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Multi-state models are frequently applied for representing processes evolving through a discrete set of state. Important classes of multi-state models arise when transitions between states may depend on the time since entry into the current…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-28 Rosario Barone , Andrea Tancredi

Consider a structured population consisting of $d$ colonies, with migration rates proportional to a positive parameter $K$. We sample $N_K$ individuals, distributed evenly across the $d$ colonies, and trace their ancestral lineages backward…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Fernando Cordero , Sophia-Marie Mellis , Emmanuel Schertzer

The problem of appropriately matching items subject to compatibility constraints arises in a number of important applications. While most of the literature on matching theory focuses on a static setting with a fixed number of items, several…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Céline Comte

We introduce a Poissonization method to study the coalescent structure of uniform samples from branching processes. This method relies on the simple observation that a uniform sample of size $k$ taken from a random set with positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-24 Samuel G. G. Johnston , Amaury Lambert

The aim of this paper is to introduce a multitype branching process with random migration following the research initiated with the Galton-Watson process with migration introduced in [Yanev & Mitov (1980) C. R. Acad. Bulg. Sci.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Miguel González , Pedro Martín-Chávez , Inés del Puerto

Stochastic systems characterised by a random driving in a form of the general stable noise are considered. The particle experiences long rests due to the traps the density of which is position-dependent and obeys a power-law form attributed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-07-06 Tomasz Srokowski

For any branching process, we demonstrate that the typical total number $r_{\rm mp}(\nu \tau)$ of events triggered over all generations within any sufficiently large time window $\tau$ exhibits, at criticality, a super-linear dependence…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-15 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

We prove a law of large numbers in terms of complete convergence of independent random variables taking values in increments of monotone functions, with convergence uniform both in the initial and the final time. The result holds also for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-30 Tetsuya Hattori

We consider a general, neutral, dynamical model of biodiversity. Individuals have i.i.d. lifetime durations, which are not necessarily exponentially distributed, and each individual gives birth independently at constant rate \lambda. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-09-02 Amaury Lambert

We study a class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes with state space Rd x E where E is a finite set. The continuous component evolves according to a smooth vector field that is switched at the jump times of the discrete coordinate.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-08 Michel Benaïm , Stéphane Le Borgne , Florent Malrieu , Pierre-André Zitt

The methodology based on the random walk processes is adapted and applied to a comprehensive analysis of the statistical properties of the probability fluxes. To this aim we define a simple model of the Markovian stochastic dynamics on a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-15 Przemyslaw Chelminiak , Michal Kurzynski

We study a density-dependent Markov jump process describing a population where each individual is characterized by a type, and reproduces at rates depending both on its type and on the population type distribution. We are interested in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Madeleine Kubasch

This paper is concerned with Crump-Mode-Jagers branching processes, describing spread of an epidemic depending on the proportion of the population that is vaccinated. Births in the branching process are aborted independently with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-10 Frank Ball , Miguel González , Rodrigo Martínez , Maroussia Slavtchova-Bojkova

We consider a time-continuous branching random walk on a one-dimensional lattice on which there is one center (lattice point) of particle generation, called branching source. The generation of particles in the branching source is described…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-19 E. Filichkina , E. Yarovaya

Consider a continuous-state branching population constructed as a flow of nested subordinators. Inverting the subordinators and reversing time give rise to a flow of coalescing Markov processes (with negative jumps) which correspond to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Clément Foucart , Chunhua Ma , Bastien Mallein

We consider a continuous time Markov chain on a countable state space and prove a joint large deviation principle for the empirical measure and the empirical flow, which accounts for the total number of jumps between pairs of states. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-19 Lorenzo Bertini , Alessandra Faggionato , Davide Gabrielli

In this paper we consider a telegraph equation with time-dependent coefficients, governing the persistent random walk of a particle moving on the line with a time-varying velocity $c(t)$ and changing direction at instants distributed…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Luca Angelani , Roberto Garra

Under mild non-degeneracy assumptions on branching rates in each generation, we provide a criterion for almost-sure extinction of a multi-type branching process with time-dependent branching rates. We also provide a criterion for the total…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Pratima Hebbar , Leonid Koralov , Mark Perlman

This survey aims at collecting and presenting results for one-type, discrete time branching processes with random control functions. In particular, the subclass of critical migration processes with different regimes of immigration and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-25 George P. Yanev

We consider a subcritical branching process in an i.i.d. random environment, in which one immigrant arrives at each generation. We consider the event $% \mathcal{A}_{i}(n)$ that all individuals alive at time $n$ are offspring of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-09 E. E. Dyakonova , V. A. Vatutin