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Our aim is to unify and extend the large deviation upper and lower bounds for the occupation times of a Markov process with $L_2$ semigroups under minimal conditions on the state space and the process trajectories; for example, no strong…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-24 Naresh Jain , Nicolai Krylov

We present an approximate analytical expression for the escape rate of time-dependent driven stochastic processes with an absorbing boundary such as the driven leaky integrate-and-fire model for neural spiking. The novel approximation is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael Schindler , Peter Talkner , Peter Hänggi

We consider multi-state capture-recapture-recovery data where observed individuals are recorded in a set of possible discrete states. Traditionally, the Arnason-Schwarz model has been fitted to such data where the state process is modeled…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-20 Ruth King , Roland Langrock

This work centers around results related to Proposition 21 of Pitman and Yor's (1997) paper on the two parameter Poisson Dirichlet distribution indexed by (\alpha,\theta) for 0<\alpha<1, also \alpha=0, and \theta>-\alpha, denoted…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-09 Lancelot F. James

In recent years there has been renewed interest in the behavior of dislocations in crystals that exhibit strong atomic scale disorder, as typical of compositionally complex single phase alloys. The behavior of dislocations in such crystals…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-10-26 Aviral Vaid , De'an Wei , Erik Bitzek , Samaneh Nasiri , Michael Zaiser

We consider continuous-time Markov chains on integers which allow transitions to adjacent states only, with alternating rates. We give explicit formulas for probability generating functions, and also for means, variances and state…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci , Barbara Martinucci

We consider continuous-space, discrete-time Markov chains on $\mathbb{R}^d$, that admit a finite number $N$ of metastable states. Our main motivation for investigating these processes is to analyse random Poincar\'e maps, which describe…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Nils Berglund

We study K-processes, which are Markov processes in a denumerable state space, all of whose elements are stable, with the exception of a single state, starting from which the process enters finite sets of stable states with uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Luiz Renato Fontes , Pierre Mathieu

Modeling the dynamics of non-stationary stochastic systems requires balancing the representational power of deep learning with the mathematical transparency of classical models. While classical Markov transition operators provide explicit,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Jan Rovirosa , Jesse Schmolze

We study the high-velocity regime mode-I fracture instability when small microbranches start to appear near the main crack, using large scale simulations. Some of the features of those microbranches have been reproduced qualitatively in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-13 Shay I. Heizler , David A. Kessler

Sticky diffusion models a Markovian particle experiencing reflection and temporary adhesion phenomena at the boundary. Numerous numerical schemes exist for approximating stopped or reflected stochastic differential equations (SDEs), but…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Akash Sharma

Since the paper of Kleinberg and Kleinberg, SODA'05, where it was proven that the preferential attachment random graph with degeneracy at least 3 does not obey the first order 0-1 law, no general methods were developed to study logical…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-01 Yury Malyshkin , Maksim Zhukovskii

We develop a new simulation method for multidimensional diffusions with sticky boundaries. The challenge comes from simulating the sticky boundary behavior, for which standard methods like the Euler scheme fail. We approximate the sticky…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-12 Christian Meier , Lingfei Li , Gongqiu Zhang

This paper is concerned with deriving the limit distributions of stopping times devised to sequentially uncover structural breaks in the parameters of an autoregressive moving average, ARMA, time series. The stopping rules are defined as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-03 Alexander Aue , Christopher Dienes , Stefan Fremdt , Josef Steinebach

While Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) scales capacity via conditional computation, Transformers lack a native primitive for knowledge lookup, forcing them to inefficiently simulate retrieval through computation. To address this, we introduce…

Markov jump processes (or continuous-time Markov chains) are a simple and important class of continuous-time dynamical systems. In this paper, we tackle the problem of simulating from the posterior distribution over paths in these models,…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-21 Vinayak Rao , Yee Whye Teh

Order-preserving couplings are elegant tools for obtaining robust estimates of the time-dependent and stationary distributions of Markov processes that are too complex to be analyzed exactly. The starting point of this paper is to study…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-02 Lasse Leskelä

We consider an exploration algorithm where at each step, a random number of items become active while related items get explored. Given an initial number of items $N$ growing to infinity and building on a strong homogeneity assumption, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-10 Paola Bermolen , Matthieu Jonckheere , Jaron Sanders

We investigate a stochastic process where a rectangle breaks into smaller rectangles through a series of horizontal and vertical fragmentation events. We focus on the case where both the vertical size and the horizontal size of a rectangle…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-17 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky

Random walks are a fundamental model in applied mathematics and are a common example of a Markov chain. The limiting stationary distribution of the Markov chain represents the fraction of the time spent in each state during the stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-01-08 Austin R. Benson , David F. Gleich , Lek-Heng Lim