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A Markov process fluctuating away from its typical behavior can be represented in the long-time limit by another Markov process, called the effective or driven process, having the same stationary states as the original process conditioned…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-30 Florian Angeletti , Hugo Touchette

We consider discrete-time Markov chains and study large deviations of the pair empirical occupation measure, which is useful to compute fluctuations of pure-additive and jump-type observables. We provide an exact expression for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-07-04 Giorgio Carugno , Pierpaolo Vivo , Francesco Coghi

This article studies the expected occupancy probabilities on an alphabet. Unlike the standard situation, where observations are assumed to be independent and identically distributed (iid), we assume that they follow a regime switching…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Michael Grabchak , Mark Kelbert , Quentin Paris

For a continuous-time Markov process, we characterize the law of the first jump location when started from an arbitrary initial distribution, in terms of the invariant distribution of an auxiliary Markov process. This could be of interest…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-23 Andi Q. Wang , David Steinsaltz

We consider the problem of finding the transition rates of a continuous-time homogeneous Markov chain under the empirical condition that the state changes at most once during a time interval of unit length. It is proven that this…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-01 Philippe Carette , Marie-Anne Guerry

We consider random permutations derived by sampling from stick-breaking partitions of the unit interval. The cycle structure of such a permutation can be associated with the path of a decreasing Markov chain on $n$ integers. Under certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-04 Alexander Gnedin , Alexander Iksanov , Alexander Marynych

Using an information theoretic point of view, we investigate how a dynamics acting on a network can be coarse grained through the use of graph partitions. Specifically, we are interested in how aggregating the state space of a Markov…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-07 Mauro Faccin , Michael T. Schaub , Jean-Charles Delvenne

We prove exponential decay of pair correlations for 1D stationary point processes when spacings satisfy a Markov condition, geometric ergodicity, and a condition on exponential moments. The conditions are phrased for stationary sequences of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Yoon Jun Chan , Markus Heydenreich , Sabine Jansen

Our aim is to find sufficient conditions for weak convergence of stochastic integrals with respect to the state occupation measure of a Markov chain. First, we study properties of the state indicator function and the state occupation…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 H. M. Jansen

We present a systematic study of the statistics of the occupation time and related random variables for stochastic processes with independent intervals of time. According to the nature of the distribution of time intervals, the probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Godreche , J. M. Luck

Renewal process is a point process where an inter-event time between successive renewals is an independent and identically distributed random variable. Alternating renewal process is a dichotomous process and a slight generalization of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-02 Takuma Akimoto

Inspired by a duration-dependent life insurance model, we consider continuous-time semi-Markov jump processes, initially assumed to have a finite state-space. We develop approximations using jump processes that are time-homogeneous Markov,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Martin Bladt , Andreea Minca , Oscar Peralta

This paper proposes a new type of recurrence where we divide the Markov chains into intervals that start when the chain enters into a subset A, then sample another subset B far away from A and end when the chain again return to A. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-24 Lars Holden

We study the ergodic behaviour of a discrete-time process $X$ which is a Markov chain in a stationary random environment. The laws of $X_t$ are shown to converge to a limiting law in (weighted) total variation distance as $t\to\infty$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-29 Balazs Gerencser , Miklos Rasonyi

We introduce a new perspective on positive continuous additive functionals (PCAFs) of Markov processes, which we call space--time occupation measures (STOMs). This notion provides a natural generalization of classical occupation times and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Ryoichiro Noda

A new class of nonparametric prior distributions, termed Beta-Binomial stick-breaking process, is proposed. By allowing the underlying length random variables to be dependent through a Beta marginals Markov chain, an appealing discrete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-12 María F. Gil-Leyva , Ramsés H. Mena , Theodoros Nicoleris

The $(d,\alpha,\beta,\gamma)$-branching particle system consists of particles moving in $R^d$ according to a symmetric $\alpha$-stable L\'evy process $(0<\alpha\leq 2)$, splitting with a critical $(1+\beta)$-branching law $(0<\beta\leq 1)$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-14 Tomasz Bojdecki , Luis G. Gorostiza , Anna Talarczyk

In the paper the rescaled occupation time fluctuation process of a certain empirical system is investigated. The system consists of particles evolving independently according to \alpha-stable motion in R^d, \alpha<d<2\alpha. The particles…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-02 Piotr Milos

We present a sufficient condition for a non-injective function of a Markov chain to be a second-order Markov chain with the same entropy rate as the original chain. This permits an information-preserving state space reduction by merging…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-12-20 Bernhard C. Geiger , Christoph Temmel

We study preferential attachment mechanisms in random graphs that are parameterized by (i) a constant bias affecting the degree-biased distribution on the vertex set and (ii) the distribution of times at which new vertices are created by…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-09 Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Peter Orbanz