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We propose a method to approximate continuous-time, continuous-state stochastic processes by a discrete-time Markov chain defined on a nonuniform grid. Our method provides exact moment matching for processes whose first and second moments…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Do Hyun Kim , Ahmet Cetinkaya

In this paper we propose a model for open Markov chains that can be interpreted as a system of non-interacting particles evolving according to the rules of a Markov chain. The number of particles in the system is not constant, because we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 R. Salgado-Garcia

In this paper, we discuss the laws of the iterated logarithm (LIL) for occupation times of Markov processes $Y$ in general metric measure space both near zero and near infinity under some minimal assumptions. We first establish LILs of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Soobin Cho , Panki Kim , Jaehun Lee

We compute the stationary distribution of a continuous-time Markov chain which is constructed by gluing together two finite, irreducible Markov chains by identifying a pair of states of one chain with a pair of states of the other and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-22 Bence Mélykúti , Peter Pfaffelhuber

A regime-switching multivariate time series model which is closed under margins is built. The model imposes a restriction on all lower-dimensional sub-processes to follow a regime-switching process sharing the same latent regime sequence…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-19 Lin Zhang , Harry Joe , Natalia Nolde

Markov chains provide a foundational framework for modeling sequential stochastic processes, with the transition probability matrix characterizing the dynamics of state evolution. While classical estimation methods such as maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-11 Agamani Saha , Souvik Roy

Many seemingly disparate Markov chains are unified when viewed as random walks on the set of chambers of a hyperplane arrangement. These include the Tsetlin library of theoretical computer science and various shuffling schemes. If only…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-02-08 Christos A. Athanasiadis , Persi Diaconis

We study ergodic properties of some Markov chains models in random environments when the random Markov kernels that define the dynamic satisfy some usual drift and small set conditions but with random coefficients. In particular, we adapt a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-16 Lionel Truquet

Non-Markovian quantum processes exhibit different memory effects when measured in different ways; an unambiguous characterization of memory length requires accounting for the sequence of instruments applied to probe the system dynamics.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-04-11 Philip Taranto , Simon Milz , Felix A. Pollock , Kavan Modi

The sequentially Markov coalescent (SMC) is a Markov jump process which models correlations in local genealogies across a chromosome. It has been used as a theoretical tool for studying linkage disequilibrium and identity-by-descent, and it…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Jonathan Terhorst

We show how to construct a topological Markov map of the interval whose invariant probability measure is the stationary law of a given stochastic chain of infinite order. In particular we caracterize the maps corresponding to stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Pierre Collet , Antonio Galves

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

The class of nonlinear Markov processes is characterized by the dependence of the current state of the process on its current distribution in addition to the dependence on the previous state. Due to this feature, these processes are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Aleksandr Shchegolev

A theory of symbolic dynamic systems with long-range correlations based on the consideration of the binary N-step Markov chains developed earlier in Phys. Rev. Lett. 90, 110601 (2003) is generalized to the biased case (non equal numbers of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-26 Z. A. Mayzelis , S. S. Apostolov , S. S. Mel'nyk , O. V. Usatenko , V. A. Yampol'skii

Reconfigurable interaction induces another dimension of nondeterminism in concurrent systems which makes it hard to reason about the different choices of the system from a global perspective. Namely, (1) choices that correspond to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-08-02 Yehia Abd Alrahman , Mauricio Martel , Nir Piterman

Many data are naturally modeled by an unobserved hierarchical structure. In this paper we propose a flexible nonparametric prior over unknown data hierarchies. The approach uses nested stick-breaking processes to allow for trees of…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-08 Ryan Prescott Adams , Zoubin Ghahramani , Michael I. Jordan

We initiate a mathematical analysis of hidden effects induced by binning spike trains of neurons. Assuming that the original spike train has been generated by a discrete Markov process, we show that binning generates a stochastic process…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-28 B. Cessac , A. Le Ny , E. Loecherbach

We establish a functional limit theorem for the joint-law of occupations near and away from indifferent fixed points of interval maps, and of waits for the occupations away from these points, in the sense of strong distributional…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-07 Toru Sera

We present a Markov-chain analysis of blockwise-stochastic algorithms for solving partially block-separable optimization problems. Our main contributions to the extensive literature on these methods are statements about the Markov operators…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-01 D. Russell Luke

In the investigation of limits of Markov chains, the presence of states which become instantaneous states in the limit may prevent the convergence of the chain in the Skorohod topology. We present in this article a weaker topology adapted…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-29 C. Landim
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