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By employing Monte Carlo random sampling, traditional binary population synthesis (BPS) offers a substantial improvement in efficiency over brute force, grid-based studies. Even so, BPS models typically require a large number of simulation…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2018-07-18 Jeff J Andrews , Andreas Zezas , Tassos Fragos

We explain how effective automatic probability density function estimates can be constructed using contemporary Bayesian inference engines such as those based on no-U-turn sampling and expectation propagation. Extensive simulation studies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-28 M. P. Wand , J. C. F. Yu

Multivariate time series data for real-world applications typically contain a significant amount of missing values. The dominant approach for classification with such missing values is to impute them heuristically with specific values…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-15 SeungHyun Kim , Hyunsu Kim , EungGu Yun , Hwangrae Lee , Jaehun Lee , Juho Lee

Likelihood-free inference methods based on neural conditional density estimation were shown to drastically reduce the simulation burden in comparison to classical methods such as ABC. When applied in the context of any latent variable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-06 Sanmitra Ghosh , Paul J. Birrell , Daniela De Angelis

We contribute a general and flexible framework to estimate the size of a closed population in the presence of $K$ capture-recapture lists and heterogeneous capture probabilities. Our novel identifying strategy leverages the fact that it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Mateo Dulce Rubio , Edward Kennedy

In the age of big data, nonprobability surveys are becoming increasingly abundant. Data integration techniques involving both probability and nonprobability surveys are being extensively used for providing improved estimates for finite…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-17 Aditi Sen , Partha Lahiri

Conformal prediction constructs a set of labels instead of a single point prediction, while providing a probabilistic coverage guarantee. Beyond the coverage guarantee, adaptiveness to example difficulty is an important property. It means…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Sooyong Jang , Insup Lee

Bayesian synthetic likelihood (BSL) is now a well established method for performing approximate Bayesian parameter estimation for simulation-based models that do not possess a tractable likelihood function. BSL approximates an intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-04 Ziwen An , David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi

Big data presents potential but unresolved value as a source for analysis and inference. However,selection bias, present in many of these datasets, needs to be accounted for so that appropriate inferences can be made on the target…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-09 Lyndon Ang , Robert Clark , Bronwyn Loong , Anders Holmberg

We propose the first approach for multiple multivariate density-density regression (MDDR), making it possible to consider the regression of a multivariate density-valued response on multiple multivariate density-valued predictors. The core…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-07 Khai Nguyen , Yang Ni , Peter Mueller

This paper proposes using a method named Double Score Matching (DSM) to do mass-imputation and presents an application to make inferences with a nonprobability sample. DSM is a $k$-Nearest Neighbors algorithm that uses two balance scores…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Ali Furkan Kalay

This paper introduces robust twoblock (RTB) simultaneous dimension reduction, which is the first statistically robust method to perform simultaneous dimension reduction in two blocks of variables and allows to fine-tune the model complexity…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Sven Serneels

Multivariate sign functions are often used for robust estimation and inference. We propose using data dependent weights in association with such functions. The proposed weighted sign functions retain desirable robustness properties, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Subhabrata Majumdar , Snigdhansu Chatterjee

The use of weights provides an effective strategy to incorporate prior domain knowledge in large-scale inference. This paper studies weighted multiple testing in a decision-theoretic framework. We develop oracle and data-driven procedures…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-10 Pallavi Basu , T. Tony Cai , Kiranmoy Das , Wenguang Sun

This paper is concerned with the formulation of $N$-mixture models for estimating the abundance and probability of detection of a species from binary response, count and time-to-detection data. A modelling framework, which encompasses…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-27 Linda M Haines , Res Altwegg , David L. Borchers

Pseudo-measurements are the dominant source of uncertainty in distribution system state estimation (DSSE), yet their distributional assumptions are treated as fixed inputs by existing uncertainty quantification methods. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-14 Betül Mamudi , Jochen Stiasny , Jochen Cremer

Flexible Bayesian models are typically constructed using limits of large parametric models with a multitude of parameters that are often uninterpretable. In this article, we offer a novel alternative by constructing an exponentially tilted…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-20 Abhisek Chakraborty , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

Although linear regression models are fundamental tools in statistical science, the estimation results can be sensitive to outliers. While several robust methods have been proposed in frequentist frameworks, statistical inference is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-15 Shintaro Hashimoto , Shonosuke Sugasawa

We consider the estimation of the average treatment effect in the treated as a function of baseline covariates, where there is a valid (conditional) instrument. We describe two doubly robust (DR) estimators: a locally efficient g-estimator,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-11 Karla DiazOrdaz , Rhian Daniel , Noemi Kreif

The histogram method is a powerful non-parametric approach for estimating the probability density function of a continuous variable. But the construction of a histogram, compared to the parametric approaches, demands a large number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-29 Hideaki Kim , Hiroshi Sawada
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