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In practice, several time series exhibit long-range dependence or persistence in their observations, leading to the development of a number of estimation and prediction methodologies to account for the slowly decaying autocorrelations. The…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-09 Javier E. Contreras-Reyes , Wilfredo Palma

Most time-series models assume that the data come from observations that are equally spaced in time. However, this assumption does not hold in many diverse scientific fields, such as astronomy, finance, and climatology, among others. There…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-17 Felipe Elorrieta , Susana Eyheramendy , Wilfredo Palma

Modelling physical data with linear discrete time series, namely Fractionally Integrated Autoregressive Moving Average (ARFIMA), is a technique which achieved attention in recent years. However, these models are used mainly as a statistical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-03-20 Jakub Ślęzak , Aleksander Weron

In this paper, we introduce the concept of fractional integration for spatial autoregressive models. We show that the range of the dependence can be spatially extended or diminished by introducing a further fractional integration parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-14 Philipp Otto , Philipp Sibbertsen

The autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model is a classical, and arguably one of the most studied approaches to model time series data. It has compelling theoretical properties and is widely used among practitioners. More recent deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Philipp Schiele , Christoph Berninger , David Rügamer

The detection of periodic signals from transiting exoplanets is often impeded by extraneous aperiodic photometric variability, either intrinsic to the star or arising from the measurement process. Frequently, these variations are…

Temporal noise correlations are ubiquitous in quantum systems, yet often neglected in the analysis of quantum circuits due to the complexity required to accurately characterize and model them. Autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-15 Kevin Schultz , Gregory Quiroz , Paraj Titum , B. D. Clader

Sensitive signal processing methods are needed to detect transiting planets from ground-based photometric surveys. Caceres et al. (2019) show that the AutoRegressive Planet Search (ARPS) method --- a combination of autoregressive integrated…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-24 Andrew M. Stuhr , Eric D. Feigelson , Gabriel A. Caceres , Joel D. Hartman

The object of this paper is to study the asymptotic dependence structure of the linear time series models with infinitely divisible innovations by the use of their characteristic functions. Autoregressive moving-average (ARMA) models and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-23 Muneya Matsui

Fitting autoregressive moving average (ARMA) time series models requires model identification before parameter estimation. Model identification involves determining the order of the autoregressive and moving average components which is…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-09 Yin Liu , Sam Davanloo Tajbakhsh

In several disciplines it is common to find time series measured at irregular observational times. In particular, in astronomy there are a large number of surveys that gather information over irregular time gaps and in more than one…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-05-12 Felipe Elorrieta , Susana Eyheramendy , Wilfredo Palma , Cesar Ojeda

We present the use of continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) models as a method for estimating the variability features of a light curve, and in particular its power spectral density (PSD). CARMA models fully account for…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-18 Brandon C. Kelly , Andrew C. Becker , Malgosia Sobolewska , Aneta Siemiginowska , Phil Uttley

Time series observations are ubiquitous in astronomy, and are generated to distinguish between different types of supernovae, to detect and characterize extrasolar planets and to classify variable stars. These time series are usually…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-13 Susana Eyheramendy , Felipe Elorrieta , Wilfredo Palma

The modeling of time-varying graph signals as stationary time-vertex stochastic processes permits the inference of missing signal values by efficiently employing the correlation patterns of the process across different graph nodes and time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-16 Eylem Tugce Guneyi , Berkay Yaldiz , Abdullah Canbolat , Elif Vural

The autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model takes the significant position in time series analysis for a wide-sense stationary time series. The difference operator and seasonal difference operator, which are bases of ARIMA and SARIMA…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-03 Shixiong Wang , Chongshou Li , Andrew Lim

Two-dimensional (2-D) autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are commonly applied to describe real-world image data, usually assuming Gaussian or symmetric noise. However, real-world data often present non-Gaussian signals, with…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 B. G. Palm , F. M. Bayer , R. J. Cintra

The spatio-temporal autoregressive moving average (STARMA) model is frequently used in several studies of multivariate time series data, where the assumption of stationarity is important, but it is not always guaranteed in practice. One way…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-14 Yangyang Chen , Pedro Alberto Morettin , Chang Chiann

Forecasting time series data is an important subject in economics, business, and finance. Traditionally, there are several techniques to effectively forecast the next lag of time series data such as univariate Autoregressive (AR),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-05 Sima Siami-Namini , Akbar Siami Namin

Since with massive data growth, the need for autonomous and generic anomaly detection system is increased. However, developing one stand-alone generic anomaly detection system that is accurate and fast is still a challenge. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-03 Sooyeon Lee , Huy Kang Kim

Time series forecasting (TSF) is essential in various domains, and recent advancements in diffusion-based TSF models have shown considerable promise. However, these models typically adopt traditional diffusion patterns, treating TSF as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Jiaxin Gao , Qinglong Cao , Yuntian Chen
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