediction intervals based on $k$-fold cross validation. We focus on the conditional coverage probability of the proposed intervals, given the observations in the training…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-13 Lukas Steinberger , Hannes Leeb

Understanding the contribution of individual features in predictive models remains a central goal in interpretable machine learning, and while many model-agnostic methods exist to estimate feature importance, they often fall short in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Ivan Lazic , Chiara Barà , Marta Iovino , Sebastiano Stramaglia , Niksa Jakovljevic , Luca Faes

Scientists regularly pose questions about treatment effects on outcomes conditional on a post-treatment event. However, causal inference in such settings requires care, even in perfectly executed randomized experiments. Recently, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Chan Park , Mats Stensrud , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

A growing family of approaches to causal inference rely on Bayesian formulations of assumptions that go beyond causal graph structure. For example, Bayesian approaches have been developed for analyzing instrumental variable designs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Sam Witty , David Jensen , Vikash Mansinghka

Conditional independence tests (CI tests) have received special attention lately in Machine Learning and Computational Intelligence related literature as an important indicator of the relationship among the variables used by their models.…

We propose a general new method, the conditional permutation test, for testing the conditional independence of variables $X$ and $Y$ given a potentially high-dimensional random vector $Z$ that may contain confounding factors. The proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-08 Thomas B. Berrett , Yi Wang , Rina Foygel Barber , Richard J. Samworth

Metrics based on percentile ranks (PRs) for measuring scholarly impact involves complex treatment because of various defects such as overvaluing or devaluing an object caused by percentile ranking schemes, ignoring precise citation…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Ping Zhou , Yongfeng Zhong

Research on Symbolic Probabilistic Inference (SPI) [2, 3] has provided an algorithm for resolving general queries in Bayesian networks. SPI applies the concept of dependency directed backward search to probabilistic inference, and is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Kuo-Chu Chang , Robert Fung

While Conformal Prediction (CP) has proven to be a powerful framework for uncertainty quantification, guaranteeing conditional coverage remains a central challenge. Although finite-sample, distribution-free conditional validity is known to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-27 Félix Laplante