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We consider Bayesian estimation of a hierarchical linear model (HLM) from partially observed data, assumed to be missing at random, and small sample sizes. A vector of continuous covariates $C$ includes cluster-level partially observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-03 Dongho Shin , Yongyun Shin , Nao Hagiwara

Conjoint experiments have become central to survey research in political science and related fields because they allow researchers to study preferences across multiple attributes simultaneously. Beyond estimating main effects, scholars…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Steven Wang , Isys Johnson , Jessica Grogan , Lalit Jain , Atri Rudra , Kyle Hunt , Kenneth Joseph

We consider the problem of learning causal Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) using combinations of observational and interventional experimental data. Current methods tailored to this setting assume that interventions either destroy…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-04 Alessandro Mascaro , Federico Castelletti

Classical influence functions face significant challenges when applied to deep neural networks, primarily due to non-invertible Hessians and high-dimensional parameter spaces. We propose the local Bayesian influence function (BIF), an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Philipp Alexander Kreer , Wilson Wu , Maxwell Adam , Zach Furman , Jesse Hoogland

Humans are routinely exposed to mixtures of chemical and other environmental factors, making the quantification of health effects associated with environmental mixtures a critical goal for establishing environmental policy sufficiently…

Bayesian approaches have become increasingly popular in causal inference problems due to their conceptual simplicity, excellent performance and in-built uncertainty quantification ('posterior credible sets'). We investigate Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-27 Kolyan Ray , Botond Szabo

When random effects are correlated with sample design variables, the usual approach of employing individual survey weights (constructed to be inversely proportional to the unit survey inclusion probabilities) to form a pseudo-likelihood no…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-26 Terrance D. Savitsky , Matthew R. Williams

There is abundant interest in assessing the joint effects of multiple exposures on human health. This is often referred to as the mixtures problem in environmental epidemiology and toxicology. Classically, studies have examined the adverse…

Applications · Statistics 2024-05-31 Shounak Chattopadhyay , Stephanie M. Engel , David Dunson

Biomanufacturing plays an important role in supporting public health and the growth of the bioeconomy. Modeling and studying the interaction effects among various input variables is very critical for obtaining a scientific understanding and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-26 Junkai Zhao , Jun Luo , Wei Xie , Zixuan Bai

Automatic facial emotion recognition is a challenging task that has gained significant scientific interest over the past few years, but the problem of emotion recognition for a group of people has been less extensively studied. However, it…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-05-06 Samanyou Garg

Learning features from data is one of the defining characteristics of deep learning, but our theoretical understanding of the role features play in deep learning is still rudimentary. To address this gap, we introduce a new tool, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Yiding Jiang , Christina Baek , J. Zico Kolter

Suppose an experiment is conducted on pairs of objects with outcome responses a continuous variable measuring the interactions among the pairs. Furthermore, assume the response variable is hard to measure numerically but easy to be coded…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-11 Abdul-Hamid Al-Ibrahim

We propose a simple method that combines neural networks and Gaussian processes. The proposed method can estimate the uncertainty of outputs and flexibly adjust target functions where training data exist, which are advantages of Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-20 Tomoharu Iwata , Zoubin Ghahramani

Products manufactured from the same batch or utilized in the same region often exhibit correlated lifetime observations due to the latent heterogeneity caused by the influence of shared but unobserved covariates. The unavailable…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-15 Xuxue Sun , Mingyang Li

Multi-task learning models using Gaussian processes (GP) have been developed and successfully applied in various applications. The main difficulty with this approach is the computational cost of inference using the union of examples from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-11-29 Yuyang Wang , Roni Khardon

We introduce priors and algorithms to perform Bayesian inference in Gaussian models defined by acyclic directed mixed graphs. Such a class of graphs, composed of directed and bi-directed edges, is a representation of conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-02 Ricardo Silva , Zoubin Ghahramani

Active learning methods for neural networks are usually based on greedy criteria which ultimately give a single new design point for the evaluation. Such an approach requires either some heuristics to sample a batch of design points at one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Evgenii Tsymbalov , Sergei Makarychev , Alexander Shapeev , Maxim Panov

Predicting the presence of major depressive disorder (MDD) using behavioural and cognitive signals is a highly non-trivial task. The heterogeneous clinical profile of MDD means that any given speech, facial expression and/or observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-26 Salvatore Fara , Orlaith Hickey , Alexandra Georgescu , Stefano Goria , Emilia Molimpakis , Nicholas Cummins

We propose a probabilistic modeling framework for learning the dynamic patterns in the collective behaviors of social agents and developing profiles for different behavioral groups, using data collected from multiple information sources.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-28 Lin Li , Ananthram Swami , Anna Scaglione

The problem of inferring pair-wise and higher-order interactions in complex systems involving large numbers of interacting variables, from observational data, is fundamental to many fields. Known to the statistical physics community as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-01 Sjoerd Viktor Beentjes , Ava Khamseh